Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results

Rhea-AI Summary

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) reported financial results for Q4 2023 with net income per common share of $0.46, a significant improvement from the net loss of $1.62 in Q3 2023. Earnings available for distribution per common share were $0.95 compared to $1.51 in Q3 2023. The common stock dividend remained unchanged at $0.40 per share. Book value per common share increased to $10.00 from $9.93 in Q3 2023, resulting in an economic return of 4.7%. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 5.7x from 6.4x in Q3 2023. The Company's investment portfolio was predominantly in Agency RMBS, with a notable balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments. John Anzalone, CEO, expressed caution regarding the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector but highlighted potential benefits for investors in the long run.

Insights

Financial Analyst

The reported financial results by Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. indicate a significant rebound in net income per common share, moving from a net loss in Q3 to a net gain in Q4. This turnaround is primarily attributed to the company's strategic reduction in portfolio risk during increased market volatility and subsequent recalibration of leverage. The constant dividend despite the earnings per share decline reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, which may be seen favorably by investors. However, the decline in earnings available for distribution per common share suggests a contraction in profitability that warrants attention. The debt-to-equity ratio reduction aligns with the risk management strategy but also indicates a lower leverage position, which could impact future earnings potential.

From an investment perspective, the company's cautious outlook on the Agency RMBS sector and the anticipated stabilization of the macro environment may influence investor sentiment. The focus on Agency RMBS, a traditionally less risky segment of the mortgage-backed securities market, aligns with the company's risk-averse posture in an uncertain interest rate environment. The estimated book value per common share as of mid-February 2024 shows a potential decrease from the end of Q4, which could be a point of concern for stockholders regarding the company's short-term valuation.

Market Research Analyst

The housing and mortgage finance sector is highly sensitive to interest rate changes and Invesco's performance reflects this. The initial negative impact on Agency RMBS valuations due to rising interest rates and the subsequent recovery with expectations of rate cuts underscores the volatility in this market. The company's proactive portfolio management—reducing leverage in response to increased volatility and adjusting their swap portfolio—demonstrates adaptability to changing market conditions. This may instill confidence in stakeholders about the company's ability to navigate interest rate fluctuations.

Furthermore, the economic return of 4.7% for Q4 is notable, especially when juxtaposed with the negative return in Q3. This metric, which combines the change in book value and dividends, provides a more comprehensive view of shareholder value. The reported figures also indicate a shift in portfolio composition towards higher yielding Agency RMBS, which could suggest a strategic move to capitalize on the steeper yield curve mentioned in the CEO's update.

Economist

The macroeconomic factors influencing Invesco's financial results, particularly the interest rate environment, are pivotal. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, which has shifted market expectations towards potential rate cuts, plays a critical role in the valuation of fixed-income securities like RMBS. The CEO's reference to a 'soft landing' narrative indicates an expectation that the economy may avoid a recession despite monetary tightening, which could have mixed implications for the mortgage market.

While a steeper yield curve can benefit the carry trade in mortgage-backed securities, it may also indicate a market anticipating economic slowdown or inflationary pressures. The company's emphasis on Agency RMBS suggests a defensive strategy, as these securities are backed by government agencies and considered lower risk. However, investors should be aware of the potential for spread widening in the event of unexpected economic developments that could affect the performance of these securities.

ATLANTA, Feb. 22, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE: IVR) (the "Company") today announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2023.

• Net income per common share of $0.46 compared to net loss of $1.62 in Q3 2023
• Earnings available for distribution per common share⁽¹⁾ of $0.95 compared to $1.51 in Q3 2023
• Common stock dividend of $0.40 per common share, unchanged from Q3 2023
• Book value per common share⁽²⁾ of $10.00 compared to $9.93 as of September 30, 2023
• Economic return⁽³⁾ of 4.7% compared to (13.8)% in Q3 2023

Update from John Anzalone, Chief Executive Officer

"The sharp rise in interest rates that began in the second quarter persisted in early October as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose over 40 basis points to reach 5.0% for the first time in over 16 years, negatively impacting Agency RMBS valuations. Market sentiment then reversed course, as incoming data supported a soft landing narrative and market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve were pulled forward into the first quarter of 2024, benefiting Agency RMBS into year end. During the quarter, we reduced risk within the portfolio as volatility initially increased, and subsequently returned leverage to our target range as volatility subsided. Our book value per common share ended the quarter at $10.00, representing an increase of 0.7% from September 30^th, and when combined with our $0.40 common stock dividend, produced an economic return of 4.7% for the quarter.  

