Gartner Identifies Top 12 Early-Stage Technology Disruptions that Will Define the Future of Business Systems
Gartner has identified 12 emerging technology disruptions that will shape business systems' future, requiring technology leaders' attention over the next five years. The research highlights three key areas:
1. GenAI-Enabled Code Architecture: By 2029, over 50% of enterprise business process interactions will use large language models to bypass traditional UI layers, up from less than 5% currently.
2. Disinformation Security: By 2030, at least 50% of enterprises will adopt products or services addressing disinformation security (up from less than 5% in 2024), including deepfake detection and reputation protection.
3. Earth Intelligence: By 2028, 80% of major Earth surface assets will be monitored by active satellites, using AI to analyze satellite, aerial, and ground data for decision-making across industries.
Gartner ha identificato 12 interruzioni tecnologiche emergenti che plasmeranno il futuro dei sistemi aziendali, richiedendo l'attenzione dei leader tecnologici nei prossimi cinque anni. La ricerca evidenzia tre aree chiave:
1. Architettura del Codice Abilitata da GenAI: Entro il 2029, oltre il 50% delle interazioni dei processi aziendali delle imprese utilizzerà modelli di linguaggio di grandi dimensioni per superare i tradizionali livelli di interfaccia utente, rispetto a meno del 5% attualmente.
2. Sicurezza contro la Disinformazione: Entro il 2030, almeno il 50% delle imprese adotterà prodotti o servizi che affrontano la sicurezza contro la disinformazione (rispetto a meno del 5% nel 2024), inclusa la rilevazione di deepfake e la protezione della reputazione.
3. Intelligenza della Terra: Entro il 2028, l'80% dei principali beni sulla superficie terrestre sarà monitorato da satelliti attivi, utilizzando l'IA per analizzare dati satellitari, aerei e terrestri per prendere decisioni in vari settori.
Gartner ha identificado 12 interrupciones tecnológicas emergentes que darán forma al futuro de los sistemas empresariales, requiriendo la atención de los líderes tecnológicos durante los próximos cinco años. La investigación destaca tres áreas clave:
1. Arquitectura de Código Habilitada por GenAI: Para 2029, más del 50% de las interacciones de procesos empresariales utilizarán modelos de lenguaje grande para eludir las capas de interfaz de usuario tradicionales, en comparación con menos del 5% actualmente.
2. Seguridad contra la Desinformación: Para 2030, al menos el 50% de las empresas adoptarán productos o servicios que aborden la seguridad contra la desinformación (aumentando de menos del 5% en 2024), incluyendo la detección de deepfakes y la protección de la reputación.
3. Inteligencia de la Tierra: Para 2028, el 80% de los principales activos de la superficie terrestre serán monitoreados por satélites activos, utilizando IA para analizar datos satelitales, aéreos y terrestres para la toma de decisiones en diversas industrias.
가트너는 비즈니스 시스템의 미래를 형성할 12가지 신기술 중단을 확인했으며, 이는 향후 5년 동안 기술 리더의 주의를 요구합니다. 연구는 세 가지 주요 영역을 강조합니다:
1. GenAI 지원 코드 아키텍처: 2029년까지 기업 비즈니스 프로세스 상호작용의 50% 이상이 전통적인 UI 레이어를 우회하기 위해 대형 언어 모델을 사용할 것이며, 이는 현재 5% 미만에서 증가하는 것입니다.
2. 허위 정보 보안: 2030년까지 최소 50%의 기업이 허위 정보 보안을 다루는 제품이나 서비스를 채택할 것이며(2024년 5% 미만에서 증가), 여기에는 딥페이크 탐지 및 평판 보호가 포함됩니다.
3. 지구 정보: 2028년까지 주요 지구 표면 자산의 80%가 능동적인 위성에 의해 모니터링되며, AI를 사용하여 위성, 공중 및 지상 데이터를 분석하여 산업 전반의 의사 결정을 지원합니다.
Gartner a identifié 12 disruptions technologiques émergentes qui façonneront l'avenir des systèmes d'entreprise, nécessitant l'attention des leaders technologiques au cours des cinq prochaines années. La recherche met en avant trois domaines clés :
1. Architecture de Code Activée par GenAI : D'ici 2029, plus de 50 % des interactions des processus métier des entreprises utiliseront des modèles de langage de grande taille pour contourner les couches d'interface utilisateur traditionnelles, contre moins de 5 % actuellement.
2. Sécurité contre la Désinformation : D'ici 2030, au moins 50 % des entreprises adopteront des produits ou services visant à traiter la sécurité contre la désinformation (en hausse par rapport à moins de 5 % en 2024), y compris la détection de deepfakes et la protection de la réputation.
3. Intelligence de la Terre : D'ici 2028, 80 % des principaux actifs de la surface terrestre seront surveillés par des satellites actifs, utilisant l'IA pour analyser les données satellitaires, aériennes et terrestres afin de prendre des décisions dans divers secteurs.
