GeoPark Announces Consolidated 2021 Certified 2P Reserves of 159 Million BOE With Net Present Value (After Tax) of $2.3 Billion
GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK) has announced its independent oil and gas reserves assessment for 2021, certified by DeGolyer and MacNaughton. The company reported 2P reserves of 136 million BOE in Colombia with a net present value after tax of $2 billion. Highlights include a 117% reserve replacement rate of proven developed reserves and average production of 55,971 bopd. Future capital expenditures are projected to be $160-180 million for 2022 with expected free cash flow of up to $250 million at higher oil prices.
- 2P reserves certified at 136 million BOE with a NPV of $2 billion.
- 117% reserve replacement ratio for proven developed reserves.
- Average gross production of 55,971 bopd, higher exit rate above 60,000 bopd.
- Self-funded capital expenditure program of $160-180 million for 2022.
- Potential free cash flow of $250 million at $80-85/bbl Brent.
- 1P reserves decreased by 14% compared to the previous year.
- Negative revisions in 2P reserves due to production and lower technical revisions.
- Delayed development plans in Chile, affecting reserve estimates.
In
2021 Certified 2P Reserves of 136 Million BOE
With Net Present Value (After Tax) of
All reserves included in this release refer to
2021 Year-End D&M Certified Oil and Gas Reserves and Highlights:
Building on GeoPark’s core base in the Llanos 34 (
Colombia Reserves
-
PD Reserves: Proven developed (PD) reserves in
Colombia of 49.9 mmboe, with a PD reserve life index (RLI) of 4.4 years -
1P Reserves: Proven (1P) reserves in
Colombia of 82.2 mmboe, with a 1P RLI of 7.2 years. Net present value after tax discounted at10% (NPV10 after tax) of 1P reserves of$1.3 billion -
2P Reserves: Proven and probable (2P) reserves in
Colombia of 135.8 mmboe, with a 2P RLI of 11.9 years. NPV10 after tax of 2P reserves of$2.0 billion -
3P Reserves: Proven, probable and possible (3P) reserves in
Colombia of 211.0 mmboe, with a 3P RLI of 18.5 years. NPV10 after tax of 3P reserves of$2.9 billion -
Development Capital : Future development capital to develop 1P, 2P and 3P reserves inColombia of per barrel,$1.9 per barrel and$1.7 per barrel, respectively$1.6 -
Llanos 34 Block: Low risk development and new field extensions with reserve upside potential to be tested in 2022
-
Net PD reserve additions of 12.0 mmbbl (a
131% PD reserve replacement) -
Net 2P reserve additions of 7.3 mmbbl (a
78% 2P reserve replacement) -
Net 3P reserve additions of 9.5 mmbbl (a
100% 3P reserve replacement) - 1P RLI of 7.9 years, 2P RLI of 11.5 years and 3P RLI of 16.0 years
- Average gross production in 2021 was 55,971 bopd with an exit rate above 60,000 bopd
-
Net PD reserve additions of 12.0 mmbbl (a
-
CPO-5 Block1: Continued strong reservoir performance in the Indico oil field
- Net 1P reserves of 5.1 mmbbl, Net 2P reserves of 20.0 mmbbl and Net 3P reserves of 48.8 mmbbl (1P RLI of 3.6 years, 2P RLI of 14.7 years and 3P RLI of 36.1 years)
-
The 2021 drilling campaign initiated in
December 2021 with the spud of the Indico 4 development well -
The operator,
ONGC Videsh , is accelerating drilling activities in 2022 targeting to drill 7-8 gross wells (1-2 development wells and 6-7 exploration wells) with two contracted drilling rigs
Consolidated Reserves2
- PD Reserves: PD reserves of 58.1 mmboe, with a PD RLI of 4.2 years
-
1P Reserves: 1P reserves of 91.6 mmboe, with a 1P RLI of 6.7 years. NPV10 after tax of 1P reserves of
$1.4 billion -
2P Reserves: 2P reserves of 159.2 mmboe, with a 2P RLI of 11.6 years. NPV10 after tax of 2P reserves of
$2.3 billion -
3P Reserves: 3P reserves of 248.3 mmboe, with a 2P RLI of 18.1 years. NPV10 after tax of 3P reserves of
$3.4 billion -
