Principal Financial Group Announces 2023 and Long-Term Outlook
Principal Financial Group (Nasdaq: PFG) announced its 2023 and long-term financial guidance, highlighting a projected non-GAAP operating earnings per share (EPS) growth of 3-6% for 2023. Key updates include a reorganization of reporting segments, with Retirement and Income Solutions and Principal Asset Management as focal points. The company anticipates macroeconomic challenges affecting assets under management, while long-term targets include an annual EPS growth of 9-12% and a 14-16% return on equity (ROE). Guidance for various segments indicates expected revenue growth, with notable variations in operating margins.
- Projected 3-6% non-GAAP operating EPS growth for 2023.
- Long-term targets include 9-12% annual EPS growth and 14-16% ROE.
- Macroeconomic headwinds impacting expected EPS growth for 2023.
- Corporate segment pre-tax operating losses estimated at $(375)-(425) million.
Key takeaways and total company guidance
-
Updated reporting segments to better align with the Company’s go-forward business model:
- Reporting Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) in total
-
Combining Principal Global Investors and
Principal International into a new segment, Principal Asset Management -
Updating the name of the
U.S. Insurance Solutions segment to Benefits and Protection
-
Expect 2023 non-GAAP operating earnings per diluted share (EPS) growth of 3
-6% compared to 2022, excluding significant variances in both periods and reflecting macroeconomic assumptions as ofDec. 31, 2022 . Macroeconomic headwinds in 2022, which impacted assets under management and account values, are pressuring expected EPS growth in 2023. -
Long-term enterprise financial targets include:
-
9
-12% annual EPS growth -
14
-16% ROE1 -
75
-85% free capital flow conversion, including40% dividend payout ratio2
-
9
2023 and long-term guidance
The 2023 guidance ranges should be applied to the full year 2022 revenue amounts reflecting LDTI and excluding significant variances as shown in the table below and illustrated further in Exhibit 1.
|
Guidance measure |
2022 revenue,
(in millions) |
2022 revenue,
(in millions) |
2023 revenue
|
Long-term
|
Retirement and Income Solutions |
|||||
Retirement and Income Solutions |
Net revenue5 |
|
|
1 |
2 |
Operating margin6 |
|
|
35 |
36 |
|
Principal Asset Management |
|||||
|
Operating revenues less pass-through expenses7 |
|
|
(5)-(1)% |
4 |
Operating margin8 |
|
|
34 |
34 |
|
|
Combined net revenue (at PFG share)9 |
|
|
7 |
7 |
Operating margin10 |
|
|
30 |
34 |
|
Benefits and Protection |
|||||
Specialty Benefits |
Premium and fees11 |
|
|
8 |
7 |
Operating margin12 |
|
|
12 |
12 |
|
Incurred loss ratio |
|
|
60 |
60 |
|
Life Insurance |
Premium and fees11 |
|
|
0 |
1 |
Operating margin12 |
|
|
14 |
15 |
|
Anticipated significant variances
The 2023 guidance ranges exclude anticipated impacts of lower than expected variable investment income due to lower alternative investment returns, real estate sales, and prepayment fees. These items will be quantified on earnings calls as they occur throughout 2023.
Assumptions
The outlook for 2023 reflects:
-
Corporate segment pre-tax operating losses of
;$(375) -$(425) million -
U.S. GAAP total company net income (excluding the change in fair value of funds withheld embedded derivative) effective tax rate of 12-15% ; total company non-GAAP operating earnings effective tax rate13 of 16-19% ; -
8% equity market annual total return (6% price appreciation) as ofDec. 31, 2022 ; -
Interest rates follow forward curve as of
Dec. 31, 2022 ; and -
Future foreign exchange rates follow external consensus14 as of
January 2023 .
Conference call information
You can access the
-
Connect to investors.principal.com to listen to a live Internet webcast.
- Please go to the website at least 10-15 minutes prior to the start of the call to register, and to download/install any necessary audio software.
-
Via telephone by registering in advance through Call Me, a zero hold-time telephone dial-back service, or by dialing in one of the following numbers 10 minutes prior to the start of the call.