Gartner hat 12 aufkommende technologische Störungen identifiziert, die die Zukunft der Geschäftssysteme prägen werden und die Aufmerksamkeit der Technologieführer in den nächsten fünf Jahren erfordern. Die Forschung hebt drei Schlüsselbereiche hervor:
1. GenAI-unterstützte Code-Architektur: Bis 2029 werden über 50% der Interaktionen von Geschäftsprozessen in Unternehmen große Sprachmodelle nutzen, um traditionelle UI-Schichten zu umgehen, verglichen mit weniger als 5% derzeit.
2. Desinformationssicherheit: Bis 2030 werden mindestens 50% der Unternehmen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen annehmen, die sich mit der Sicherheit gegen Desinformation befassen (steigend von weniger als 5% im Jahr 2024), einschließlich der Erkennung von Deepfakes und dem Schutz des Rufes.
3. Erde-Intelligenz: Bis 2028 werden 80% der wichtigsten Vermögenswerte der Erdoberfläche von aktiven Satelliten überwacht, wobei KI zur Analyse von Satelliten-, Luft- und Bodendaten für die Entscheidungsfindung in verschiedenen Branchen eingesetzt wird.
- Significant market opportunity in GenAI-enabled enterprise applications
- Growing demand for disinformation security solutions indicates new revenue streams
- Expanding Earth intelligence market across multiple industries
- Traditional enterprise software vendors must refactor applications to remain competitive
- Increased cybersecurity threats from disinformation attacks using external infrastructure
- Complex market fragmentation in Earth intelligence sector requiring specialized expertise
Technologies Addressing GenAI-Enabled Code Architecture, Disinformation Security and Surface Asset Management Will Be Widely Adopted by 2030
Figure 1: Top 12 Early-Stage Technology Market Disruptors for 2025. Source: Gartner (April 2025)
“Technology leaders must take action now to gain a first-mover advantage with these technologies,” said Bill Ray, Distinguished VP Analyst at Gartner. “Innovative advancements like generative AI (GenAI)-enabled code architecture, disinformation security and Earth intelligence will provide the differentiation needed to help enterprises pull ahead of the pack in terms of data and product offerings.”
The 12 early-stage technology disruptions are highlighted in Figure 1. Each disruptor is significant in its own right, but in combination they start to define broader emerging solutions to new business practices. For example, advancing GenAI technologies will spawn new solutions around Earth intelligence and business simulation, spur the expansive growth of domain-specific language models, and lead to higher functioning tools.
Additional insights into some of these technology market disruptors are highlighted below:
GenAI-Enabled Code Architecture Will Enable Dynamic Composable Applications
GenAI solutions systems using free-form text and multimedia inputs/outputs will displace the conventional form-oriented sequential UI in established enterprise applications and enable new user scenarios.
“To remain competitive, traditional enterprise application software vendors will need to refactor applications to serve composable GenAI solutions that are invoked on demand via textual and multimodal prompts,” said Ray Valdes, VP Analyst at Gartner.
Because of this, Gartner predicts that by 2029, more than
Products and Services to Address Disinformation Security
Disinformation security is an emerging discipline focused on threats from outside the corporate-controlled network. It includes a suite of technologies, such as deepfake detection, impersonation prevention and reputation protection, which can address disinformation to help enterprises discern trust, protect their brand and secure their online presence.
Gartner predicts that by 2030, at least half of enterprises will have adopted products or services to address disinformation security, up from less than
“Disinformation attacks use external infrastructure like social media and originate from areas with limited legal oversight,” said Alfredo Ramirez IV, Senior Director Analyst at Gartner. “Tech leaders must add 'disinformation-proofing' to products by using AI/machine learning for content verification and data provenance tracking to help users discern the truth.”
Earth Intelligence
Gartner predicts that by 2028,
Earth intelligence uses AI to analyze satellite, aerial, and ground data to monitor Earth's assets and activities, providing insights for decision-making.
“That doesn't mean maps and charts. Earth intelligence is delivering numbers on global nickel production, theme park revenue and the health of wheat crops, to name just a few,” said Ray.
Given the breadth of applications, Earth intelligence is applicable to all industries and enterprises. Defense has been the first adopter, but improvements in quality of data, and analysis techniques, have rapidly expanded the use cases. The Earth intelligence market is now divided between those who capture the data, those who interpret and analyze it, and those who generate industry-specific insights.
“Earth intelligence applies to every business,” said Ray. “Enterprises can gain an early advantage by creatively and strategically applying Earth intelligence to significantly enhance specific functionalities of existing systems or to compete via net new capabilities.”
Gartner clients can read more in “Emerging Tech Disruptors: Top 12 Early Trends Redefining the Future of Business.”
Learn more about how these 12 technologies will transform how companies operate over the next five years and beyond in the complimentary, on-demand Gartner webinar “12 Emerging Technologies That Will Redefine the Future of Business.”
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View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250407742422/en/
Matt LoDolce
Gartner
matt.lodolce@gartner.com
Meghan Moran
Gartner
meghan.moran@gartner.com
Source: Gartner, Inc.
FAQ
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