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NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results

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NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) reported a net income of $60.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2021, reflecting a 5% increase from the previous quarter and a significant 58% year-over-year growth. Adjusted net income rose to $61.8 million, equating to $0.71 per diluted share. The primary insurance-in-force reached $143.6 billion, up 5% quarter-over-quarter and 37% year-over-year. Shareholders' equity increased by 4% from the previous quarter. The favorable credit performance and demand for down payment assistance position the company well for continued growth.

Positive
  • Net income increased by 5% quarter-over-quarter and 58% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted net income reached $61.8 million, 6% higher than the previous quarter.
  • Primary insurance-in-force rose to $143.6 billion, up 5% quarter-over-quarter and 37% year-over-year.
  • Shareholders' equity increased to $1.5 billion, a 4% quarter-over-quarter rise.
Negative
  • New insurance written (NIW) decreased by 13% quarter-over-quarter.

EMERYVILLE, Calif., Nov. 02, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- NMI Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: NMIH) today reported net income of $60.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021, which compares to $57.5 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, in the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 and $38.2 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, in the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $61.8 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, which compares to $58.1 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, in the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 and $40.4 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, in the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. The non-GAAP financial measures adjusted net income, adjusted diluted earnings per share and adjusted return on equity are presented in this release to enhance the comparability of financial results between periods. See "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" and our reconciliation of such measures to their most comparable GAAP measures, below.

Claudia Merkle, CEO of National MI, said, “We delivered strong operating performance, significant growth in our high-quality insured portfolio and record financial results in the third quarter. Our credit performance continued to trend in a favorable direction, and we remain optimistic about the broad strength of the economy and resiliency of the housing market. We are an organization that is leading with impact, and believe we are well positioned to continue to support borrowers in need of down payment assistance, drive disciplined growth in our insurance in-force and deliver strong risk-adjusted returns going forward.”

Selected third quarter 2021 highlights include:

  • Primary insurance-in-force at quarter end was $143.6 billion, up 5% from $136.6 billion in the second quarter and 37% compared to $104.5 billion in the third quarter of 2020

  • Net premiums earned were $113.6 million, up 2% compared to $110.9 million in the second quarter and 15% compared to $98.8 million in the third quarter of 2020

  • Underwriting and operating expenses were $34.7 million, including $1.3 million of costs incurred in connection with our CEO transition and $0.5 million of capital market transaction costs, compared to $34.7 million in the second quarter and $34.0 million in the third quarter of 2020

  • Insurance claims and claim expenses were $3.2 million, compared to $4.6 million in the second quarter and $15.7 million in the third quarter of 2020

  • Shareholders' equity was $1.5 billion at quarter end, equal to $17.68 per share, up 4% compared to $17.03 per share in the second quarter and 15% compared to $15.42 per share in the third quarter of 2020

  • Annualized return on equity for the quarter was 16.2% and annualized adjusted return on equity was 16.6%

  • At quarter-end, total PMIERs available assets were $2.0 billion and net risk-based required assets were $1.4 billion

  Quarter EndedQuarter EndedQuarter EndedChange (1)Change (1)
  9/30/20216/30/20219/30/2020Q/QY/Y
INSURANCE METRICS ($billions)
Primary Insurance-in-Force143.6 136.6 104.5  %37  %
New Insurance Written - NIW     
 Monthly premium16.9 19.4 16.5 (13)% %
 Single premium1.2 3.3 2.0 (63)%(38)%
 Total (2)18.1 22.8 18.5 (21)%(2)%
      
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (Unaudited, $millions, except per share amounts)
      
Net Premiums Earned113.6 110.9 98.8  %15  %
Insurance Claims and Claim Expenses3.2 4.6 15.7 (31)%(80)%
Underwriting and Operating Expenses34.7 34.7 34.0 —  % %
Net Income60.2 57.5 38.2  %58  %
Adjusted Net Income61.8 58.1 40.4  %53  %
Cash and Investments2,152 2,062 1,884  %14  %
Shareholders' Equity1,516 1,460 1,308  %16  %
Book Value per Share17.68 17.03 15.42  %15  %
Loss Ratio2.8%4.2%15.9%  
Expense Ratio30.5%31.3%34.4%  

(1) Percentages may not be replicated based on the rounded figures presented in the table.
(2) Total may not foot due to rounding.

