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Northern Trust Universe Data: Strong 2024 Performance for U.S. Institutional Investors, Despite Q4 Market Volatility

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Northern Trust reported mixed Q4 2023 performance for institutional investors, with the All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe showing a -0.8% median return in Q4 but achieving a 9.4% gain for full-year 2024. The universe tracks 385 large U.S. institutional investment plans with combined assets exceeding $1.4 trillion.

Q4 performance varied across segments: Corporate (ERISA) plans declined -3.9%, Public Funds fell -1.1%, while Foundation and Endowment universe gained 0.01%. Market volatility was influenced by U.S. election results and Federal Reserve signals about future rate cuts. Despite turbulence, U.S. equity indices reached all-time highs, driven by AI-related stocks.

For the full year 2024, portfolios with higher equity allocations outperformed those heavy in fixed income. The Foundation and Endowment universe, with under 10% fixed income allocation, achieved a 10.2% annual return, while the ERISA universe, with over 50% in fixed income, returned 3.0%.

Northern Trust ha riportato una performance mista nel quarto trimestre del 2023 per gli investitori istituzionali, con l'universo dei piani All Funds Over $100 Million che ha registrato un rendimento mediano del -0,8% nel quarto trimestre, ma ottenendo un guadagno del 9,4% per l'intero anno 2024. Questo universo monitora 385 piani di investimento istituzionali americani di grandi dimensioni, con attivi combinati superiori a $1,4 trilioni.

Le performance del quarto trimestre hanno variato tra i segmenti: i piani aziendali (ERISA) hanno mostrato una contrazione del -3,9%, i fondi pubblici sono scesi dell'1,1%, mentre l'universo delle Fondazioni e delle Eredità ha guadagnato lo 0,01%. La volatilità del mercato è stata influenzata dai risultati delle elezioni americane e dai segnali della Federal Reserve riguardo i futuri tagli dei tassi. Nonostante le turbolenze, gli indici azionari americani hanno raggiunto massimi storici, trainati da azioni legate all'IA.

Per l'intero anno 2024, i portafogli con maggiori allocazioni in azioni hanno sovraperformato quelli con una forte componente a reddito fisso. L'universo delle Fondazioni e delle Eredità, con meno del 10% di allocazione in reddito fisso, ha ottenuto un rendimento annuale del 10,2%, mentre l'universo ERISA, con oltre il 50% in reddito fisso, ha restituito il 3,0%.

Northern Trust informó sobre un desempeño mixto en el cuarto trimestre de 2023 para los inversores institucionales, con el universo de planes All Funds Over $100 Million mostrando un rendimiento medio de -0,8% en el cuarto trimestre, pero logrando una ganancia del 9,4% para el año completo 2024. Este universo sigue 385 grandes planes de inversión institucional de EE. UU. con activos combinados que superan los $1,4 billones.

El desempeño del cuarto trimestre varió entre segmentos: los planes corporativos (ERISA) cayeron un -3,9%, los fondos públicos bajaron un -1,1%, mientras que el universo de Fundaciones y Dotaciones ganó un 0,01%. La volatilidad del mercado estuvo influenciada por los resultados de las elecciones en EE. UU. y las señales de la Reserva Federal sobre futuros recortes de tasas. A pesar de la turbulencia, los índices bursátiles de EE. UU. alcanzaron máximos históricos, impulsados por acciones relacionadas con IA.

Durante el año completo 2024, los portafolios con mayores asignaciones en acciones superaron a aquellos con una fuerte carga en renta fija. El universo de Fundaciones y Dotaciones, con menos del 10% de asignación en renta fija, logró un rendimiento anual del 10,2%, mientras que el universo ERISA, con más del 50% en renta fija, retornó un 3,0%.

노던 트러스트(Northern Trust)는 2023년 4분기 기관 투자자에 대한 혼합된 실적을 보고했으며, All Funds Over $100 Million 계획 우주에서 4분기에 -0.8%의 중간 수익률을 나타냈지만 2024년 전체 연간 수익률은 9.4%에 달했습니다. 이 우주는 총 자산이 1.4조 달러를 초과하는 385개의 대형 미국 기관 투자 계획을 추적합니다.

4분기 성과는 세그먼트별로 차이를 보였습니다: 기업(ERISA) 계획은 -3.9% 감소했으며, 공공 기금은 -1.1% 하락했고, 재단 및 기부 재단 우주는 0.01% 상승했습니다. 시장 변동성은 미국 선거 결과와 연준의 향후 금리 인하 신호에 영향을 받았습니다. 불안정한 상황에도 불구하고 미국 주식 지수는 AI 관련 주식의 주도로 사상 최고치를 기록했습니다.

2024년 전체 연도 동안 주식 할당 비율이 높은 포트폴리오가 고정 수입 위주의 포트폴리오보다 더 나은 성과를 기록했습니다. 고정 수입 비율이 10% 미만인 재단 및 기부 재단 우주는 10.2%의 연간 수익률을 달성했으며, 50% 이상의 고정 수입 비율을 가진 ERISA 우주는 3.0%의 수익률을 반환했습니다.