Future Development Capital : Future development capital to develop 1P, 2P and 3P reserves of per barrel,$2.0 per barrel and$2.3 per barrel, respectively$2.2 -
Portfolio Management: Divestment of non-core Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet (
GeoPark operated,100% WI) blocks inArgentina and of the Manati gas field (GeoPark non-operated,10% WI) inBrazil are currently underway, representing100% of GeoPark’s reserves inArgentina andBrazil -
Excluding reserves from
Argentina andBrazil , GeoPark’s consolidated reserves would amount to 53.7 mmboe, 86.6 mmboe, 153.1 mmboe and 241.4 mmboe of PD, 1P, 2P and 3P reserves, respectively
-
Excluding reserves from
Net Present Value and Value Per Share
-
GeoPark’s 2P NPV10 after tax of
$2.3 billion -
GeoPark’s net debt-adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax of
per share ($28.9 per share corresponding to$24.0 Colombia )
____________
1 |
2 Consolidated figures include reserves in the Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks in |
2022 Work Program: Superior Free Cash Flow3 Plus Multiple Catalysts to Grow Production and Test High Potential Prospects
Self-funded 2022 capital expenditures program of
-
At
/bbl Brent the program would generate$65 -70 free cash flow, or 11$90 -140 million-18% free cash flow yields -
At
/bbl Brent the program would generate$75 -80 free cash flow, or 21$170 -210 million-26% free cash flow yields -
At
/bbl Brent the program would generate$80 -85 free cash flow, or 26$210 -250 million-32% free cash flow yields -
GeoPark intends to use free cash flow for continued deleveraging, incremental shareholder returns through cash dividends and share buybacks, and other corporate purposes, subject to prevailing oil price conditions in 2022
Recent Events (Not included in the 2021 Year-End D&M Certification)
-
Perico Block (GeoPark non-operated,50% WI): InJanuary 2022 ,GeoPark announced its first discovery inEcuador after drilling and testing the Jandaya 1 exploration well. Initial production tests had a rate of 750 bopd of 28 degrees API and 0.8 mmcfpd, for a combined 890 boepd. Production is already tied-in and being delivered. The second exploration well, Tui 1, has spudded and is expected to reach TD in lateFebruary 2022 -
CPO-5 Block: The Indico 4 development well was spudded in
December 2021 and tested inJanuary 2022 . Initial tests showed a production rate of 3,840 bopd (on a restricted 32/64 inch choke) of light oil (35 degrees API) with an estimated payback of approximately 2 months4. Oil production is already tied-in and being delivered. Rig down activities are currently underway and the operator is expecting to spud the Indico 5 development well inFebruary 2022
____________
3 Please refer to section “2022 Free Cash Flow Calculation and Sensitivities to Different Brent Oil Prices” included in this press release. |
4 Assuming |
2020 Year-End to 2021 Year-End D&M Certified Reserves Evolution
|
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
2020 Year-End Reserves |
48.0 |
95.2 |
141.0 |
216.4 |
2021 Production |
-11.4 |
-11.4 |
-11.4 |
-11.4 |
Net Change5 |
13.3 |
-1.7 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
2021 Year-End Reserves |
49.9 |
82.2 |
135.8 |
211.0 |
2021 Reserve Life (years) |
4.4 |
7.2 |
11.9 |
18.5 |
2020 Reserve Life (years) |
3.9 |
7.8 |
11.6 |
17.8 |
Total (mmboe) |
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
2020 Year-End Reserves |
58.5 |
109.3 |
174.7 |
270.9 |
2021 Production |
-13.7 |
-13.7 |
-13.7 |
-13.7 |
Net Change5 |
13.3 |
-4.0 |
-1.8 |
-8.9 |
2021 Year-End Reserves |
58.1 |
91.6 |
159.2 |
248.3 |
2021 Reserve Life (years) |
4.2 |
6.7 |
11.6 |
18.1 |
2020 Reserve Life (years) |
4.0 |
7.4 |
11.9 |
18.4 |
Net Present Value per Share by Country
The table below presents GeoPark’s 2P NPV per share, by country, as of
2021 Net Present Value per Share |