Conference Call and Webcast Details

The company will hold a conference call, which will be webcast live today, November 2, 2021, at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The webcast will be available on the company's website, www.nationalmi.com, in the "Investor Relations" section. The conference call can also be accessed by dialing (888) 734-0328 in the U.S., or (914) 495-8578 internationally, and using Conference ID: 1091419 or by referencing NMI Holdings, Inc.

About NMI Holdings, Inc.

NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH), is the parent company of National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (National MI), a U.S.-based, private mortgage insurance company enabling low down payment borrowers to realize home ownership while protecting lenders and investors against losses related to a borrower's default. To learn more, please visit www.nationalmi.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this press release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the "PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a "safe harbor" for any forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by reference in this release are forward-looking statements, including any statements about our expectations, outlook, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "can," "could," "may," "predict," "assume," "potential," "should," "will," "estimate," "plan," "project," "continuing," "ongoing," "expect," "intend" and similar words or phrases. All forward-looking statements are only predictions and involve estimates, known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties that may turn out to be inaccurate and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them. Many risks and uncertainties are inherent in our industry and markets. Others are more specific to our business and operations. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements include, but are not limited to: uncertainty relating to the COVID-19 pandemic and the measures taken by governmental authorities and other third parties to combat it, including their impact on the global economy, the U.S. housing, real estate, housing finance and mortgage insurance markets, and the Company’s business, operations and personnel; changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (collectively, the "GSEs"), including decisions that have the impact of decreasing or discontinuing the use of mortgage insurance as credit enhancement generally, or with first time homebuyers or on very high loan-to-value mortgages; our ability to remain an eligible mortgage insurer under the private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements ("PMIERs") and other requirements imposed by the GSEs, which they may change at any time; retention of our existing certificates of authority in each state and the District of Columbia ("D.C.") and our ability to remain a mortgage insurer in good standing in each state and D.C.; our future profitability, liquidity and capital resources; actions of existing competitors, including other private mortgage insurers and government mortgage insurers, such as the Federal Housing Administration, U.S. Department of Agriculture's Rural Housing Service and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, and potential market entry by new competitors or consolidation of existing competitors; developments in the world’s financial and capital markets and our access to such markets, including reinsurance; adoption of new or changes to existing laws, rules and regulations that impact our business or financial condition directly or the mortgage insurance industry generally or their enforcement and implementation by regulators, including the implementation of the final rules defining and/or concerning "Qualified Mortgage" and "Qualified Residential Mortgage"; U.S, federal tax reform and other potential changes in tax law and their impact on us and our operations; legislative or regulatory changes to the GSEs' role in the secondary mortgage market or other changes that could affect the residential mortgage industry generally or mortgage insurance industry in particular; potential future lawsuits, investigations or inquiries or resolution of current lawsuits or inquiries; changes in general economic, market and political conditions and policies, interest rates, inflation and investment results or other conditions that affect the housing market or the markets for home mortgages or mortgage insurance; our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our ability to access the capital, credit and reinsurance markets and to enter into, and receive approval of, reinsurance arrangements on terms and conditions that are acceptable to us, the GSEs and our regulators; our ability to implement our business strategy, including our ability to write mortgage insurance on high quality low-down payment residential mortgage loans, implement successfully and on a timely basis, complex infrastructure, systems, procedures, and internal controls to support our business and regulatory and reporting requirements of the insurance industry; our ability to attract and retain a diverse customer base, including the largest mortgage originators; failure of risk management or pricing or investment strategies; decrease in the length of time our insurance policies are in force; emergence of unexpected claim and coverage issues, including claims exceeding our reserves or amounts we had expected to experience; potential adverse impacts arising from natural disasters, including, with respect to affected areas, a decline in new business, adverse effects on home prices, and an increase in notices of default on insured mortgages; the inability of our counterparties, including third party reinsurers, to meet their obligations to us; failure to maintain, improve and continue to develop necessary information technology systems or the failure of technology providers to perform; and, our ability to recruit, train and retain key personnel. These risks and uncertainties also include, but are not limited to, those set forth under the heading "Risk Factors" detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, as subsequently updated through other reports we file with the SEC. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. We caution you not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statement, which speaks only as of the date on which it is made, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect new information, future events or circumstances that occur after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events except as required by law.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

We believe the use of the non-GAAP measures of adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio enhances the comparability of our fundamental financial performance between periods, and provides relevant information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by management. These measures are not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. These measures have been presented to increase transparency and enhance the comparability of our fundamental operating trends across periods. Other companies may calculate these measures differently; their measures may not be comparable to those we calculate and present.