Northern Trust a rapporté des performances mitigées au quatrième trimestre 2023 pour les investisseurs institutionnels, avec l'univers des plans All Funds Over $100 Million affichant un rendement médian de -0,8% au quatrième trimestre, mais atteignant un gain de 9,4% pour l'année complète 2024. Cet univers suit 385 grands plans d'investissement institutionnels américains ayant des actifs combinés dépassant 1,4 trillion de dollars.

La performance du quatrième trimestre a varié selon les segments : les plans d'entreprise (ERISA) ont baissé de -3,9%, les fonds publics ont reculé de -1,1%, tandis que l'univers des Fondations et des Dotations a gagné 0,01%. La volatilité du marché a été influencée par le résultat des élections américaines et les signaux de la Réserve fédérale concernant de futurs abaissements de taux. Malgré cette turbulence, les indices boursiers américains ont atteint des sommets historiques, soutenus par des actions liées à l'IA.

Pour l'année complète 2024, les portefeuilles ayant une plus forte allocation en actions ont surpassé ceux lourdement investis en obligations. L'univers des Fondations et des Dotations, avec moins de 10% d'allocation en obligations, a réalisé un rendement annuel de 10,2%, tandis que l'univers ERISA, avec plus de 50% en obligations, a retourné 3,0%.

Northern Trust veröffentlichte gemischte Ergebnisse für das vierte Quartal 2023 für institutionelle Investoren, wobei das Universum der All Funds Over $100 Million-Pläne im vierten Quartal eine mediane Rendite von -0,8% verzeichnete, aber eine Gesamtrendite von 9,4% für das Jahr 2024 erzielte. Dieses Universum überwacht 385 große institutionelle Anlagepläne in den USA mit einem Gesamtvermögen von über 1,4 Billionen US-Dollar.

Die Performance im vierten Quartal variierte nach Segmenten: Unternehmenspläne (ERISA) sanken um -3,9%, öffentliche Fonds fielen um -1,1%, während das Universum der Stiftungen und Stiftungen um 0,01% zulegte. Die Marktschwankungen wurden durch die Ergebnisse der US-Wahlen und die Signale der Federal Reserve zu zukünftigen Zinssenkungen beeinflusst. Trotz der Turbulenzen erreichten die US-Aktienindizes historische Höchststände, angetrieben von Aktien im Zusammenhang mit Künstlicher Intelligenz.

Im Gesamtjahr 2024 schnitt die Portfolios mit höheren Aktienanteilen besser ab als die, die stark in festverzinsliche Anlagen investiert waren. Das Universum der Stiftungen und Endowments, mit weniger als 10% festverzinslichen Anlagen, erzielte eine jährliche Rendite von 10,2%, während das ERISA-Universum, mit über 50% in festverzinslichen Anlagen, eine Rendite von 3,0% erreichte.

Positive
  • All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe achieved 9.4% gain for full-year 2024
  • Foundation and Endowment universe posted 10.2% annual return
  • Major U.S. equity indices reached all-time highs in Q4
Negative
  • All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe declined -0.8% in Q4 2024
  • Corporate (ERISA) plans dropped -3.9% in Q4
  • ERISA universe showed weak 3.0% annual return due to high fixed income allocation
  • US Fixed Income program universe declined -2.3% in Q4

Insights

The latest Northern Trust Universe data presents a compelling narrative about institutional investment performance in 2024, with several key insights worth unpacking. The $1.4 trillion tracking universe provides a comprehensive view of institutional investment trends, representing a significant portion of the U.S. institutional market.

The performance divergence between different fund categories tells an important story about asset allocation strategy effectiveness. Foundation & Endowment funds achieved a superior 10.2% annual return, primarily due to their aggressive equity positioning and fixed income exposure (10% allocation). In contrast, ERISA funds, with over 50% fixed income allocation, posted just 3.0% annual returns, highlighting the opportunity cost of conservative positioning in a strong equity market.

The Q4 market dynamics were particularly noteworthy. Despite the S&P 500's 2.4% gain and growth stocks outperforming value by over 9%, institutional portfolios broadly struggled. This disconnect reveals how diversification requirements and liability-matching strategies can sometimes limit participation in market rallies, especially when gains are concentrated in specific sectors like AI.

The significant rise in 10-year Treasury yields from 3.81% to 4.58% during Q4 created meaningful headwinds for fixed income portfolios, resulting in a -2.3% median return for U.S. Fixed Income programs. This yield movement, combined with the Fed's guidance on future rate cuts, suggests continued challenges for bond-heavy portfolios in the near term.

The three and five-year return patterns across different fund categories demonstrate the long-term impact of asset allocation decisions. F&E funds' 8.1% five-year return versus ERISA's 2.9% highlights how regulatory constraints and liability-matching requirements can significantly impact long-term performance outcomes.

