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ICE Mortgage Technology Millennial Tracker Finds Millennial Purchase Activity Increases, Even as Rates Rise

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ICE Mortgage Technology reported a surge in millennial home purchase activity in March 2021, with purchases constituting 51% of all loans closed, up from 46% in February. Despite a rise in interest rates, which averaged 2.98%, millennials continued to engage in the housing market. The average time to close loans dropped to 48 days, a decrease from previous months. However, the average FICO score for millennial borrowers fell to 739, indicating potential challenges in creditworthiness. The tightening inventory in the housing market may lead to increased competition among millennials as the summer buying season approaches.

Positive
  • Millennial purchase loans increased to 51% of closed loans in March, up from 46% in February.
  • Average days to close a loan decreased to 48 days, the fastest since October 2020.
Negative
  • Average FICO scores dropped to 739 in March, down from 742 in February.
  • Tight inventory may lead to increased competition for millennials in the housing market.

ICE Mortgage Technology, part of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), a leading global provider of data, technology and market infrastructure, today shared that according to the ICE Mortgage Technology™ Millennial Tracker purchase activity among millennials increased in March, even as interest rates rose for the first time since October 2020.

Purchase activity represented 51% of loans closed by millennials in March – a notable increase from February’s 46% purchase share, but on par with January’s 53%. This influx in purchase activity occurred even as interest rates increased to 2.98%, up from 2.88% in February.

Prior to March, interest rates had been steadily decreasing since October 2020, when rates were at 3.03%. However, both younger millennials (those born between 1991 and 1999) and older millennials (those born between 1980 and 1990) experienced a slight rate increase in March. On average, rates for younger millennials increased from 2.85% in February to 2.96% in March, while rates for older millennials increased from 2.89% in February to 2.99% in March.

“Although rates are increasing, they are still hovering at record-low levels and will likely continue to be favorable for millennials looking to purchase or refinance a home for a number of months to come,” said Joe Tyrrell, President of ICE Mortgage Technology. “As we enter the summer homebuying season, we are seeing a traditional increase in purchase activity; however, inventory remains extremely tight, so millennials may face steep competition when looking to make a purchase.”

Average days to close a loan for millennial borrowers also dipped to 48 – the first time this average has been below 50 days since October 2020. This average is still a stark difference to March 2020 when it took just 39 days to close a loan.

The average age of borrowers in this generation also remained relatively high at 32.7 in March, down from 32.9 in February and January’s record high of 33. Average FICO scores also decreased across the board. In March average FICO scores for all millennial borrowers dropped to 739, down from 742 the month prior.

ICE Mortgage Technology Millennial Tracker – Older Millennials vs. Younger Millennials

 

Older Millennials

Younger Millennials

Closed Loans (Share) — All

Refinance

56%

29%

Purchase

43%

71%

Loan Type - All

FHA

11%

20%

Conventional

86%

76%

VA

2%

1%

Other

2%

2%

Time To Close (Days) — All

All

48

46

Refinance

49

49

Purchase

46

44

Average Interest Rates

30 Year Note Rate — ALL

2.99%

2.96%

30 Year Note Rate — FHA

2.96%

2.95%

30 Year Note Rate — Conventional

3.00%

2.98%

30 Year Note Rate — VA

2.57%

2.52%

Average FICO

747

729

The ICE Mortgage Technology Millennial Tracker is an interactive online tool that provides access to up-to-date demographic data about this new generation of homebuyers. It mines data from a robust sampling of approximately 80% of all closed mortgages dating back to 2014 that were initiated on ICE Mortgage Technology’s Encompass® all-in-one mortgage management solution. Given the size of this sample, it is a strong proxy of millennial mortgage indicators across the country. Searches can be tailored by borrower geography, age, gender, marital status, FICO score and amortization type. For more information, visit http://icemortgagetechnology.com/millennial-tracker.

About the ICE Mortgage Technology Millennial Tracker

The ICE Mortgage Technology Millennial Tracker focuses on millennial mortgage applications during specific time periods. ICE Mortgage Technology defines millennials as applicants born between the years 1980 and 1999. New data is updated on the first Monday of every month for two months prior. The Millennial Tracker is a subset of the Origination Insight Report, which details aggregated, anonymized data pulled from Encompass by ICE Mortgage Technology origination platform. Additional information regarding the Origination Insight Report can be found at http://icemortgagetechnology.com/resources/origination-insight-reports. News organizations have the right to reuse this data, provided that ICE Mortgage Technology, Inc. is credited as the source.

About Intercontinental Exchange

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that designs, builds and operates digital networks to connect people to opportunity. We provide financial technology and data services across major asset classes that offer our customers access to mission-critical workflow tools that increase transparency and operational efficiencies. We operate exchanges, including the New York Stock Exchange, and clearing houses that help people invest, raise capital and manage risk across multiple asset classes. Our comprehensive fixed income data services and execution capabilities provide information, analytics and platforms that help our customers capitalize on opportunities and operate more efficiently. At ICE Mortgage Technology, we are transforming and digitizing the U.S. residential mortgage process, from consumer engagement through loan registration. Together, we transform, streamline and automate industries to connect our customers to opportunity.

Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE and New York Stock Exchange. Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual property rights of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its affiliates is located here. Key Information Documents for certain products covered by the EU Packaged Retail and Insurance-based Investment Products Regulation can be accessed on the relevant exchange website under the heading “Key Information Documents (KIDS).”

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 -- Statements in this press release regarding ICE's business that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of additional risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see ICE's Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, including, but not limited to, the risk factors in ICE's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, as filed with the SEC on February 4, 2021.

© 2021 ICE Mortgage Technology, Inc. All rights reserved. Encompass®, Millennial Tracker™, and the ICE Mortgage Technology logo are trademarks of the entities of ICE Mortgage Technology.

Source: Intercontinental Exchange

FAQ

What is the current trend in millennial mortgage activity as reported by ICE?

In March 2021, millennial home purchase activity increased to 51% of loans closed, up from 46% in February.

How have interest rates affected millennial home purchases?

Despite rising interest rates averaging 2.98% in March, millennials continued to pursue home purchases.

What is the average time to close a loan for millennials in March 2021?

The average time to close a loan for millennials decreased to 48 days in March 2021.

What was the change in average FICO scores for millennial borrowers?

Average FICO scores decreased to 739 in March 2021, down from 742 in February.

Why is there increased competition among millennials for housing?

With tight inventory in the housing market, millennials may face steep competition during the summer buying season.

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