Adjusted income before tax is defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the pre-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred.

Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income, excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred. Adjustments to components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.

Adjusted diluted EPS is defined as adjusted net income divided by adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding is defined as weighted average diluted shares outstanding, adjusted for changes in the dilutive effect of non-vested shares that would otherwise have occurred had GAAP net income been calculated in accordance with adjusted net income. There will be no adjustment to weighted average diluted shares outstanding in the periods that non-vested shares are anti-dilutive under GAAP.

Adjusted return on equity is calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis by the average shareholders' equity for the period.

Adjusted expense ratio is defined as GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, divided by net premiums earned.

Adjusted combined ratio is defined as the total of GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions and insurance claims and claims expenses, divided by net premiums earned.

Although adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items: (1) are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) are impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, and the reasons for their treatment, are described below.

(1) Change in fair value of warrant liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the statement of operations in the period in which the change occurred. The change in fair value of our warrant liability can vary significantly across periods and is influenced principally by equity market and general economic factors that do not impact or reflect our current period operating results. We believe trends in our operating performance can be more clearly identified by excluding fluctuations related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability.

(2) Capital markets transaction costs. Capital markets transaction costs result from activities that are undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital markets reinsurance transactions that may vary in their size and timing due to factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles.

(3) Net realized investment gains and losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing is highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles that do not reflect our current period operating results.

(4) Other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items. Items that are the result of unforeseen or uncommon events, and are not expected to recur with frequency in the future. Identification and exclusion of these items provides clarity about the impact special or rare occurrences may have on our current financial performance. Infrequent, unusual or non-operating adjustments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, include severance, restricted stock modification and other expenses incurred in connection with the CEO transition we announced on September 9, 2021. Past adjustments under this category include the effects of the release of the valuation allowance recorded against our net federal and certain state net deferred tax assets in 2016 and the re-measurement of our net deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform in 2017. We believe such items are infrequent or non-recurring in nature, and are not indicative of the performance of, or ongoing trends in, our primary operating activities or business.

Investor Contact
John M. Swenson
Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury
john.swenson@nationalmi.com
(510) 788-8417


Consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (unaudited)For the three months ended
September 30,
 For the nine months ended
September 30,
 2021
 2020
 2021
 2020
Revenues(In Thousands, except for per share data)
Net premiums earned$113,594  $98,802  $330,361  $296,463 
Net investment income9,831  8,337  28,027  23,511 
Net realized investment gains (losses)3  (4) 15  635 
Other revenues613  648  1,597  2,771 
Total revenues124,041  107,783  360,000  323,380 
Expenses       
Insurance claims and claim expenses3,204  15,667  12,806  55,698 
Underwriting and operating expenses34,669  33,969  103,460  96,616 
Service expenses787  557  1,859  2,381 
Interest expense7,930  7,796  23,767  16,481 
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability  437  (454) (4,286)
Total expenses46,590  58,426  141,438  166,890 
        
Income before income taxes77,451  49,357  218,562  156,490 
Income tax expense17,258  11,178  47,956  33,192 
Net income$60,193  $38,179  $170,606  $123,298 
        
Earnings per share       
Basic$0.70  $0.45  $1.99  $1.63 
Diluted$0.69  $0.45  $1.96  $1.55 
        
Weighted average common shares outstanding       
Basic85,721  84,805  85,563  75,695 
Diluted86,880  85,599  86,794  76,867 
        
Loss ratio (1)2.8% 15.9% 3.9% 18.8%
Expense ratio (2)30.5% 34.4% 31.3% 32.6%
Combined ratio (3)33.3% 50.2% 35.2% 51.4%
        
Net income$60,193  $38,179  $170,606  $123,298 
        
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:       
Unrealized (losses) gains in accumulated other comprehensive gain (loss), net of tax (benefit) expense of $(2,165) and $2,494 for the three months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, and $(9,168) and $7,655 for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively(8,144) 9,381  (34,487) 28,799 
Reclassification adjustment for realized (gains) losses included in net income, net of tax expense (benefit) of $1 and ($1) for the three months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, and $3 and ($258) for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively(2) 3  (12) 972 
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax(8,146) 9,384  (34,499) 29,771 
Comprehensive income$52,047  $47,563  $136,107  $153,069 