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Strong U.S. equity market returns were offset by weakness in the bond market and global stocks in the fourth quarter of 2024, generating flat returns for institutional investors following four consecutive quarters of solid gains. The Northern Trust All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe had a median return of -0.8% in the fourth quarter but was up 9.4% for the full year in 2024.

The Northern Trust Universe tracks the performance of 385 large U.S. institutional investment plans, with a combined asset value of more than $1.4 trillion, which subscribe to performance measurement services as part of Northern Trust's asset servicing offerings.

The Northern Trust Corporate (ERISA) universe median plan return was down -3.9% for the quarter, and the Northern Trust Public Funds universe posted a median return of -1.1% while the Northern Trust Foundation and Endowment (F&E) universe was up by .01% for the period ending December 31.

“The fourth quarter was marked by peaks and valleys, as markets reacted to U.S. election results in November and the Federal Reserve signaling in December that future interest rate cuts would be limited,” said John Turney, Global Head of Total Portfolio Solutions, Northern Trust Asset Servicing. “Despite this turbulence, major U.S. equity indices closed out the quarter at all-time highs, fueled by strong gains from stocks tied to Artificial Intelligence.”

The S&P 500 Large Cap Index was up 2.4% for the three-month period. The Russell 1000 Large Cap Growth Index produced a return of 7.1%, outperforming the Russell 1000 Large Cap Value Index return of -2.0%. The Russell 1000 Large Cap Index was up 2.7%, compared to the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index of 0.3% for the period.

In line with market expectations, the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 50 basis points in the fourth quarter, bringing the Fed Funds rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The U.S. Ten-Year Government Bond yield rose from 3.81% to 4.58% during the quarter. The Northern Trust US Fixed Income program universe median return was down -2.3% for the quarter.

In the full calendar year 2024, U.S. equity markets outperformed both international equity markets and global fixed income markets. Plans that had a higher allocation to public and private equity outperformed those with significant allocations to fixed income. For example, the median one-year return for the Northern Trust Foundation and Endowment universe, which maintains a median allocation to fixed income below 10%, was 10.2%. In comparison, the Northern Trust ERISA universe, with a median allocation to fixed income exceeding 50%, reported a one-year median return of 3.0%.

Results as of December 31, 2024:

 

4th Qtr

 

1Yr

 

3Yr

 

5Yr

ERISA

-3.9%

 

 3.0%

 

 -2.5%

 

 2.9%

Public Funds

 -1.1%

 

8.6%

 

2.5%

 

6.7%

Foundations & Endowments

 0.1%

 

10.2%

 

3.3%

 

 8.1%

About Northern Trust

Northern Trust Corporation (Nasdaq: NTRS) is a leading provider of wealth management, asset servicing, asset management and banking to corporations, institutions, affluent families and individuals. Founded in Chicago in 1889, Northern Trust has a global presence with offices in 24 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., and across 22 locations in Canada, Europe, the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region. As of December 31, 2024, Northern Trust had assets under custody/administration of US$16.8 trillion, and assets under management of US$1.6 trillion. For more than 135 years, Northern Trust has earned distinction as an industry leader for exceptional service, financial expertise, integrity and innovation. Visit us on northerntrust.com. Follow us on Instagram @northerntrustcompany or Northern Trust on LinkedIn.

Northern Trust Corporation, Head Office: 50 South La Salle Street, Chicago, Illinois 60603 U.S.A., incorporated with limited liability in the U.S. Global legal and regulatory information can be found at https://www.northerntrust.com/terms-and-conditions.

Media Contacts

Europe, Middle East, Africa & Asia-Pacific:

Camilla Greene

+44 (0) 20 7982 2176

Camilla_Greene@ntrs.com

Simon Ansell

+ 44 (0) 20 7982 1016

Simon_Ansell@ntrs.com

US & Canada:

John O’Connell

+1 312 444 2388

John_O’Connell@ntrs.com

http://www.northerntrust.com

Source: Northern Trust Corporation

FAQ

What was Northern Trust's (NTRS) All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe return in Q4 2024?

The Northern Trust All Funds Over $100 Million plan universe posted a median return of -0.8% in Q4 2024.

How did NTRS Foundation and Endowment universe perform compared to ERISA plans in 2024?

The Foundation and Endowment universe achieved a 10.2% return in 2024, significantly outperforming ERISA plans which returned 3.0%.

What was the size of Northern Trust's (NTRS) tracked institutional investment plans?

Northern Trust tracked 385 large U.S. institutional investment plans with a combined asset value exceeding $1.4 trillion.

How did different Northern Trust (NTRS) universe segments perform in Q4 2024?

In Q4 2024, Corporate (ERISA) plans declined -3.9%, Public Funds fell -1.1%, while Foundation and Endowment universe gained 0.01%.

What factors influenced NTRS institutional investor performance in Q4 2024?

Performance was influenced by U.S. election results, Federal Reserve signals about future rate cuts, and strong gains in AI-related stocks.

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