"Our debt-to-equity ratio ended the fourth quarter at 5.7x, down from 6.4x as of September 30^th. As of the end of the quarter, substantially all our $5.1 billion investment portfolio was invested in Agency RMBS, and we maintained a sizeable balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments totaling $422 million.

"Earnings available for distribution ("EAD") for the period benefited from attractive interest income on our target assets, favorable funding and low-cost, pay-fixed swaps. For the quarter, EAD per common share was $0.95 compared to $1.51 for the third quarter, reflecting declines in interest income on investments and interest rate swaps in connection with our reduction in leverage and adjustments to our swap portfolio. As of February 16, 2024, our book value per common share is estimated to be between $9.50 and $9.88.⁽⁴⁾

"We are cautious on the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector given recent strong performance and the uncertain timing of monetary policy adjustments. However, the potential reduction in interest rate volatility associated with the eventual normalization of monetary policy should be supportive for investors with longer time horizons. We believe Agency RMBS investors stand to benefit from attractive valuations, favorable funding and a steeper yield curve as the macro environment stabilizes."

(1) Earnings available for distribution (and by calculation, earnings available for distribution per common share) is a non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") financial measure. Refer to the section entitled "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for important disclosures and a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measure.

(2) Book value per common share as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023 is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($109.7 million and $188.6 million as of December 31, 2023, respectively, and $111.6 million and $192.0 million as of September 30, 2023, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding.

(3) Economic return for the quarter ended December 31, 2023 is defined as the change in book value per common share from September 30, 2023 to December 31, 2023 of $0.07; plus dividends declared of $0.40 per common share; divided by the September 30, 2023 book value per common share of $9.93. Economic return for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 is defined as the change in book value per common share from June 30, 2023 to September 30, 2023 of ($2.05); plus dividends declared of $0.40 per common share; divided by the June 30, 2023 book value per common share of $11.98.

(4) Book value per common share as of February 16, 2024 is adjusted to exclude a pro rata portion of the current quarter's common stock dividend (which for purposes of this calculation is assumed to be the same as the previous quarter) and is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($108.1 million and $187.1 million as of February 16, 2024, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding of 48.5 million.

Key performance indicators for the quarters ended December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023 are summarized in the table below.

($ in millions, except share amounts)	Q4 '23	Q3 '23	Variance
Average Balances	(unaudited)	(unaudited)
Average earning assets (at amortized cost)	$4,401.5	$5,498.3	($1,096.8)
Average borrowings	$3,736.4	$4,902.4	($1,166.0)
Average stockholders' equity (1)	$790.2	$832.0	($41.8)
U.S. GAAP Financial Measures
Total interest income	$62.1	$75.1	($13.0)
Total interest expense	$53.8	$65.7	($11.9)
Net interest income	$8.3	$9.4	($1.1)
Total expenses	$4.8	$4.8	$0.0
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders	$22.3	($74.0)	$96.3
Average earning asset yields	5.64 %	5.47 %	0.17 %
Average cost of funds	5.76 %	5.36 %	0.40 %
Average net interest rate margin	(0.12) %	0.11 %	(0.23) %
Period-end weighted average asset yields (2)	5.42 %	5.23 %	0.19 %
Period-end weighted average cost of funds	5.53 %	5.43 %	0.10 %
Period-end weighted average net interest rate margin	(0.11) %	(0.20) %	0.09 %
Book value per common share (3)	$10.00	$9.93	$0.07
Earnings (loss) per common share (basic)	$0.46	($1.62)	$2.08
Earnings (loss) per common share (diluted)	$0.46	($1.62)	$2.08
Debt-to-equity ratio	5.7x	6.4x	(0.7x)
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (4)
Earnings available for distribution	$45.8	$69.2	($23.4)
Effective interest expense	$5.7	($4.6)	$10.3
Effective net interest income	$56.4	$79.7	($23.3)
Effective cost of funds	0.61 %	(0.37) %	0.98 %
Effective interest rate margin	5.03 %	5.84 %	(0.81) %
Earnings available for distribution per common share	$0.95	$1.51	($0.56)
Economic debt-to-equity ratio	5.7x	6.4x	(0.7x)

(1) Average stockholders' equity is calculated based on the weighted month-end balance of total stockholders' equity excluding equity attributable to preferred stockholders.

