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PNC Releases Results of Dodd-Frank Company-Run Stress Test

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On June 28, 2024, PNC Financial Services Group announced the results of its biennial stress test as per Dodd-Frank regulations. Conducted under the supervision of the Federal Reserve and OCC, the test assesses the bank's capital adequacy during severe economic conditions over a nine-quarter period from January 2024 to March 2026. PNC's regulatory capital ratios under these hypothetical adverse conditions were strong, with estimates for Common Equity Tier 1 at 9.1% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital at 10.6% by Q1 2026. Minimum ratios during the period were also robust, with Common Equity Tier 1 not dropping below 8% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital not below 9.4%. PNC CEO William S. Demchak affirmed the bank's financial resilience and ability to support its stakeholders.

Positive
  • PNC's regulatory capital ratios remained robust under stress test conditions, with Common Equity Tier 1 at 9.1% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital at 10.6% by Q1 2026.
  • Minimum capital ratios under adverse conditions showed strength, with Common Equity Tier 1 not below 8% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital not below 9.4%.
Negative
  • None.

Insights

The stress test results reveal that PNC Financial Services Group maintains a strong capital position even under hypothetical, severely adverse economic conditions. The Common Equity Tier 1 ratio ending at 9.1% and minimum at 8.0% are above regulatory requirements, indicating robust capital adequacy. These ratios are important for retail investors as they highlight the bank's ability to withstand economic downturns while continuing to meet regulatory standards.

In practical terms, a Tier 1 Leverage ratio of 8.7% at the end of the projection period and a minimum of 7.3% demonstrate that PNC has substantial financial flexibility. High leverage ratios typically reflect a bank's ability to manage its debt effectively and maintain operational stability. Investors should find confidence in these metrics, as they suggest that PNC is well-prepared to navigate potential economic turbulence without compromising its financial health.

Additionally, the Total Risk-Based Capital ratio ending at 12.0% signifies a strong buffer against potential losses. Higher capital ratios generally provide a cushion against market volatility, protecting shareholder value in the long run. It's worth noting that these results also reflect effective risk management practices within PNC, which is vital for sustaining investor trust.

From a market perspective, PNC's stress test results are a positive indicator for stakeholders. They suggest that PNC is not only equipped to handle significant economic shocks but also poised to maintain market confidence and stability. This is important for retail investors who rely on the bank's consistent performance and ability to deliver returns even during challenging times.

Moreover, these results can influence investor sentiment and market perceptions. A well-capitalized bank like PNC is likely to attract more investors, potentially driving up stock prices and enhancing market capitalization. The bank's ability to sustain high capital ratios indicates a lower risk profile, making it an attractive option for risk-averse investors.

Investors should also be aware of the broader implications of these stress test results. They reinforce the overall health of the banking sector, which can have a ripple effect on the economy. Strong capital positions across major banks like PNC help stabilize the financial system, contributing to economic resilience. This, in turn, may positively impact stock market performance and investor confidence across various sectors.

PITTSBURGH, June 28, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE: PNC) announced today the results of its biennial company-run stress test conducted in accordance with regulations of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve) and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. These company-run stress tests are designed to help assess whether banking organizations have sufficient capital to absorb losses and support operations during hypothetical severely adverse economic conditions over a nine-quarter projection period. The projection period for the 2024 test covers Jan. 1, 2024 to March 31, 2026.

"The results of the stress test reflect PNC's continued financial strength and flexibility," said PNC Chairman and Chief Executive Officer William S. Demchak. "Our balance sheet is well-positioned to meet the needs of our customers—and all of our stakeholders—through the cycle and across a range of challenging economic conditions, including the hypothetical stresses of a severe economic recession."

Under the hypothetical severely adverse scenario provided by the agencies, PNC estimates that its ending and minimum regulatory capital ratios would be as follows:

Basel III Regulatory Capital Ratios:

Common Equity Tier 1               

Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital

Total Risk-Based Capital

Tier 1 Leverage

Supplementary Leverage

Ending Q1 2026

9.1%

10.6%

12.0%

8.7%

7.0%

Minimum

8.0%

9.4%

11.3%

7.3%

6.1%

These results are the product of a forward-looking regulatory exercise using hypothetical macroeconomic assumptions and, as such, these results do not represent a forecast of PNC's future capital levels or anticipated economic conditions. 

The supervisory severely adverse scenario for the 2024 company-run stress test was released by the Federal Reserve and OCC Feb.15, 2024. The scenario is characterized by a severe global recession with heightened stress in both commercial and residential real estate markets, as well as in corporate debt markets.

PNC has assumed that its capital actions during the projection period are consistent with the requirements of the Federal Reserve's current Dodd-Frank Act company-run stress test regulations (12 C.F.R. § 252.56). These assumptions are designed to assist the public in comparing disclosed results across the bank holding companies subject to the tests and reduce the effect of company-specific assumptions related to capital distributions on disclosed results. As a result, PNC's financial information and capital ratios for the 2024 stress test are calculated for the nine quarters based on the following assumptions:

  • There are no repurchases or redemptions of regulatory capital instruments;
  • There are no issuances of common stock or preferred stock;
  • No dividends are paid on PNC's common stock; and
  • Payments on outstanding Tier 1 and Tier 2 regulatory capital instruments are made equal to the stated dividend, interest, or principal due.

The Basel III risk-based ratios were determined using the Standardized Approach for risk weights included in the Basel III rules.

Results of PNC's company-run stress test, including PNC's estimates of pre-provision net revenue, other revenue, loan and other losses, net income before taxes, risk-weighted assets, and regulatory capital ratios for PNC, as well as additional information on the methodologies used in conducting the stress test, may be found at http://www.pnc.com/regulatorydisclosures.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. is one of the largest diversified financial services institutions in the United States, organized around its customers and communities for strong relationships and local delivery of retail and business banking including a full range of lending products; specialized services for corporations and government entities, including corporate banking, real estate finance and asset-based lending; wealth management and asset management. For information about PNC, visit www.pnc.com.

CONTACTS

MEDIA:
Timothy Miller
(412) 762-4550
media.relations@pnc.com    

INVESTORS:
Bryan Gill
(412) 768-4143
investor.relations@pnc.com  

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Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/pnc-releases-results-of-dodd-frank-company-run-stress-test-302186140.html

SOURCE The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

FAQ

What were the results of PNC's stress test in 2024?

PNC's 2024 stress test showed strong capital ratios under severe economic conditions, with Common Equity Tier 1 at 9.1% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital at 10.6% by Q1 2026.

How did PNC's regulatory capital ratios perform in the stress test?

PNC's regulatory capital ratios remained robust, with Common Equity Tier 1 at 9.1% and Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital at 10.6% by Q1 2026, under hypothetical adverse conditions.

What is the significance of PNC's stress test results for investors?

The positive stress test results indicate PNC's financial strength and ability to support operations and stakeholders even during severe economic downturns, which is reassuring for investors.

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