Pan American Silver Announces 2023 Production and Cost Guidance
Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE: PAAS) announced its 2023 production and cost guidance following the completion of its acquisition of Yamana Gold on
- Acquired four producing mines and several exploration projects, increasing operational capacity.
- Projects a significant increase in silver and gold production for 2023.
- Expected annual synergies from the Yamana acquisition between $40 million to $60 million.
- Reclassifying capital expenditures may result in higher all-in sustaining costs (AISC).
Conference Call and Webcast
"The 2023 guidance is in line with our expectation for a material increase in silver and gold production together with lower consolidated operating costs following the acquisition of Yamana, indicative of the accretive nature of the transaction," said
Pan American reports mines under either a Silver Segment or a Gold Segment with costs calculated on a by-product basis (by-product metal sales a credit to costs to produce the primary metal for that segment). Yamana reported production and costs in gold equivalent ounces ("GEO"), which is not directly comparable to the way in which Pan American reports its production and costs.
The guidance also incorporates the application of Pan American's accounting and reporting policies to the Acquired Operations, of which the most significant changes relate to re-allocating large portions of previously capitalized mine development to operating expenses, and re-categorizing certain capital expenditures (including exploration and tailings facility expansions) from project capital to sustaining capital. This re-categorization will result in higher all-in sustaining costs ("AISC"). Specifically, for the Acquired Operations in 2023, Pan American is providing project capital guidance for Jacobina only, where it will be invested to complete certain growth-related projects that were already underway prior to the closing of the transaction with Yamana and to initiate a comprehensive mine optimization study. For the remaining Acquired Operations, all capital expenditures are being classified as sustaining capital for the remainder of 2023.
The following estimates contain forward-looking information about expected future events and financial and operating performance of Pan American. Readers should refer to the risks and assumptions set out in the "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Information" at the end of this news release. Pan American may revise forecasts during the year to reflect actual results to date and those anticipated for the remainder of the year.
2023 Production and Cost Forecast
|
Silver
|
Gold
|
Cash Costs
|
AISC
|
Silver Segment: |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 - 5.9 |
3 |
14.00 - 15.50 |
17.00 - 18.50 |
|
3.6 - 3.9 |
77 - 85 |
5.50 - 8.80 |
11.00 - 14.50 |
Huaron ( |
3.6 - 3.8 |
— |
5.80 - 7.30 |
11.50 - 13.00 |
|
2.5 - 2.6 |
— |
14.10 - 15.90 |
16.00 - 17.50 |
Manantial Espejo ( |
0.2 |
2 |
11.80 - 12.90 |
13.70 - 14.80 |
Total |
15.4 - 16.4 |
82 - 90 |
10.00 - 12.00 |
14.00 - 16.00 |
Gold Segment: |
|
|
|
|
|
— |
144 - 164 |
750 - 810 |
1,020 - 1,110 |
El Peñón ( |
2.9 - 3.5 |
122 - 142 |
600 - 770 |
785 - 985 |
|
— |
130 - 141 |
1,340 - 1,480 |
1,650 - 1,800 |
Shahuindo ( |
0.3 |
134 - 146 |
780 - 920 |
1,300 - 1,470 |
|
— |
98 - 106 |
1,200 - 1,270 |
1,600 - 1,690 |
|
0.2 - 0.3 |
62 - 74 |
1,340 - 1,430 |
1,700 - 1,850 |
|
2.2 - 2.5 |
98 - 107 |
1,110 - 1,240 |
1,230 - 1,360 |
Total |
5.6 - 6.6 |
788 - 880 |
975 - 1,100 |
1,275 - 1,425 |
12-months Pan American Original Assets Production(5) |
14.3 - 15.3 |
465 - 505 |
n/a |
n/a |
9-months Acquired Operations Production(6) |
6.7 - 7.7 |
405 - 465 |
n/a |
n/a |
Total Production |
21.0 - 23.0 |
870 - 970 |
n/a |
n/a |
(1) |
AISC is a non-GAAP measure. Please refer to the “Alternative Performance (Non-GAAP) Measures” section of this news release for further information on this measure. The AISC forecast assumes metal prices of |
|
(2) |
2023 production and AISC forecasts for |
|
(3) |
|
|
(4) |
Mining activities have been completed at Manantial Espejo and the operation was placed on care and maintenance at the end of 2022. |
|
(5) |
Includes |
|
(6) |
Reflects ownership of the Cerro Moro, Jacobina, El Peñón and |
2023 Consolidated Base Metal Production Forecast
|
Zinc
|
Lead
|
Copper
|
Consolidated Production |
41 - 45 |
18 - 21 |
5 |
2023 Capital Expenditure Forecast
|
Expenditures ($ millions) |