(2) Period-end weighted average asset yields are based on amortized cost as of period-end and incorporate future prepayment and loss assumptions when appropriate.

(3) Book value per common share is calculated as total stockholders' equity less the liquidation preference of the Company's Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred Stock ($109.7 million and $188.6 million as of December 31, 2023, respectively, and $111.6 million and $192.0 million as of September 30, 2023, respectively), divided by total common shares outstanding.

(4) Earnings available for distribution (and by calculation, earnings available for distribution per common share), effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds), effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin), and economic debt-to-equity ratio are non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to the section entitled "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for important disclosures and a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measures of net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders (and by calculation, basic earnings (loss) per common share), total interest expense (and by calculation, cost of funds), net interest income (and by calculation, net interest rate margin) and debt-to-equity ratio.

Portfolio Composition

The following table summarizes the Company's MBS portfolio as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

			As of
			December 31, 2023						September 30, 2023
$ in thousands			Fair Value		Percentage of Portfolio		Period-end Weighted Average Yield		Fair Value		Percentage of Portfolio		Period-end Weighted Average Yield
30 year fixed-rate Agency RMBS coupon:
	4.0 %		876,337		17.4 %		4.65 %		1,218,869		22.4 %		4.64 %
	4.5 %		1,017,191		20.2 %		4.95 %		1,313,632		24.1 %		4.97 %
	5.0 %		1,028,036		20.4 %		5.34 %		1,424,615		26.2 %		5.32 %
	5.5 %		1,016,707		20.2 %		5.59 %		1,374,853		25.3 %		5.59 %
	6.0 %		1,014,203		20.1 %		6.03 %		—		— %		— %
Total 30 year fixed-rate Agency RMBS			4,952,474		98.3 %		5.33 %		5,331,969		98.0 %		5.15 %
Agency-CMO			74,758		1.3 %		9.74 %		78,007		1.4 %		9.67 %
Non-Agency CMBS			9,935		0.2 %		9.58 %		25,987		0.5 %		8.72 %
Non-Agency RMBS			8,139		0.2 %		9.10 %		7,965		0.1 %		8.56 %
	Total MBS portfolio		5,045,306		100.0 %		5.42 %		5,443,928		100.0 %		5.23 %

The following table presents certain characteristics of the Company's borrowings as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

As of

$ in thousands

December 31, 2023

September 30, 2023

Amount Outstanding

Weighted Average Interest Rate

Weighted Average Remaining Maturity (days)

Amount Outstanding

Weighted Average Interest Rate

Weighted Average Remaining Maturity (days)

Agency RMBS repurchase agreements

4,458,695

5.53 %

20

4,987,006

5.43 %

24

The tables below present certain characteristics of the Company's interest rate swaps whereby the Company pays interest at a fixed rate and receives floating interest based on the secured overnight financing rate ("SOFR") as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023.

$ in thousands		As of December 31, 2023
Maturities		Notional Amount		Weighted Average Fixed Pay Rate		Weighted Average Floating Receive Rate		Weighted Average Years to Maturity
Less than 3 years		950,000		2.55 %		5.38 %		1.6
3 to 5 years		1,375,000		0.29 %		5.38 %		3.8
5 to 7 years		1,150,000		0.55 %		5.38 %		6.6
Greater than 10 years		590,000		1.75 %		5.38 %		21.4
Total		4,065,000		1.10 %		5.38 %		6.6
$ in thousands		As of September 30, 2023
Maturities		Notional Amount		Weighted Average Fixed Pay Rate		Weighted Average Floating Receive Rate		Weighted Average Years to Maturity
Less than 3 years		950,000		0.32 %		5.31 %		2.1
3 to 5 years		1,975,000		0.35 %		5.31 %		4.2
5 to 7 years		1,175,000		0.46 %		5.31 %		6.6
7 to 10 years		750,000		1.10 %		5.31 %		7.5
Greater than 10 years		1,050,000		2.18 %		5.31 %		20.6
Total		5,900,000		0.79 %		5.31 %		7.7

The table below presents certain characteristics of the Company's interest rate swaps whereby the Company pays floating interest based on SOFR and receives interest at a fixed rate as of September 30, 2023. We did not have any such swaps as of December 31, 2023.

