More Than Half of Redfin Offers Faced Bidding Wars For the Sixth-Straight Month In October

Rhea-AI Summary

In October, 56.8% of Redfin offers on homes faced competition, slightly down from 57.4% in September. This marks the sixth consecutive month of bidding rates exceeding 50%. Despite a recent peak of 59.3% in August, market competition remains robust, fueled by low mortgage rates and housing shortages. Home prices increased by 15% year-over-year in early November. Salt Lake City was the most competitive market at 75%, while Las Vegas recorded the least at 38.2%. Condos are seeing less competition, with only 41.4% of offers encountering bids.

Positive

• Bidding-war rate remains high at 56.8%, indicating strong buyer demand.
• Home prices rose by 15% year-over-year, showcasing a robust market.
• Salt Lake City leads with a 75% bidding-war rate, reflecting local market strength.

Negative

• Bidding-war rate declined from 59.3% in August to 56.8% in October.
• Competitive offers require higher bids, sometimes exceeding $20,000 over asking price.

SEATTLE, Nov. 13, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — 56.8% of Redfin offers on homes nationwide faced competition in October, little changed from September's revised rate of 57.4%, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. While that's down slightly from the recent peak of 59.3% in August, it represents the sixth-consecutive month in which the bidding-war rate exceeded 50%.

An offer is considered part of a bidding war if a Redfin agent reported that it received at least one competing bid.

Competition in the housing market has remained fierce during the coronavirus pandemic due to record-low mortgage rates, a shortage of homes for sale and a sudden wave of migration made possible by remote work. This has triggered a surge in home prices, which grew 15% year over year during the four-week period ending Nov. 1, and are showing no signs of slowing.

"Has the market calmed down since the summer? Yes, but every offer I submit still faces multiple competing bids and we continue to see a lot more buyers than we normally would at this time of year," said Melissa Killham, a Redfin real estate agent in Kenosha, WI. "The typical home today gets four or five offers, compared with eight or nine back in September. The buyers who are in the market right now don't need to buy. They're buying if they find the perfect home with more space and a big backyard, and if not, they're staying put until they do."

Salt Lake City Was the Most Competitive Market; Las Vegas Was the Least Competitive
At least half of offers faced bidding wars in 16 of the 24 metros in this analysis. Salt Lake City had the highest bidding-war rate, with 75% of Redfin offers encountering competition. In second place was San Diego, at 73.2%, followed by San Francisco/San Jose, at 69.6%. Austin, which was the second-most popular destination for homebuyers looking to move to a different metro area in the third quarter, was number four.

At the northern end of the Jersey Shore, the housing market is so hot that offering all cash for a home doesn't always cut it anymore, according to local Redfin real estate agent Anthony Gonzalez.

"Cash is no longer king in this market," he said. "What wins a bidding war today is offering more than the asking price and waiving the appraisal contingency. Generally, if you're bidding on a house that's in great condition in a good location with multiple offers, you've gotta go at least $20,000 over ask. Every single time that my client does, they win the deal."

Las Vegas had a lower rate of competition than any other metro area in this analysis, with just 38.2% of offers facing bidding wars in October. It was followed by Miami, Chicago and Detroit, at 38.5, 41.1% and 44.1%, respectively.

Condos Were the Least Likely to Face Competition
Condos were the least likely to encounter bidding wars in October, with 41.4% of Redfin offers facing competition. That compares with 56.8% of offers for townhomes, and 59.4% of offers for single-family homes.

The condo market has seen relatively slow growth as remote work, the desire for privacy and record-low mortgage rates have made single-family homes more desirable during the coronavirus pandemic.

"In Seattle's Capitol Hill neighborhood, there are no bidding wars at all when it comes to condos," said local Redfin agent Forrest Moody. "I've sold 25 condos so far this year, and I have not had bidding wars on any of them."

Bidding-War Rates By Metro Area, October 2020 and September 2020
To be included in this analysis, metros must have had at least 30 offers written by Redfin agents from Oct. 1, 2020 to Oct. 31, 2020.

Metro Area	Share of Redfin offers that faced bidding wars in October 2020	Share of Redfin offers that faced bidding wars in September 2020
Salt Lake City, UT	75.0%	83.3%
San Diego, CA	73.2%	71.6%
San Francisco / San Jose, CA	69.6%	67.8%
Austin, TX	68.4%	60.1%
Washington, D.C.	65.7%	66.3%
Sacramento, CA	60.8%	60.9%
Seattle, WA	60.7%	60.2%
Minneapolis, MN	59.4%	63.9%
Portland, OR	59.4%	63.3%
Los Angeles, CA	58.9%	59.7%
Philadelphia, PA	58.5%	56.7%
Boston, MA	56.4%	56.7%
Phoenix, AZ	54.2%	58.5%
Denver, CO	54.1%	50.8%
Tampa, FL	51.2%	26.3%
Dallas, TX	50.3%	50.5%
Atlanta, GA	48.3%	49.0%
Raleigh, NC	46.8%	43.3%
New York, NY	45.3%	58.5%
Houston, TX	44.2%	50.0%
Detroit, MI	44.1%	47.5%
Chicago, IL	41.1%	42.4%
Miami, FL	38.5%	38.5%
Las Vegas, NV	38.2%	47.5%

 

To view the full report, including charts and methodology, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/real-estate-bidding-wars-october-2020/

About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered residential real estate company, redefining real estate in the consumer's favor in a commission-driven industry. We do this by integrating every step of the home buying and selling process and pairing our own agents with our own technology, creating a service that is faster, better and costs less. We offer brokerage, iBuying, mortgage, and title services, and we also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage search site, offering a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate. We represent people buying and selling homes in over 90 markets in the United States and Canada. Since our launch in 2006, we have saved our customers over $800 million and we've helped them buy or sell more than 235,000 homes worth more than $115 billion.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

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SOURCE Redfin

FAQ

What percentage of Redfin offers faced bidding wars in October 2020?

In October 2020, 56.8% of Redfin offers faced bidding wars.

Which metro area had the highest bidding-war rate in October 2020?

Salt Lake City had the highest bidding-war rate at 75% in October 2020.

What was the year-over-year increase in home prices reported by Redfin?

Home prices increased by 15% year-over-year during the four-week period ending November 1.

How does the competition rate for condos compare to single-family homes?

In October 2020, 41.4% of condo offers faced competition, compared to 59.4% for single-family homes.

What was the bidding-war rate in Las Vegas in October 2020?

Las Vegas recorded the lowest bidding-war rate at 38.2% in October 2020.