(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to rounding


Consolidated balance sheets (unaudited)September 30, 2021 December 31, 2020
Assets(In Thousands, except for share data)
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of $2,024,639 and $1,730,835 as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively)$2,054,419  $1,804,286 
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of $3,572 and $5,555 as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively)97,260  126,937 
Premiums receivable58,499  49,779 
Accrued investment income12,114  9,862 
Prepaid expenses4,409  3,292 
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net61,362  62,225 
Software and equipment, net32,066  29,665 
Intangible assets and goodwill3,634  3,634 
Prepaid reinsurance premiums2,969  6,190 
Reinsurance recoverable20,420  17,608 
Other assets51,162  53,188 
Total assets$2,398,314  $2,166,666 
    
Liabilities   
Debt$394,282  $393,301 
Unearned premiums139,624  118,817 
Accounts payable and accrued expenses78,657  61,716 
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses104,604  90,567 
Reinsurance funds withheld6,280  8,653 
Warrant liability, at fair value3,010  4,409 
Deferred tax liability, net151,364  112,586 
Other liabilities4,267  7,026 
Total liabilities882,088  797,075 
    
Shareholders' equity   
Common stock - class A shares, $0.01 par value; 85,743,638 and 85,163,039 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively (250,000,000 shares authorized)857  852 
Additional paid-in capital948,395  937,872 
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax19,357  53,856 
Retained earnings547,617  377,011 
Total shareholders' equity1,516,226  1,369,591 
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity$2,398,314  $2,166,666 


Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations (unaudited)
 For the three months ended For the nine months ended
 9/30/2021 6/30/2021 9/30/2020 9/30/2021 9/30/2020
As Reported(In Thousands, except for per share data)    
Revenues         
Net premiums earned$113,594   $110,888   $98,802   $330,361   $296,463  
Net investment income9,831   9,382   8,337   28,027   23,511  
Net realized investment gains (losses)3   12   (4)  15   635  
Other revenues613   483   648   1,597   2,771  
Total revenues124,041   120,765   107,783   360,000   323,380  
Expenses         
Insurance claims and claim expenses3,204   4,640   15,667   12,806   55,698  
Underwriting and operating expenses34,669   34,725   33,969   103,460   96,616  
Service expenses787   481   557   1,859   2,381  
Interest expense7,930   7,922   7,796   23,767   16,481  
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability   (658)  437   (454)  (4,286) 
Total expenses46,590   47,110   58,426   141,438   166,890  
          
Income before income taxes77,451   73,655   49,357   218,562   156,490  
Income tax expense17,258   16,133   11,178   47,956   33,192  
Net income $60,193   $57,522   $38,179   $170,606   $123,298  
          
Adjustments:         
Net realized investment (gains) losses(3)  (12)  4   (15)  (635) 
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability   (658)  437   (454)  (4,286) 
Capital markets transaction costs481   1,615   2,254   2,474   5,518  
Other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items (6)1,289         1,289     
Adjusted income before taxes79,218   74,600   52,052   221,856   157,087  
          
Income tax expense on adjustments (7)139   337   474   555   1,025  
Adjusted net income$61,821   $58,130   $40,400   $173,345   $122,870  
          
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding86,880   86,819   85,599   86,794   76,867  
          
Diluted EPS (1)$0.69   $0.65   $0.45   $1.96   $1.55  
Adjusted diluted EPS $0.71   $0.67   $0.47   $2.00   $1.60  
          
Return-on-equity 16.2 % 16.2 % 11.9 % 15.8 % 14.7 %
Adjusted return-on-equity16.6 % 16.4 % 12.6 % 16.0 % 14.6 %
          
Expense ratio (2)30.5 % 31.3 % 34.4 % 31.3 % 32.6 %
Adjusted expense ratio (3)29.0 % 29.9 % 32.1 % 30.2 % 31.6 %
          
Combined ratio (4)33.3 % 35.5 % 50.2 % 35.2 % 51.4 %
Adjusted combined ratio (5)31.8 % 34.0 % 48.0 % 34.1 % 50.4 %