$ in thousands		As of September 30, 2023
Maturities		Notional Amount		Weighted Average Floating Pay Rate		Weighted Average Fixed Receive Rate		Weighted Average Years to Maturity
Less than 3 years		900,000		5.31 %		5.44 %		0.5
3 to 5 years		50,000		5.31 %		2.78 %		3.6
Total		950,000		5.31 %		5.30 %		0.7

Capital Activities

Dividends

As previously announced on December 19, 2023, the Company declared a common stock dividend on December 18, 2023 of $0.40 per share paid on January 26, 2024 to its stockholders of record as of December 29, 2023. The Company declared the following dividends on February 21, 2024: a Series B Preferred Stock dividend of $0.4844 per share and a Series C Preferred Stock dividend of $0.46875 per share payable on March 27, 2024 to its stockholders of record on March 5, 2024.

Repurchases of Preferred Stock

During the three months ended December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased and retired 79,417 shares of Series B Preferred Stock and 135,772 shares of Series C Preferred Stock, respectively, for a total cost of $4.4 million.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that primarily focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc., a registered investment adviser and an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd., a leading independent global investment management firm.

Earnings Call

Members of the investment community and the general public are invited to listen to the Company's earnings conference call on Friday, February 23, 2024, at 9:00 a.m. ET, by calling one of the following numbers:

North America Toll Free:      888-982-7409
International:                          1-212-287-1625
Passcode:                                 Invesco

An audio replay will be available until 5:00 pm ET on March 8, 2024 by calling:

866-361-4757 (North America) or 1-203-369-0183 (International)

The presentation slides that will be reviewed during the call will be available on the Company's website at www.invescomortgagecapital.com.

Cautionary Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release, the related presentation and comments made in the associated conference call, may include statements and information that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and such statements are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided by the same. Forward-looking statements include our views on the risk positioning of our portfolio, domestic and global market conditions (including the Agency RMBS and residential and commercial real estate market), the market for our target assets, our financial performance, including our earnings available for distribution, economic return, comprehensive income and changes in our book value, our intention and ability to pay dividends, our ability to continue performance trends, the stability of portfolio yields, interest rates, credit spreads, prepayment trends, financing sources, cost of funds, our leverage and equity allocation. In addition, words such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "estimates," "projects," "forecasts," and future or conditional verbs such as "will," "may," "could," "should," and "would" as well as any other statement that necessarily depends on future events, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, and they involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from our expectations. We caution investors not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements and urge you to carefully consider the risks identified under the captions "Risk Factors," "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website at www.sec.gov.

All written or oral forward-looking statements that we make, or that are attributable to us, are expressly qualified by this cautionary notice. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update the information in any public disclosure if any forward-looking statement later turns out to be inaccurate.

 

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
$ in thousands, except share amounts	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
	(unaudited)		(unaudited)		(unaudited)
Interest income
Mortgage-backed and other securities	62,082		75,132		57,877		277,929		192,566
Commercial loan	—		—		179		—		1,947
Total interest income	62,082		75,132		58,056		277,929		194,513
Interest expense
Repurchase agreements	53,780		65,701		32,201		228,229		51,560
Total interest expense	53,780		65,701		32,201		228,229		51,560
Net interest income	8,302		9,431		25,855		49,700		142,953
Other income (loss)
Gain (loss) on investments, net	165,340		(224,897)		10,762		(107,280)		(1,079,339)
(Increase) decrease in provision for credit losses	(108)		(43)		—		(320)		—
Equity in earnings (losses) of unconsolidated ventures	(5)		2		(120)		(1)		(407)
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	(141,580)		151,689		4,856		61,838		559,007
Other investment income (loss), net	—		—		142		(66)		186
Total other income (loss)	23,647		(73,249)		15,640		(45,829)		(520,553)
Expenses
Management fee – related party	3,053		3,090		3,177		12,290		16,906
General and administrative	1,697		1,691		1,857		7,440		8,418
Total expenses	4,750		4,781		5,034		19,730		25,324
Net income (loss)	27,199		(68,599)		36,461		(15,859)		(402,924)
Dividends to preferred stockholders	(5,679)		(5,772)		(5,862)		(23,153)		(28,218)
Gain on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock	760		347		—		1,471		14,179
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders	22,280		(74,024)		30,599		(37,541)		(416,963)
Earnings (loss) per share:
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
Basic	0.46		(1.62)		0.84		(0.85)		(12.21)
Diluted	0.46		(1.62)		0.84		(0.85)		(12.21)

 