Sustaining Capital |
|
|
15.0 - 16.0 |
|
20.0 - 21.0 |
Huaron ( |
17.0 - 18.0 |
|
3.5 - 4.5 |
|
42.0 - 44.0 |
El Peñón ( |
25.5 - 26.5 |
|
41.0 - 43.0 |
Shahuindo ( |
72.0 - 74.0 |
|
38.0 - 40.0 |
|
24.0 - 25.0 |
|
7.0 - 8.0 |
Sustaining Capital Sub-total |
305.0 - 320.0 |
|
|
La Colorada Projects (Mexico) |
16.0 - 18.0 |
Huaron Projects ( |
22.0 - 25.0 |
Timmins Projects (Canada) |
11.0 - 13.0 |
Jacobina Projects (Brazil) |
26.0 - 29.0 |
Project Capital Sub-Total |
75.0 - 85.0 |
Total Capital Expenditures |
380.0 - 405.0 |
In 2023, Pan American plans to invest an estimated
-
At Jacobina,
to$26 of project capital will be invested during the nine-months of 2023 to stabilize the operation with the expansion underway, which involves upgrading plant facility infrastructure to sustain a gold recovery of about$29 million 96% . -
At
La Colorada , to$16 of project capital will be invested in: continued exploration and in-fill drilling on the Skarn project; advancing engineering work towards a preliminary economic assessment for the Skarn project, which is expected to be released in the second half of 2023; and advancing construction of the concrete-lined ventilation shaft, which is expected to benefit both the long-term development of the Skarn project, as well as the current vein-system operation. We expect to complete the concrete-lined ventilation shaft by the end of 2023 and install and commission the high-capacity fans in mid-2024. The shaft is currently at a depth of 270 metres, with the final depth being 560 metres. Pan American assumes mining ore below reserve grades until this additional infrastructure for the ventilation system is commissioned.$18 million -
At Huaron,
to$22 of project capital will be invested in advancing the construction of a tailings pressure filtration plant and a dry-stack tailings storage facility to replace the conventional tailings storage facility currently in operation. The project is expected to be completed in 2024 and operational thereafter.$25 million -
At Timmins,
to$12 of project capital will be invested in the construction of a paste fill plant at$13 million Bell Creek , which will improve backfill quality and availability for more effective ground support systems and to increase resource recovery and throughput.
General and Administrative and Greenfield Exploration Expenditures
In order to include ongoing adjustments, management intends to provide estimates for annual 2023 consolidated general and administrative expenses, greenfield exploration expenditures and care and maintenance spending as part of the unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2023, scheduled to be released on
Strong Financial Position Post Completion of Yamana Acquisition
As at
Conference Call and Webcast
Date: |
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Time: |
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Dial-in numbers: |
1-877-883-0383 (toll-free in |
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+1-412-902-6506 (international participants) |
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Conference ID: |
9134520 |
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Webcast: |
The live webcast and presentation slides will be available at https://www.panamericansilver.com/invest/events-and-presentations/. An archive of the webcast will also be available for three months.
Technical Information
Scientific and technical information contained in this news release have been reviewed and approved by
For additional information about
About Pan American
Pan American is a leading producer of precious metals in the
In this news release, we refer to measures that are not generally accepted accounting principle ("non-GAAP") financial measures. These measures are widely used in the mining industry as a benchmark for performance, but do not have a standardized meaning as prescribed by IFRS as an indicator of performance, and may differ from methods used by other companies with similar descriptions. These non-GAAP financial measures include:
- Cash Costs. Pan American's method of calculating cash costs may differ from the methods used by other entities and, accordingly, Pan American's Cash Costs may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other entities. Investors are cautioned that Cash Costs should not be construed as an alternative to production costs, depreciation and amortization, and royalties determined in accordance with IFRS as an indicator of performance.