(1) Diluted net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, excludes the impact of the warrant fair value change as it was anti-dilutive. For all other periods presented, diluted net income equals reported net income as the impact of the warrant fair value change was dilutive.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Adjusted expense ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted underwriting and operating expense (underwriting and operating expenses excluding costs related to capital markets reinsurance transactions and infrequent or unusual non-operating items) by net premiums earned.
(4) Combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of underwriting and operating expenses and insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
(5) Adjusted combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of adjusted underwriting and operating expenses (underwriting and operating expenses excluding costs related to capital market reinsurance transaction and infrequent or unusual non-operating items) and insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
(6) Represents severance, restricted stock modification and other expenses incurred in connection with the CEO transition announced on September 9, 2021.
(7) Marginal tax impact of non-GAAP adjustments is calculated based on our statutory U.S. federal corporate income tax rate of 21%, except for those items that are not eligible for an income tax deduction. Such non-deductible items include gains or losses from the change in the fair value of our warrant liability and certain costs incurred in connection with the CEO transition, which are limited under Section 162(m) of the Internal Revenue Code.


Historical Quarterly Data2021 2020
 September 30 June 30 March 31 December 31 September 30 June 30
Revenues(In Thousands, except for per share data)
Net premiums earned$113,594  $110,888   $105,879  $100,709  $98,802   $98,944 
Net investment income9,831  9,382   8,814  8,386  8,337   7,070 
Net realized investment gains (losses)3  12     295  (4)  711 
Other revenues613  483   501  513  648   1,223 
Total revenues124,041  120,765   115,194  109,903  107,783   107,948 
Expenses           
Insurance claims and claim expenses3,204  4,640   4,962  3,549  15,667   34,334 
Underwriting and operating expenses34,669  34,725   34,065  34,994  33,969   30,370 
Service expenses787  481   591  459  557   1,090 
Interest expense7,930  7,922   7,915  7,906  7,796   5,941 
(Gain ) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability  (658)  205  1,379  437   1,236 
Total expenses46,590  47,110   47,738  48,287  58,426   72,971 
            
Income before income taxes77,451  73,655   67,456  61,616  49,357   34,977 
Income tax expense17,258  16,133   14,565  13,348  11,178   8,129 
Net income$60,193  $57,522   $52,891  $48,268  $38,179   $26,848 
            
Earnings per share           
Basic$0.70  $0.67   $0.62  $0.57  $0.45   $0.36 
Diluted$0.69  $0.65   $0.61  $0.56  $0.45   $0.36 
            
Weighted average common shares outstanding           
Basic85,721  85,647   85,317  84,956  84,805   73,617 
Diluted86,880  86,819   86,487  86,250  85,599   74,174 
            
Other data           
Loss Ratio(1)2.8% 4.2 % 4.7% 3.5% 15.9 % 34.7%
Expense Ratio(2)30.5% 31.3 % 32.2% 34.7% 34.4 % 30.7%
Combined ratio (3)33.3% 35.5 % 36.9% 38.3% 50.2 % 65.4%

(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to rounding.

Portfolio Statistics

The table below highlights trends in our primary portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.

Primary portfolio trendsAs of and for the three months ended
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 September 30, 2020 June 30, 2020
 ($ Values In Millions, except as noted below)
New insurance written$18,084  $22,751  $26,397  $19,782  $18,499  $13,124 
New risk written$4,640  5,650  6,531  4,868  4,577  3,260 
Insurance in force (IIF) (1)143,618  136,598  123,777  111,252  104,494  98,905 
Risk in force (1)$36,253  34,366  31,206  28,164  26,568  25,238 
Policies in force (count) (1)490,714  471,794  436,652  399,429  381,899  372,934 
Average loan size ($ value in thousands) (1)$293  $290  $283  $279  $274  $265 
Coverage percentage (2)25.2% 25.2% 25.2% 25.3% 25.4% 25.5%
Loans in default (count) (1)7,670  8,764  11,090  12,209  13,765  10,816 
Default rate (1)1.56% 1.86% 2.54% 3.06% 3.60% 2.90%
Risk in force on defaulted loans (1)$546  $625  $785  $874  $1,008  $799 
Net premium yield (3)0.32% 0.34% 0.36% 0.37% 0.39% 0.40%
Earnings from cancellations$7.7  $7.0  $9.9  $11.7  $12.6  $15.5 
Annual persistency (4)58.1% 53.9% 51.9% 55.9% 60.0% 64.1%
Quarterly run-off (5)8.1% 8.0% 12.5% 12.5% 13.1% 12.9%

(1) Reported as of the end of the period.
(2) Calculated as end of period risk-in-force (RIF) divided by end of period IIF.
(3) Calculated as net premiums earned, divided by average primary IIF for the period, annualized.
(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF that remains on our books after a given twelve-month period.
(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that is no longer on our books after a given three month period.