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)
	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
$ in thousands	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
	(unaudited)		(unaudited)		(unaudited)
Net income (loss)	27,199		(68,599)		36,461		(15,859)		(402,924)
Other comprehensive income (loss):
Unrealized gain (loss) on mortgage-backed securities, net	607		(91)		(791)		(91)		(6,280)
Reclassification of unrealized loss on available-for-sale securities to (increase) decrease in provision for credit losses	108		43		—		320		—
Reclassification of amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps to repurchase agreements interest expense	(900)		(1,810)		(4,855)		(10,405)		(19,708)
Currency translation adjustments on investment in unconsolidated venture	—		—		(103)		(10)		(537)
Reclassification of currency translation loss on investment in unconsolidated venture to other investment income (loss), net	—		—		—		123		—
Total other comprehensive income (loss)	(185)		(1,858)		(5,749)		(10,063)		(26,525)
Comprehensive income (loss)	27,014		(70,457)		30,712		(25,922)		(429,449)
Dividends to preferred stockholders	(5,679)		(5,772)		(5,862)		(23,153)		(28,218)
Gain on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock	760		347		—		1,471		14,179
Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders	22,095		(75,882)		24,850		(47,604)		(443,488)

 

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
	As of
	December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
$ in thousands, except share amounts
ASSETS
Mortgage-backed securities, at fair value (including pledged securities of $4,712,185 and $4,439,583, respectively; net of allowance for credit losses of $320 and $0, respectively)	5,045,306		4,791,893
U.S. Treasury securities	11,214		—
Cash and cash equivalents	76,967		175,535
Restricted cash	121,670		103,246
Due from counterparties	—		1,584
Investment related receivable	26,604		22,744
Derivative assets, at fair value	939		662
Other assets	1,509		1,731
Total assets	5,284,209		5,097,395
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Liabilities:
Repurchase agreements	4,458,695		4,234,823
Derivative liabilities, at fair value	—		2,079
Dividends payable	19,384		25,162
Accrued interest payable	15,787		20,546
Collateral held payable	2,475		4,892
Accounts payable and accrued expenses	1,296		1,365
Due to affiliate	3,907		4,453
Total liabilities	4,501,544		4,293,320
Commitments and contingencies (1)
Stockholders' equity:
Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share; 50,000,000 shares authorized:
7.75% Fixed-to-Floating Series B Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock: 4,385,997 and   4,537,634 shares issued and outstanding, respectively ($109,650 and $113,441 aggregate   liquidation preference, respectively)	106,014		109,679
7.50% Fixed-to-Floating Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock: 7,545,439 and   7,816,470 shares issued and outstanding, respectively ($188,636 and $195,412 aggregate   liquidation preference, respectively)	182,474		189,028
Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share; 67,000,000 shares authorized; 48,460,626 and   38,710,916 shares issued and outstanding, respectively	484		387
Additional paid in capital	4,011,138		3,901,562
Accumulated other comprehensive income	698		10,761
Retained earnings (distributions in excess of earnings)	(3,518,143)		(3,407,342)
Total stockholders' equity	782,665		804,075
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity	5,284,209		5,097,395

(1)	See Note 14 of the Company's consolidated financial statements filed in Part IV, Item 15 of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The table below shows the non-GAAP financial measures the Company uses to analyze its operating results and the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures. The Company believes these non-GAAP measures are useful to investors in assessing its performance as discussed further below.

Non-GAAP Financial Measure		Most Directly Comparable U.S. GAAP Measure
Earnings available for distribution (and by calculation, earnings available for distribution per common share)		Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders (and by calculation, basic earnings (loss) per common share)
Effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds)		Total interest expense (and by calculation, cost of funds)
Effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin)		Net interest income (and by calculation, net interest rate margin)
Economic debt-to-equity ratio		Debt-to-equity ratio

The non-GAAP financial measures used by the Company's management should be analyzed in conjunction with U.S. GAAP financial measures and should not be considered substitutes for U.S. GAAP financial measures. In addition, the non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures of its peer companies.

Earnings Available for Distribution

The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income; gain on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock; foreign currency (gains) losses, net and amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps.

By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio's earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses are not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses are reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses are reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities are classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other comprehensive income on its consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in the consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate.

To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. The Company has historically distributed at least 100% of its REIT taxable income. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.

Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity, or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.