-
877-407-0832 (
U.S. and Canadian callers) - +1 201-689-8433 (International callers)
-
877-407-0832 (
-
An audio replay will be available approximately two hours after the live outlook call via:
- Online at investors.principal.com
-
Telephone:
-
877-660-6853 (
U.S. and Canadian callers) - +1 201-612-7415 (International callers)
- Access code: 13736280
-
The replay will be available through
March 7, 2023
-
877-660-6853 (
Forward looking and cautionary statements
Certain statements made by the company which are not historical facts may be considered forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements as to non-GAAP operating earnings, net income attributable to PFG, net cash flow, realized and unrealized gains and losses, capital and liquidity positions, sales and earnings trends, and management’s beliefs, expectations, goals and opinions. The company does not undertake to update these statements, which are based on a number of assumptions concerning future conditions that may ultimately prove to be inaccurate. Future events and their effects on the company may not be those anticipated, and actual results may differ materially from the results anticipated in these forward-looking statements. The risks, uncertainties and factors that could cause or contribute to such material differences are discussed in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended
Use of Non-GAAP financial measures
The company uses a number of non-GAAP financial measures that management believes are useful to investors because they illustrate the performance of normal, ongoing operations, which is important in understanding and evaluating the company’s financial condition and results of operations. They are not, however, a substitute for
About
|
|||
Reconciliation of |
|||
(in millions) |
|||
|
Full year 2022 |
||
Principal Global Investors Operating Revenues Less Pass-Through Expenses: |
|
||
Operating revenues |
$ |
1,715 |
|
Commissions and other expenses |
|
(137 |
) |
Operating revenues less pass-through expenses |
$ |
1,578 |
|
|
|
||
|
|
||
Principal International Combined Net Revenue (at PFG Share) |
|
||
Pre-tax operating earnings |
$ |
299 |
|
Combined operating expenses other than pass-through commissions (at PFG share) |
|
622 |
|
Combined net revenue (at PFG share) |
$ |
921 |
|
Exhibit 1 |
||||||
The table below provides the revenue impacts of significant variances1, recast for impacts under LDTI. |
||||||
|
Revenue metric |
2022 revenue,
|
Impacts of the 2022 significant variances (in millions) |
2022 revenue,
|
||
Actuarial
|
COVID-19
|
Other1 |
||||
Retirement and Income Solutions |
||||||
Retirement and Income Solutions |
Net revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
Principal Asset Management |
||||||
|
Operating revenues less pass-through expenses |
|
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Combined net revenue (at PFG share) |
|
- |
- |
|
|
Benefits and Protection |
||||||
Specialty Benefits |
Premium and fees |
|
- |
- |
- |
|
Life Insurance |
Premium and fees |
|
|
- |
- |
|
1 Non-GAAP return on equity, excluding cumulative change in fair value of funds withheld embedded derivative and AOCI other than foreign currency translation adjustment |
2 Based on net income attributable to PFG excluding income or loss from exited business |
3 Excludes the impacts from the significant variances under LDTI; see Exhibit 1 for details. |
4 Excludes anticipated impacts of lower than expected variable investment income in RIS and Benefits and Protection. |
5 Net revenue = operating revenues less benefits, claims and settlement expenses; liability for future policy benefits remeasurement (gain) loss; market risk benefit remeasurement (gain) loss; and dividends to policyholders. |
6 Operating margin = pre-tax operating earnings divided by net revenue. |
7 The company has provided reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable |
8 Operating margin = pre-tax operating earnings, adjusted for noncontrolling interest, divided by operating revenues less pass-through expenses. |
9 Combined net revenue (a non-GAAP financial measure): net revenue for all PI companies at |
10 Operating margin = pre-tax operating earnings divided by combined net revenue (at PFG share). |
11 Premium and fees = premiums and other considerations plus fees and other revenues. |
12 Operating margin = pre-tax operating earnings divided by premium and fees. |
13 The operating earnings effective tax rate is a non-GAAP financial measure and differs from the |
14 |
15 As of |
16 Barron’s, 2022 |
17 Pensions & Investments, 2022 |
18 Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
19 Other significant variances in 2022 include 1) lower than expected variable investment income in Retirement and |
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