New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF) and Premiums

The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF, as of the dates and for the periods indicated.

Primary NIWThree months ended
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 September 30, 2020 June 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
Monthly$16,861  $19,422  $23,764  $17,789  $16,516  $11,885 
Single1,223  3,329  2,633  1,993  1,983  1,239 
Primary$18,084  $22,751  $26,397  $19,782  $18,499  $13,124 


Primary and pool IIFAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 September 30, 2020 June 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
Monthly$124,767  $117,629  $106,920  $95,336  $88,584  $82,848 
Single18,851  18,969  16,857  15,916  15,910  16,057 
Primary143,618  136,598  123,777  111,252  104,494  98,905 
            
Pool1,339  1,460  1,642  1,855  2,115  2,340 
Total$144,957  $138,058  $125,419  $113,107  $106,609  $101,245 


The following table presents the amounts related to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR Transaction, 2018 QSR Transaction, 2020 QSR Transaction and 2021 QSR Transaction, and collectively, the QSR Transactions), and Insurance-Linked Note transactions (the 2017 ILN Transaction, 2018 ILN Transaction, 2019 ILN Transaction, 2020-1 ILN Transaction, 2020-2 ILN Transaction and 2021 -1 ILN Transaction and collectively, the ILN Transactions) for the periods indicated.

 For the three months ended
 September 30,
2021
 June 30, 2021 March 31,
2021
 December 31,
2020
 September 30,
2020
 June 30, 2020
 (In Thousands)
The QSR Transactions           
Ceded risk-in-force$7,610,870   $7,113,707   $6,330,409   $5,543,969   $5,159,061   $4,563,676  
Ceded premiums earned(28,366)  (27,537)  (25,747)  (24,161)  (24,517)  (23,210) 
Ceded claims and claim expenses840   1,194   1,180   601   3,200   8,669  
Ceding commission earned6,142   5,961   5,162   4,787   4,798   4,428  
Profit commission15,191   14,391   13,380   13,184   11,034   5,271  
            
The ILN Transactions           
Ceded premiums$(10,390)  $(10,169)  $(9,397)  $(9,422)  $(6,268)  $(3,267) 


Primary NIW by FICOFor the three months ended For the nine months ended 
 September 30,
2021
 June 30, 2021 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021

 September 30,
2020
 
 ($ In Millions)
>= 760$8,073  $11,390  $11,600  $32,377 $25,942  
740-7593,254  4,246  2,575  12,812 6,056  
720-7392,563  3,152  2,187  9,678 5,373  
700-7192,099  1,798  1,217  6,255 3,214  
680-6991,487  1,292  793  4,139 1,872  
<=679608  873  127  1,971 463  
Total$18,084  $22,751  $18,499  $67,232 $42,920  
Weighted average FICO749  754  764 753 761  


Primary NIW by LTVFor the three months ended  For the nine months ended
 September 30,
2021
 June 30, 2021 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021

 September 30,
2020
 (In Millions)
95.01% and above$1,957   $2,177   $587   $6,585   $1,855  
90.01% to 95.00%8,344   9,941   7,767   29,336   18,161  
85.01% to 90.00%4,961   6,262   6,968   19,071   16,117  
85.00% and below2,822   4,371   3,177   12,240   6,787  
Total$18,084   $22,751   $18,499   $67,232   $42,920  
Weighted average LTV91.8 % 91.3 % 90.7 % 91.3 % 90.8 %


Primary NIW by purchase/refinance mixFor the three months ended For the nine months ended
 September 30,
2021
 June 30, 2021 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021

 September 30,
2020
 (In Millions)
Purchase$16,400  $18,911  $12,764  $53,220 $28,531 
Refinance1,684  3,840  5,735  14,012 14,389 
Total$18,084  $22,751  $18,499  $67,232 $42,920 

The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by book year as of September 30, 2021.

Primary IIF and RIFAs of September 30, 2021
 IIF RIF
 (In Millions)
September 30, 2021$64,885  $16,274 
202047,196  11,848 
201914,502  3,800 
20185,675  1,446 
20174,845  1,213 
2016 and before6,515  1,672 
Total$143,618  $36,253 

The tables below present our total primary IIF and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of the dates indicated.

Primary IIF by FICOAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
>= 760$73,080  $70,583  $53,742 
740-75924,676  23,175  16,193 
720-73919,898  18,857  14,352 
700-71913,206  12,230  10,235 
680-6998,678  7,927  6,713 
<=6794,080  3,826  3,259 
Total$143,618  $136,598  $104,494 


Primary RIF by FICOAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
>= 760$18,200  $17,531  $13,563 
740-7596,280  5,873  4,141 
720-7395,086  4,798  3,694 
700-7193,432  3,161  2,635 
680-6992,243  2,047  1,730 
<=6791,012  956  805 
Total$36,253  $34,366  $26,568 


Primary IIF by LTVAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
95.01% and above$13,179  $12,026  $8,130 
90.01% to 95.00%63,828  60,358  47,828 
85.01% to 90.00%44,451  43,064  35,224 
85.00% and below22,160  21,150  13,312 
Total$143,618  $136,598  $104,494 


Primary RIF by LTVAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
95.01% and above$3,932  $3,552  $2,310 
90.01% to 95.00%18,810  17,774  14,056 
85.01% to 90.00%10,902  10,555  8,642 
85.00% and below2,609  2,485  1,560 
Total$36,253  $34,366  $26,568 


Primary RIF by Loan TypeAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
      
Fixed99 % 99 % 99 %
Adjustable rate mortgages     
Less than five years—   —   —  
Five years and longer     
Total100 % 100 % 100 %

The table below presents a summary of the change in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.

Primary IIFFor the three months ended
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Millions)
IIF, beginning of period$136,598   $123,777   $98,905  
NIW18,084   22,751   18,499  
Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions(11,064)  (9,930)  (12,910) 
IIF, end of period$143,618   $136,598   $104,494  

Geographic Dispersion

The following table shows the distribution by state of our primary RIF as of the periods indicated.

Top 10 primary RIF by stateAs of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
California10.2% 10.3% 11.3%
Texas9.9  9.8  8.3 
Florida8.6  8.3  6.7 
Virginia4.9  5.0  5.4 
Colorado4.0  4.1  4.0 
Maryland3.8  3.9  3.6 
Illinois3.7  3.8  4.0 
Georgia3.7  3.5  3.0 
Washington3.5  3.6  3.5 
Pennsylvania3.2  3.2  3.5 
Total55.5% 55.5% 53.3%
      

The table below presents selected primary portfolio statistics, by book year, as of September 30, 2021.

 As of September 30, 2021
Book
year
Original
Insurance
Written
 Remaining
Insurance in
Force
 %
Remaining
of Original
Insurance
 Policies
Ever in
Force
 Number of
Policies in
Force
 Number
of Loans
in
Default
 # of
Claims
Paid
 Incurred
Loss Ratio
(Inception to Date)
(1)
 Cumulative
Default Rate
(2)
 Current
default rate
(3)
 ($ Values in Millions)  
2013$162  $7  4% 655  52  3  1  0.5% 0.6% 5.8%
20143,451  310  9% 14,786  1,898  68  49  4.2% 0.8% 3.6%
201512,422  1,923  15% 52,548  10,427  366  115  3.3% 0.9% 3.5%
201621,187  4,275  20% 83,626  21,244  797  128  2.9% 1.1% 3.8%
201721,582  4,845  22% 85,897  24,478  1,286  93  4.5% 1.6% 5.3%
201827,295  5,675  21% 104,043  27,844  1,723  81  8.6% 1.7% 6.2%
201945,141  14,502  32% 148,423  57,685  2,038  16  12.7% 1.4% 3.5%
202062,702  47,196  75% 186,174  147,395  1,170  1  6.7% 0.6% 0.8%
202167,232  64,885  97% 205,291  199,691  219    1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Total$261,174  $143,618    881,443  490,714  7,670  484       

(1) Calculated as total claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums earned, net of reinsurance.
(2) Calculated as the sum of the number of claims paid ever to date and number of loans in default divided by policies ever in force.
(3) Calculated as the number of loans in default divided by number of policies in force.