The table below provides a reconciliation of U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to earnings available for distribution for the following periods:

	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
$ in thousands, except per share data
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders	22,280		(74,024)		30,599		(37,541)		(416,963)
Adjustments:
(Gain) loss on investments, net	(165,340)		224,897		(10,762)		107,280		1,079,339
Realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net(1)	199,137		(84,565)		28,072		179,526		(459,466)
Unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net(1)	(8,576)		5,002		8,949		(2,356)		(12,669)
TBA dollar roll income(2)	—		—		1,428		697		28,843
(Gain) on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock	(760)		(347)		—		(1,471)		(14,179)
Foreign currency (gains) losses, net(3)	—		—		(142)		66		(186)
Amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps(4)	(900)		(1,810)		(4,855)		(10,405)		(19,708)
Subtotal	23,561		143,177		22,690		273,337		601,974
Earnings available for distribution	45,841		69,153		53,289		235,796		185,011
Basic income (loss) per common share	0.46		(1.62)		0.84		(0.85)		(12.21)
Earnings available for distribution per common share(5)	0.95		1.51		1.46		5.35		5.42

(1)	U.S. GAAP gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net on the consolidated statements of operations includes the following components:

	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
$ in thousands
Realized gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	(199,137)		84,565		(28,072)		(179,526)		459,466
Unrealized gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	8,576		(5,002)		(8,949)		2,356		12,669
Contractual net interest income (expense) on interest rate swaps	48,981		72,126		41,877		239,008		86,872
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	(141,580)		151,689		4,856		61,838		559,007

(2)	A TBA dollar roll is a series of derivative transactions where TBAs with the same specified issuer, term and coupon but different settlement dates are simultaneously bought and sold. The TBA settling in the later month typically prices at a discount to the TBA settling in the earlier month. TBA dollar roll income represents the price differential between the TBA price for current month settlement versus the TBA price for forward month settlement. The Company includes TBA dollar roll income in earnings available for distribution because it is the economic equivalent of interest income on the underlying AgencyRMBS, less an implied financing cost, over the forward settlement period. TBA dollar roll income is a component of gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net on the Company's consolidated statements of operations
(3)	Foreign currency gains (losses), net includes foreign currency transaction gains and losses and the reclassification of currency translation adjustments that were previously recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income and is included in other investment income (loss), net on the consolidated statements of operations
(4)	U.S. GAAP repurchase agreements interest expense on the consolidated statements of operations includes the following components:

	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
$ in thousands
Interest expense on repurchase agreement borrowings	54,680		67,511		37,056		238,634		71,268
Amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps	(900)		(1,810)		(4,855)		(10,405)		(19,708)
Repurchase agreements interest expense	53,780		65,701		32,201		228,229		51,560

(5)	Earnings available for distribution per common share is equal to earnings available for distribution divided by the basic weighted average number of common shares outstanding.
	The table below presents the components of earnings available for distribution:

	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
$ in thousands	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
Effective net interest income (1)	56,383		79,747		62,877		278,303		210,117
TBA dollar roll income	—		—		1,428		697		28,843
Equity in earnings (losses) of unconsolidated ventures	(5)		2		(120)		(1)		(407)
(Increase) decrease in provision for credit losses	(108)		(43)		—		(320)		—
Total expenses	(4,750)		(4,781)		(5,034)		(19,730)		(25,324)
Subtotal	51,520		74,925		59,151		258,949		213,229
Dividends to preferred stockholders	(5,679)		(5,772)		(5,862)		(23,153)		(28,218)
Earnings available for distribution	45,841		69,153		53,289		235,796		185,011

(1)	See below for a reconciliation of net interest income to effective net interest income, a non-GAAP measure.

Effective Interest Expense/Effective Cost of Funds/Effective Net Interest Income/Effective Interest Rate Margin

The Company calculates effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds) as U.S. GAAP total interest expense adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense. The Company views its interest rate swaps as an economic hedge against increases in future market interest rates on its borrowings. The Company adds back the net payments or receipts on its interest rate swap agreements to its total U.S. GAAP interest expense because the Company uses interest rate swaps to add stability to interest expense. The Company excludes the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps from its calculation of effective interest expense because the Company does not consider the amortization a current component of its borrowing costs.

The Company calculates effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin) as U.S. GAAP net interest income adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense.

The Company believes the presentation of effective interest expense, effective cost of funds, effective net interest income and effective interest rate margin measures, when considered together with U.S. GAAP financial measures, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding the Company's borrowing costs and operating performance.

