RAMACO RESOURCES PROVIDES UPDATE ON THIRD QUARTER 2023 RESULTS, FULL-YEAR 2023 GUIDANCE, DECLARATION OF FOURTH QUARTER DIVIDENDS, INCREASE IN TRACKING STOCK DIVIDEND AND UPDATE ON RARE EARTH ELEMENT DEVELOPMENT
- Third quarter net income expected to increase by approximately 160% and Adjusted EBITDA by 50% compared to Q2. Company achieves ratable annualized sales run-rate of 4 million tons. Repayment of over $80 million of debt anticipated in 2023. Full-year 2023 coal shipment guidance increased to 3.25 – 3.5 million tons. Committed sales volume for 2024 at an average price of $169 per ton. Increase in dividend for Class B tracking stock based on strong Q3 results.
- None.
THIRD QUARTER 2023 HIGHLIGHTS
- The Company anticipates that in the third quarter net income will settle in the range of
(Adjusted EPS$18 -20 million -$0.42 ) [1] and Adjusted EBITDA will settle in the$0.45 range for the three months ended September 30, 2023. At the high end of guidance, this represents an increase from the second quarter of roughly$43 -$45 million 160% on net income and earnings per share and50% on Adjusted EBITDA. See reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures. - During the third quarter, the Company shipped 996,000 tons of coal, which achieves its previous guidance of reaching a ratable annualized sales run-rate of roughly 4 million tons this year. Overall tons sold increased
39% from the second quarter. - During the third quarter the Company successfully completed the expansion of the processing capacity at its
Elk Creek preparation plant. It expects by year end that it will have continuous operation at an annualized capacity thruput rate of 3.0 million tons, which level has already been achieved during operational rollout this quarter. - During the third quarter, Adjusted EBITDA benefited by roughly
received from insurance claim proceeds in connection with the$3 million Berwind mine outage in mid-2022 and approximately received in connection with the$8 million Elk Creek silo failure in late 2018. The Company continues to seek additional insurance related payments from each of these claims. - During the third quarter, the Company repaid
of debt related to the 2022 Ramaco Coal acquisition. By the end of November, the Company anticipates overall repayment during 2023 of over$10 million of debt versus year-end 2022, including the total balance on our Revolving Credit line. At year-end 2023, we expect to have remaining overall debt (excluding the Revolving Credit line) of approximately$80 million , consisting of the Company's$50 million $35 million 9% Notes due in 2026, approximately of third-party acquisition-related debt and$11 million of equipment debt.$4 million - The Company expects to report its full results for the third quarter after market close on November 7, 2023, with a conference call to be held on November 8, 2023.
UPDATED FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2023 GUIDANCE: INITIAL 2024 SALES COMMITMENTS
- Due to stronger than anticipated third quarter shipments and overseas customer demand, the Company is increasing the midpoint of full-year 2023 coal shipment guidance to 3.25 – 3.5 million tons, up from 3.1 – 3.6 million tons previously. At the high end of guidance, this implies over 1 million tons shipped in the fourth quarter and roughly 800,000 tons at the low end.