- All-in Sustaining Costs per silver or gold ounce sold, net of by-product credits ("AISC"). Pan American has adopted AISC as a measure of its consolidated operating performance and its ability to generate cash from all operations collectively, and Pan American believes it is a more comprehensive measure of the cost of operating our consolidated business than traditional cash costs per payable ounce, as it includes the cost of replacing ounces through exploration, the cost of ongoing capital investments (sustaining capital), general and administrative expenses, as well as other items that affect Pan American's consolidated earnings and cash flow.
This news release should be read in conjunction with Pan American's Audited Consolidated Financial Statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Information
Certain of the statements and information in this news release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian provincial securities laws. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements or information. Forward-looking statements or information in this news release relate to, among other things: future financial or operational performance, and estimates of current production levels that remain subject to verification and adjustment, including our estimated production of silver, gold and other metals forecasted for 2023, our estimated Cash Costs, AISC and expenditures in 2023; future anticipated prices for gold, silver and other metals and assumed foreign exchange rates; whether Pan American is able to maintain a strong financial condition and have sufficient capital, or have access to capital through our corporate credit facility or otherwise, to sustain our business and operations and complete any anticipated capital spending; whether Pan American is able to realize synergies as a result of the transaction with Yamana; ; the ability of Pan American to successfully complete any capital projects, including with respect to Jacobina,
These forward-looking statements and information reflect Pan American’s current views with respect to future events and are necessarily based upon a number of assumptions that, while considered reasonable by Pan American, are inherently subject to significant operational, business, economic and regulatory uncertainties and contingencies. These assumptions include: the world-wide economic and social impact of COVID-19 and the extent of any impacts related to the COVID-19 pandemic; tonnage of ore to be mined and processed; ore grades and recoveries; prices for silver, gold and base metals remaining as estimated; currency exchange rates remaining as estimated; capital, decommissioning and reclamation estimates; our mineral reserve and resource estimates and the assumptions upon which they are based; prices for energy inputs, labour, materials, supplies and services (including transportation); no labour-related disruptions at any of our operations; no unplanned delays or interruptions in scheduled production; all necessary permits, licenses and regulatory approvals for our operations are received in a timely manner; our ability to secure and maintain title and ownership to properties and the surface rights necessary for our operations; and our ability to comply with environmental, health and safety laws. The foregoing list of assumptions is not exhaustive.
Pan American cautions the reader that forward-looking statements and information involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release and Pan American has made assumptions and estimates based on or related to many of these factors. Such factors include, without limitation: the duration and effects of COVID-19, and any other pandemics on our operations and workforce, and the effects on global economies and society; fluctuations in silver, gold and base metal prices; fluctuations in prices for energy inputs, labour, materials, supplies and services (including transportation); fluctuations in currency markets (such as the PEN, MXN, ARS, BOB, GTQ, CAD, CLP, and BRL versus the USD); operational risks and hazards inherent with the business of mining (including environmental accidents and hazards, industrial accidents, equipment breakdown, unusual or unexpected geological or structural formations, cave-ins, flooding and severe weather); risks relating to the credit worthiness or financial condition of suppliers, refiners and other parties with whom Pan American does business; inadequate insurance, or inability to obtain insurance, to cover these risks and hazards; employee relations; relationships with, and claims by, local communities and indigenous populations; our ability to obtain all necessary permits, licenses and regulatory approvals in a timely manner; changes in laws, regulations and government practices in the jurisdictions where we operate, including environmental, export and import laws and regulations; changes in national and local government, legislation, taxation, controls or regulations and political, legal or economic developments in
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For more information about Pan American:
VP, Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
Ph: 604-806-3191
Email: ir@panamericansilver.com
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