The following tables reconcile total interest expense to effective interest expense and cost of funds to effective cost of funds for the following periods:

	Three Months Ended
	December 31, 2023				September 30, 2023				December 31, 2022
$ in thousands	Reconciliation		Cost of Funds / Effective Cost of Funds		Reconciliation		Cost of Funds / Effective Cost of Funds		Reconciliation		Cost of Funds / Effective Cost of Funds
Total interest expense	53,780		5.76 %		65,701		5.36 %		32,201		3.36 %
Add: Amortization of net deferred gain (loss) on de-designated          interest rate swaps	900		0.09 %		1,810		0.15 %		4,855		0.51 %
Less: Contractual net interest expense (income) on interest rate          swaps recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	(48,981)		(5.24) %		(72,126)		(5.88) %		(41,877)		(4.38) %
Effective interest expense	5,699		0.61 %		(4,615)		(0.37) %		(4,821)		(0.51) %

 

	Years Ended December 31,
	2023				2022
$ in thousands	Reconciliation		Cost of Funds / Effective Cost of Funds		Reconciliation		Cost of Funds / Effective Cost of Funds
Total interest expense	228,229		5.03 %		51,560		1.15 %
Add: Amortization of net deferred gain (loss) on de-designated          interest rate swaps	10,405		0.23 %		19,708		0.44 %
Less: Contractual net interest expense (income) on interest rate          swaps recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	(239,008)		(5.26) %		(86,872)		(1.93) %
Effective interest expense	(374)		— %		(15,604)		(0.34) %

The following tables reconcile net interest income to effective net interest income and net interest rate margin to effective interest rate margin for the following periods:

	Three Months Ended
	December 31, 2023				September 30, 2023				December 31, 2022
$ in thousands	Reconciliation		Net Interest Rate Margin / Effective Interest Rate Margin		Reconciliation		Net Interest Rate Margin / Effective Interest Rate Margin		Reconciliation		Net Interest Rate Margin / Effective Interest Rate Margin
Net interest income	8,302		(0.12) %		9,431		0.11 %		25,855		1.98 %
Less: Amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated          interest rate swaps	(900)		(0.09) %		(1,810)		(0.15) %		(4,855)		(0.51) %
Add: Contractual net interest income (expense) on interest rate          swaps recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	48,981		5.24 %		72,126		5.88 %		41,877		4.38 %
Effective net interest income	56,383		5.03 %		79,747		5.84 %		62,877		5.85 %

 

	Years Ended December 31,
	2023				2022
$ in thousands	Reconciliation		Net Interest Rate Margin / Effective Interest Rate Margin		Reconciliation		Net Interest Rate Margin / Effective Interest Rate Margin
Net interest income	49,700		0.41 %		142,953		2.64 %
Less: Amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated          interest rate swaps	(10,405)		(0.23) %		(19,708)		(0.44) %
Add: Contractual net interest income (expense) on interest rate          swaps recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net	239,008		5.26 %		86,872		1.93 %
Effective net interest income	278,303		5.44 %		210,117		4.13 %

Economic Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The following tables show the allocation of the Company's stockholders' equity to its target assets, the Company's debt-to-equity ratio, and the Company's economic debt-to-equity ratio as of December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023. The Company's debt-to-equity ratio is calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP and is the ratio of total debt to total stockholders' equity.

The Company presents an economic debt-to-equity ratio, a non-GAAP financial measure of leverage that considers the impact of the off-balance sheet financing of its investments in TBAs that are accounted for as derivative instruments under U.S. GAAP. The Company includes its TBAs at implied cost basis in its measure of leverage because a forward contract to acquire Agency RMBS in the TBA market carries similar risks to Agency RMBS purchased in the cash market and funded with on-balance sheet liabilities. Similarly, a contract for the forward sale of Agency RMBS has substantially the same effect as selling the underlying Agency RMBS and reducing the Company's on-balance sheet funding commitments. The Company believes that presenting its economic debt-to-equity ratio, when considered together with its U.S. GAAP financial measure of debt-to-equity ratio, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding how management evaluates at-risk leverage and gives investors a comparable statistic to those of other mortgage REITs who also invest in TBAs and present a similar non-GAAP measure of leverage.

