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Post Holdings Reports Avian Influenza at a Company Owned Facility and Provides Fiscal Year 2022 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook

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Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:POST) reported a positive avian influenza incident affecting its Michael Foods egg-laying facility in Nebraska, which houses about 2 million hens, approximately 4% of its controlled supply. The company expects a 2022 Adjusted EBITDA between $910 million and $940 million, accounting for this incident. The impact of potential further avian influenza cases remains uncertain. Post's guidance excludes significant expansion of the outbreak and incorporates all known variables related to input costs and labor markets.

Positive
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2022 is estimated between $910-$940 million.
  • The company's response to avian influenza indicates proactive management of supply risks.
Negative
  • Avian influenza has affected approximately 4% of Post's controlled supply.
  • The potential for further outbreaks poses a risk to financial performance.

ST. LOUIS, April 12, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:POST), a consumer packaged goods holding company, today provided information regarding an avian influenza incident at one of Michael Foods’ owned egg-laying facilities. Post also provided non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2022.

Avian Influenza Discussion

Today, a Michael Foods owned egg-laying flock in Nebraska tested positive for avian influenza. The facility houses approximately 2 million egg-laying hens, or approximately 4% of Post’s controlled supply, inclusive of third party contracted farms.

Fiscal Year 2022 Outlook

On March 10, 2022, Post’s distribution to its shareholders of 80.1% of its interest in BellRing Brands, Inc. (“BellRing”) was completed. Accordingly, the historical results of the BellRing business will be presented as discontinued operations in Post’s financial statements. Excluding BellRing for the entirety of fiscal year 2022, Post management expects Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2022 to be between $910-$940 million. This outlook incorporates all known variables including input costs and labor markets, as well as today’s announcement of avian influenza. It does not incorporate significant expansion of avian influenza within Post’s network – the impact of which is uncertain.

The APHIS division of the USDA and individual states track and report individual incidents of avian influenza. Post does not expect to provide additional updates on specific incidents unless the cumulative effect of subsequent incidents exceeds 5% of Post’s controlled supply. Moreover, Post does not expect to provide an additional update to its outlook until its second quarter earnings release, regardless of the extent of avian influenza.

Post provides Adjusted EBITDA guidance only on a non-GAAP basis and does not provide a reconciliation of its forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP guidance measure to the most directly comparable GAAP measure due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliation, including adjustments that could be made for income/expense on swaps, net, equity method investment adjustment, mark-to-market adjustments on commodity and foreign exchange hedges and warrant liabilities and equity securities, gain/loss on assets held for sale, gain/loss on sale of business, transaction and integration costs and other charges reflected in Post’s reconciliations of historical numbers, the amounts of which, based on historical experience, could be significant. For additional information regarding Post’s non-GAAP measures, see the related explanation presented under “Post’s Use of Non-GAAP Measure.”

Post’s Use of Non-GAAP Measure

Post uses Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, in this release to supplement the financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Adjusted EBITDA is not prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP, as it excludes certain items, and may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures of other companies. Management uses certain non-GAAP measures, including Adjusted EBITDA, as key metrics in the evaluation of underlying company and segment performance, in making financial, operating and planning decisions and, in part, in the determination of bonuses for its executive officers and employees. Additionally, Post is required to comply with certain covenants and limitations that are based on variations of EBITDA in its financing documents. Management believes the use of these non-GAAP measures provides increased transparency and assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of Post and its segments and in the analysis of ongoing operating trends. 

Prospective Financial Information

Prospective financial information is necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that some or all of the assumptions underlying the prospective financial information described above will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. For further discussion of some of the factors that may cause actual results to vary materially from the information provided above, see “Forward-Looking Statements” below. Accordingly, the prospective financial information provided above is only an estimate of what Post’s management believes is realizable as of the date of this release. It also should be recognized that the reliability of any forecasted financial data diminishes the farther in the future that the data is forecasted. In light of the foregoing, the information should be viewed in context and undue reliance should not be placed upon it.

Reliance on Third Party Information

With respect to the references to APHIS and state tracking systems of avian influenza, Post acknowledges that such third parties make no representation or warranty concerning the content, accuracy, completeness, availability or timeliness of any information contained therein. Post makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness or reliability of any schedule, report or other information provided by such third parties. Post has not independently verified any of the data from third party sources nor has it ascertained the underlying facts on which such data is based.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain matters discussed in this press release are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made based on known events and circumstances at the time of release, and as such, are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. These forward-looking statements include Post’s fiscal year 2022 outlook. Such statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made herein. These risks and uncertainties include the recent avian influenza outbreak in the United States and the impact of the avian influenza incident described above on Post’s financial results, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and other risks and uncertainties described in Post’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking statements represent Post’s judgment as of the date of this release. Post disclaims, however, any intent or obligation to update these forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements in this press release are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.

About Post Holdings, Inc.

Post Holdings, Inc., headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating in the center-of-the-store, refrigerated, foodservice and food ingredient categories. Its businesses include Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Michael Foods and Bob Evans Farms. Post Consumer Brands is a leader in the North American ready-to-eat cereal category and also markets Peter Pan® nut butters. Weetabix is home to the United Kingdom’s number one selling ready-to-eat cereal brand, Weetabix®. Michael Foods and Bob Evans Farms are leaders in refrigerated foods, delivering innovative, value-added egg and refrigerated potato side dish products to the foodservice and retail channels. Post participates in the global convenient nutrition category through its minority ownership of BellRing Brands, Inc., a publicly-traded holding company offering ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products. Post participates in the private brand food category through its investment with third parties in 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, Inc., a leading, private brand centric, consumer products holding company. For more information, visit www.postholdings.com

Contact:
Investor Relations
Jennifer Meyer
jennifer.meyer@postholdings.com 
(314) 644-7665

Media Relations
Lisa Hanly
lisa.hanly@postholdings.com 
(314) 665-3180


FAQ

What is Post Holdings' Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2022?

Post Holdings expects Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2022 to be between $910 million and $940 million.

How many hens were affected by the avian influenza incident?

Approximately 2 million hens were affected, which accounts for about 4% of Post's controlled supply.

What impact does avian influenza have on Post's financial outlook?

The incident introduces uncertainty into the financial outlook, with potential implications for costs and supply.

Will Post Holdings update their outlook following the avian influenza incident?

Post does not plan to provide further updates until its second quarter earnings release.

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