The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance claims and claim expenses:

 For the three months ended  For the nine months ended
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
 (In Thousands)
Beginning balance$101,235   $69,903   $90,567   $23,752  
Less reinsurance recoverables (1)(19,726)  (14,307)  (17,608)  (4,939) 
Beginning balance, net of reinsurance recoverables81,509   55,596   72,959   18,813  
        
Add claims incurred:       
Claims and claim expenses incurred:       
Current year (2)3,649   18,682   19,275   61,198  
Prior years (3)(445)  (3,015)  (6,469)  (5,500) 
Total claims and claim expenses incurred3,204   15,667   12,806   55,698  
        
Less claims paid:       
Claims and claim expenses paid:       
Current year (2)3   113   15   152  
Prior years (3)526   1,100   1,566   4,309  
Total claims and claim expenses paid529   1,213   1,581   4,461  
        
Reserve at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables84,184   70,050   84,184   70,050  
Add reinsurance recoverables (1)20,420   17,180   20,420   17,180  
Ending balance$104,604   $87,230   $104,604   $87,230  

(1)  Related to ceded losses recoverable under the QSR Transactions.
(2) Related to insured loans with their most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, the default would be included in the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and included $14.0 million attributed to net case reserves and $4.8 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and $55.4 million attributed to net case reserves and $4.8 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.
(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior years, which have been continuously in default before the start of the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and included $1.8 million attributed to net case reserves and $5.0 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and $4.0 million attributed to net case reserves and $1.3 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.

The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods indicated.

 For the three months ended  For the nine months ended
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
Beginning default inventory8,764   10,816   12,209   1,448  
Plus: new defaults1,624   6,588   4,486   16,870  
Less: cures(2,694)  (3,598)  (8,964)  (4,426) 
Less: claims paid(24)  (40)  (59)  (123) 
Less: claims denied   (1)  (2)  (4) 
Ending default inventory7,670   13,765   7,670   13,765  

The following table provides details of our claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the QSR Transactions, for the periods indicated.

 For the three months ended For the nine months ended
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
 September 30,
2021
 September 30,
2020
 (In Thousands)
Number of claims paid (1)24  40  59  123 
Total amount paid for claims$674  $1,540  $1,982  $5,621 
Average amount paid per claim$28  $39  $34  $46 
Severity(2)55% 67% 60% 80%

(1) Count includes six and ten claims settled without payment during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, and six and eight claims settled without payment during the three and nine months ended 2020, respectively.
(2) Severity represents the total amount of claims paid including claim expenses divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is perfected, and is calculated including claims settled without payment.

The following table shows our average reserve per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR Transactions, as of the periods indicated.

Average reserve per default:As of September 30, 2021 As of September 30, 2020
 (In Thousands)
Case (1)$12.6  $5.8 
IBNR (1)(2)1.0  0.5 
Total$13.6  $6.3 

(1) Defined as the gross reserve per insured loan in default.
(2) Amount includes claims adjustment expenses.

The following table provides a comparison of the PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates indicated.

 As of
 September 30, 2021 June 30, 2021 September 30, 2020
 (In Thousands)
Available Assets$1,992,964  $1,886,993  $1,671,990 
Risk-Based Required Assets1,365,656  1,170,854  990,678 

FAQ

What were NMI Holdings' Q3 2021 earnings results?

NMI Holdings reported a net income of $60.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, for Q3 2021.

How did NMIH's primary insurance-in-force change in Q3 2021?

NMIH's primary insurance-in-force increased to $143.6 billion in Q3 2021, up 5% from the previous quarter.

What is NMI Holdings' outlook following the Q3 2021 results?

NMI Holdings remains optimistic about the housing market and is well positioned for continued growth.

What was the adjusted net income for NMIH in Q3 2021?

NMIH's adjusted net income for Q3 2021 was $61.8 million, or $0.71 per diluted share.

What are the implications of NMI Holdings' financial performance for investors?

NMI Holdings' strong financial performance, including significant net income growth, is favorable for investors.

NMI Holdings Inc.

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