As of December 31, 2023

$ in thousands	Agency RMBS	Credit Portfolio (1)	Total
Mortgage-backed securities	5,027,232	18,074	5,045,306
U.S. Treasury securities	11,214	—	11,214
Cash and cash equivalents (2)	76,967	—	76,967
Restricted cash (3)	121,670	—	121,670
Derivative assets, at fair value (3)	939	—	939
Other assets	27,480	633	28,113
Total assets	5,265,502	18,707	5,284,209
Repurchase agreements	4,458,695	—	4,458,695
Other liabilities	42,117	732	42,849
Total liabilities	4,500,812	732	4,501,544
Total stockholders' equity (allocated)	764,690	17,975	782,665
Debt-to-equity ratio (4)	5.8	—	5.7
Economic debt-to-equity ratio (5)	5.8	—	5.7

(1)	Investments in non-Agency CMBS, non-Agency RMBS and an unconsolidated joint venture are included in credit portfolio.
(2)	Cash and cash equivalents is allocated based on the Company's financing strategy for each asset class.
(3)	Restricted cash and derivative assets are allocated based on the hedging strategy for each asset class.
(4)	Debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements to total stockholders' equity.
(5)	Economic debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements and TBAs at implied cost basis to total stockholders' equity. The Company did not have any TBAs outstanding as of December 31, 2023.

As of September 30, 2023

$ in thousands	Agency RMBS	Credit Portfolio (1)	Total
Mortgage-backed securities	5,409,976	33,952	5,443,928
Cash and cash equivalents (2)	173,921	—	173,921
Restricted cash (3)	185,824	—	185,824
Other assets	25,500	2,170	27,670
Total assets	5,795,221	36,122	5,831,343
Repurchase agreements	4,987,006	—	4,987,006
Derivative liabilities, at fair value (3)	7,637	—	7,637
Other liabilities	49,848	1,827	51,675
Total liabilities	5,044,491	1,827	5,046,318
Total stockholders' equity (allocated)	750,730	34,295	785,025
Debt-to-equity ratio (4)	6.6	—	6.4
Economic debt-to-equity ratio (5)	6.6	—	6.4

(1)	Investments in non-Agency CMBS, non-Agency RMBS and an unconsolidated joint venture are included in credit portfolio.
(2)	Cash and cash equivalents is allocated based on the Company's financing strategy for each asset class.
(3)	Restricted cash and derivative liabilities are allocated based on the hedging strategy for each asset class.
(4)	Debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements to total stockholders' equity.
(5)	Economic debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as the ratio of total repurchase agreements and TBAs at implied cost basis to total stockholders' equity. The Company did not have any TBAs outstanding as of September 30, 2023.

Average Balances

The table below presents information related to the Company's average earning assets, average earning asset yields, average borrowings and average cost of funds for the following periods:

	Three Months Ended						Years Ended
$ in thousands	December 31, 2023		September 30, 2023		December 31, 2022		December 31, 2023		December 31, 2022
Average earning assets (1)	4,401,475		5,498,298		4,347,428		5,106,473		5,137,339
Average earning asset yields (2)	5.64 %		5.47 %		5.34 %		5.44 %		3.79 %
Average borrowings (3)	3,736,432		4,902,400		3,828,223		4,540,252		4,495,581
Average cost of funds (4)	5.76 %		5.36 %		3.36 %		5.03 %		1.15 %

(1)	Average balances for each period are based on weighted month-end balances.
(2)	Average earning asset yields for each period are calculated by dividing interest income, including amortization of premiums and discounts, by average earning assets based on the amortized cost of the investments. All yields are annualized.
(3)	Average borrowings for each period are based on weighted month-end balances.
(4)	Average cost of funds is calculated by dividing annualized interest expense, including amortization of net deferred gain (loss) on de-designated interest rate swaps, by average borrowings.

Greg Seals,
Investor Relations
404-439-3323

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SOURCE Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

FAQ

What was Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s net income per common share in Q4 2023?

In Q4 2023, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported a net income per common share of $0.46.

How did the earnings available for distribution per common share compare between Q4 2023 and Q3 2023?

Earnings available for distribution per common share were $0.95 in Q4 2023, a decrease from $1.51 in Q3 2023.

What was the common stock dividend declared by Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. in Q4 2023?

In Q4 2023, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. declared a common stock dividend of $0.40 per share.

How did the book value per common share change from Q3 2023 to Q4 2023?

The book value per common share increased to $10.00 in Q4 2023 from $9.93 in Q3 2023.

What was the economic return for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. in Q4 2023?

In Q4 2023, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. achieved an economic return of 4.7%.

What was the debt-to-equity ratio for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. in Q4 2023?

In Q4 2023, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 5.7x from 6.4x in Q3 2023.

What was the focus of John Anzalone, CEO, regarding the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector?

John Anzalone, CEO, expressed caution about the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector.