Argus Research Initiates Equity Research Report Coverage on Largo Inc. (NasdaqGS: LGO, TSX: LGO)

Rhea-AI Summary

Argus Research has initiated equity research coverage on Largo Inc. (LGO), a leading vanadium producer. The firm anticipates increasing vanadium demand, benefiting Largo's profitability. The Maracás Menchen Mine is expected to improve yield post-2022 operational challenges. Largo's production of ilmenite, expected to commence in mid-2023, adds revenue potential. With $54.5 million in cash and $115.2 million in working capital, Largo is positioned to fund projects. Despite a 42% stock decline in 2022, Argus estimates a fair value of $9, significantly higher than the current price of $5.

Positive

• Largo is among the lowest-cost producers of vanadium, poised for sustained demand and pricing strength.
• Anticipated improvements at the Maracás Menchen Mine could enhance operational efficiency and yield.
• The production of ilmenite is expected to contribute to revenues and EBITDA starting in 2024, with low incremental costs.
• Strong cash position with $54.5 million in cash and $115.2 million in working capital supports operational stability.
• Valuation analysis suggests significant upside, with a fair value estimate of $9 compared to the current $5 price.

Negative

• Largo's stock declined 42% in 2022, indicating market concerns about operational and financial performance.

NEW YORK, March 28, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Argus Research, an independent investment research firm, has launched Equity Research Report coverage on Largo Inc. (NasdaqGS: LGO, TSX: LGO).

Click Here to view full Argus Equity Research Report.

COMPANY HIGHLIGHTS: Excerpts (as conveyed by Argus Analyst Steve Silver) include:

LGO: Serving Global Vanadium and Renewable Energy Markets

• Largo is among the lowest cost producers of naturally occurring element Vanadium, a key input in steel construction and used in industries including aerospace, chemicals and renewable energy. We expect vanadium demand to exceed supply for the foreseeable future, which should support sustained higher prices above the commodity's historical average, with premium, high purity products used in non-steel markets expected to support robust cash flow and profitability for the company.
• In our view, the company's Maracás Menchen Mine in Brazil is poised to improve yield and efficiency in the coming years, as Largo moves past operational challenges that dampened 2022 results, including a change in mining contractors and higher than average rainfall that resulted in atypical operational downtime. We are encouraged by Largo's decision to advance several planned maintenance projects, including the upgrading of its pumping system, that were performed during the down period.
• Beginning in 2024, we expect results to benefit from the production of ilmenite, which is a by-product of its existing vanadium production, and should incur modest incremental production costs. We expect the ilmenite plant to be commissioned around the middle of 2023. We also see potential for Largo to produce another by-product, titanium, though this project has been delayed, as Largo works to finance it. Still, we favorably view a late 2021 technical report on the site that suggested more than 20 years of remaining mine life for the Brazil operation, including these additional revenue sources, with a projected NPV of more than $2 billion that compares favorably to the current market capitalization of approximately $310 million.
• We also view positively Largo's foresight to diversify its business to capitalize on long-term growth trends. In 2020, the company acquired 12 patent assets that provided entry into the nascent long duration vanadium battery (VRFB) storage market, which we see benefiting from global economic shifts towards a lower carbon footprint. Largo Clean Energy's VCHARGE VRFBs offer an efficient, safe system that is fully recyclable at the end of its expected 25+ year lifetime. Over time, we expect Largo Physical Vanadium, a partially owned but separately listed entity on the TSX Venture Exchange that will own the vanadium element to be used in these battery projects, to lower the upfront capex of that battery system by 40%-50%.
• Although we see Largo's diversification into the renewable energy space requiring capital investment and adding an element of risk to Largo's investment thesis, we view the outlook for sustained long-term demand for vanadium and pricing strength in a more normalized, post-COVID-19 world as not fully valued by investors.
• As of December 31, 2022, Largo had $54.5 million in cash, and $115.2 million in working capital. The company has entered into new debt agreements totaling $40 million, which we anticipate will enable it to weather near-term operational challenges and internally fund projects including the ilmenite production plant that we expect to begin contributing to revenues and EBITDA by 2024.
• Largo's stock declined 42% in 2022, and we think its current valuation does not adequately reflect the company's strong underlying fundamentals. Based on our EV/NPV analysis, we arrive at a fair value estimate of $9, well above its current price near $5.

INVESTMENT THESIS: Click Here to view full Argus Equity Research Report and Investment Thesis.

About Largo Inc. (NasdaqGS: LGO, TSX: LGO)                                     www.largoinc.com

Based in Toronto, Ontario, Largo is a dual-listed mining and battery energy storage system company that we view as among the world's leading high-quality and low-cost vanadium suppliers, sourced from its Maracás Menchen Mine in Brazil. Recently, the Company established a U.S.-based clean energy unit that develops and sells vanadium-based electrical energy storage battery systems to support the global deployment of long duration, renewable energy solutions. Largo has also established a separate public entity, Largo Physical Vanadium, that is designed to lower the costs of Largo's battery customers, while also giving investors direct exposure to vanadium, which never existed before.

For more information please contact:

Alex Guthrie
Senior Manager, External Results
aguthrie@largoinc.com
+1.416.861.9778

About Argus Research Corp. 

Headquartered in NYC, Argus Research (www.argusresearch.com) is a leading independent equity research firm (est. 1934)  ̶  providing fundamental and quantitative research coverage on more than 1,600 companies across all 11 sectors of the S&P 500, as well as macroeconomic and equity market forecasts, thematic research, model portfolios and IPO research.  In addition, Argus has recently committed to providing a sponsored research solution for small & mid-cap companies seeking coverage.  Argus's Equity Research & earnings estimates are available on major research / earnings estimate aggregator platforms, including Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Global.

For more Information please contact:

Darrell Stone
646-747-5438 
dstone@argusresearch.com   

Argus Research Co. has received a flat fee from the company discussed in this report as part of a Sponsored Research agreement between Argus and the company. No part of Argus Research's compensation is directly or indirectly related to the content of this assessment or to other opinions expressed in this report. Please refer to the full Argus report and the disclaimer for complete disclosures.

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SOURCE Argus Research

FAQ

What did Argus Research report about Largo Inc. (LGO) on March 28, 2023?

Argus Research initiated equity research coverage on Largo Inc., highlighting positive demand forecasts for vanadium and the company's financial potential.

What are the expected production developments for Largo Inc. (LGO)?

Largo is expected to commence ilmenite production by mid-2023, which will contribute to its revenues starting in 2024.

What is the estimated fair value of Largo Inc. (LGO) according to Argus Research?

Argus Research estimates a fair value of $9 for Largo Inc., significantly higher than its current market price of about $5.

What financial position does Largo Inc. (LGO) hold as of December 31, 2022?

As of December 31, 2022, Largo had $54.5 million in cash and $115.2 million in working capital.

How did Largo Inc.'s stock perform in 2022?

Largo Inc.'s stock declined by 42% in 2022, reflecting investor concerns.