- Several coal industry peers have already reported increasing quarterly mine costs related to inflationary pressures. Similarly, the Company expects cash mine costs to be at the high end of the previous
–108 per ton guidance range for both full-year 2023 and the fourth quarter of 2023. Of note, excluding the impact of the one-week vacation period in each of November and December, we now estimate that cash mine costs in the fourth quarter will decline into the high$102 $90 s per ton range. - In August and September, at the
Elk Creek complex mine costs declined to just under per ton. In July mine costs were challenged from the combination of an extended downtime due to startup of the preparation plant capacity expansion, and an extended 2-week vacation period. In the fourth quarter, given the increased thruput capacity at the mine's preparation plant, we anticipate that the$100 Elk Creek mine costs will decline. - In September, the
Berwind mine produced at a half million ton per annum run-rate, and cash mine costs were less than per ton from both deep mine sections. Early in the third quarter higher costs were incurred due to new mine development. In the fourth quarter, we anticipate production from the$80 Berwind mine will increase by approximately75% versus the prior quarter and that cash mine costs, excluding vacation periods, will continue in line with current levels. - In the third quarter, overall coal inventory levels (clean and raw coal) declined almost
40% from 1.4 million tons to approximately 0.9 million tons. In the fourth quarter, the Company anticipates a further reduction in inventory levels. - For 2023, year to date the Company has committed sales of approximately 3.3 million tons, including 2.9 million tons that are fixed at an average price of
per ton.$173 - Since June 30th, Atlantic benchmark coal prices have risen by
20% for Low Vol and by almost40% for High Vol A. In the fourth quarter, the Company has approximately 150,000 of remaining unsold production and an additional approximately 400,000 tons of sold but unpriced tons. It is anticipated that all these tons will be sold into export markets at index-based pricing. These overall unpriced sales would represent approximately16% of expected 2023 total sales at the revised mid-point of guidance. - For 2024, the Company has now committed 1.1 million tons of coal to North American customers at an average price of
per ton.$169
Committed 2023 and 2024 Sales Volume
(In millions, except per ton amounts)
2023 | 2024 | |||
Volume | Average Price | Volume | Average Price | |
1.2 | 1.1 | |||
Seaborne, fixed price | 1.7 | 0 | ||
Total, fixed price | 2.9 | 1.1 | ||
Index priced | 0.4 | 0 | ||
Total committed tons | 3.3 | 1.1 |
RAMACO DECLARES FOURTH QUARTER DIVIDEND FOR CLASS A COMMON STOCK AND INCREASE IN DIVIDEND FOR CLASS B TRACKING STOCK
- Ramaco's Board of Directors has now approved and declared its quarterly cash dividend of
per share on the Company's Class A common stock. The fourth quarter dividend is payable on December 15, 2023, to shareholders of record on December 1, 2023.$0.12 5 - The Board of Directors also approved and declared a quarterly cash dividend of approximately
per share on the recently issued CORE Resources Class B shares. The approximate$0.25 dividend represents more than a$0.25 50% increase from its prior (inaugural) September quarterly dividend level and was increased based on strong third quarter results. - Both fourth quarter dividends are payable on December 15, 2023, to shareholders of record on December 1, 2023.
RECENT RARE EARTH ELEMENT DEVELOPMENTS
- Since its announcement in May, additional chemical and deposit assessment of the Brook Mine rare earth core samples in conjunction with Weir International Inc. indicate that the overall TREO estimated size has increased by
50% to approximately 1.2 million tons. Further chemical, metallurgical and deposit assessment continues. - This month overall mine development will commence at the Brook Mine with an initial goal of obtaining additional quantities of rare earth material for chemical and metallurgical testing.
- Ramaco anticipates that it will receive a mineral resource estimate and preliminary economic assessment from SRK Consulting, its third-party consultant, by calendar year end.
ABOUT RAMACO RESOURCES
Ramaco Resources, Inc. is an operator and developer of high-quality, low-cost metallurgical coal in southern
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements contained in this news release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements represent Ramaco Resources' expectations or beliefs concerning guidance, future events, anticipated revenue, future demand and production levels, macroeconomic trends, the development of ongoing projects, costs and expectations regarding operating results, and it is possible that the results described in this news release will not be achieved. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside of Ramaco Resources' control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements. These factors include, without limitation, risks related to the achievement of the third quarter estimates, the timing of the mining development activities discussed in this release, the Company's ability to pursue such mining, the increase in the Company's exploration target, and the Company's estimate of the REO's in the deposits, failure of our sales commitment counterparties to perform, increased government regulation of coal in
RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES
Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is used as a supplemental non-GAAP financial measure by management and external users of our financial statements, such as industry analysts, investors, lenders and rating agencies. We believe Adjusted EBITDA is useful because it allows us to more effectively evaluate our operating performance.
We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income plus net interest expense; equity-based compensation; depreciation, depletion, and amortization expenses; income taxes; certain non-operating expenses (charitable contributions), and accretion of asset retirement obligations. Its most comparable GAAP measure is net income. Adjusted EBITDA is not intended to serve as a substitute for GAAP measures of performance and may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures presented by other companies. We are unable to reconcile, without unreasonable effort, our expected adjusted EBITDA to its most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, net income, due to the uncertainty and inherent difficulty of predicting the occurrence and the financial impact of items impacting comparability.
1 Calculated as total net income divided by Class A diluted shares outstanding. This is a non-GAAP measure.
POINT OF CONTACT
INVESTOR RELATIONS: info@ramacometc.com or 859-244-7455
SOURCE Ramaco Resources, Inc.
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