|
|
|
|
Total6 |
2P Reserves (mmboe) |
135.8 |
17.3 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
159.2 |
2P NPV10 after tax 2021 ($ mm) |
2,019 |
223 |
51 |
20 |
2,313 |
Shares Outstanding (mm) |
60.2 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
($/share) |
33.5 |
3.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
38.4 |
The table below illustrates the details of the net debt adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax per share:
2021 Net Debt Adjusted 2P NPV10 After Tax per Share |
|
Total |
2P NPV10 after tax ($ mm) |
2,019 |
2,313 |
Shares Outstanding (mm) |
60.2 |
60.2 |
Subtotal ($/share) |
33.5 |
38.4 |
Net Debta/Share ($/share) |
-9.5 |
-9.5 |
Net Debt Adjusted 2P NPV10 After Tax per Share ($/share) |
24.0 |
28.9 |
____________
5 Includes extensions, improved recoveries, discoveries, technical revisions and economic factors. |
6 Consolidated figures include reserves in the Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks in |
(a) Net debt adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax per share is shown on a consolidated basis. Net debt considers financial debt of |
The tables below present D&M’s best estimate of future development capital (undiscounted) and the unit value per boe by category of certified reserves as of
|
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
|
23.1 |
154.8 |
225.7 |
333.4 |
Reserves (mmboe) |
49.9 |
82.2 |
135.8 |
211.0 |
|
0.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
|
23.1 |
187.4 |
361.9 |
541.7 |
Reserves (mmboe) |
58.1 |
91.6 |
159.2 |
248.3 |
|
0.4 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2021 Year-End Reserves Summary
Following oil and gas production of 13.7 mmboe in 2021, D&M certified 2P reserves of 159.2 mmboe (
Reserves Summary by Country and Category
Country |
Reserves
|
|
% Oil |
|
% Change |
PD |
49.9 |
|
48.0 |
|
|
1P |
82.2 |
|
95.2 |
- |
|
2P |
135.8 |
|
141.0 |
- |
|
3P |
211.0 |
|
216.4 |
- |
|
PD |
3.8 |
|
5.1 |
- |
|
1P |
4.4 |
|
7.3 |
- |
|
2P |
17.3 |
|
25.5 |
- |
|
3P |
30.4 |
|
44.2 |
- |
|
PD |
2.5 |
|
2.5 |
|
|
1P |
2.5 |
|
2.5 |
|
|
2P |
2.6 |
|
2.6 |
|
|
3P |
2.8 |
|
3.0 |
|
|
PD |
2.0 |
|
3.0 |
- |
|
1P |
2.6 |
|
4.3 |
- |
|
2P |
3.5 |
|
5.5 |
- |
|
3P |
4.1 |
|
7.3 |
- |
|
Total7 | PD |
58.1 |
|
58.5 |
- |
(D&M Certified) | 1P |
91.6 |
|
109.3 |
- |
2P |
159.2 |
|
174.7 |
- |
|
3P |
248.3 |
|
270.9 |
- |
____________
7 Consolidated figures include reserves in the Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks in |
Analysis by Country
Llanos 34 block
The Llanos 34 block represented
GeoPark’s drilling plan in 2021 in its core Llanos 34 block was mainly focused on low risk development projects that resulted in net PD reserve additions with a reserve replacement of
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in the Llanos 34 block in
As of
The 1P RLI was 7.9 years, while the 2P RLI was 11.5 years.
Gross original oil in place in the Llanos 34 is estimated to be 0.8-1 billion barrels9. Cumulative production since 2012 to 2021 totaled 139 mmbbl gross, representing a recovery of
CPO-5 block
The CPO-5 block is located to the southwest and is adjacent to and on trend with the Llanos 34 block. The block has 400-900 mmbbl gross recoverable exploration resources10, or 120-270 mmbbl net to
The CPO-5 block represented
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in CPO-5 totaled 20.0 mmbbl in 2021 compared to 21.2 mmbbl in 2020, reflecting 1.4 mmbbl production, partially offset by positive technical revisions due to strong reservoir performance in the Indico oil field in 2021.
The 1P RLI was 3.8 years, while the 2P RLI was 14.7 years.
The operator suffered delays in the execution of the 2021 drilling campaign in the CPO-5 block which started in
The Indico 4 development well was spudded in
____________
8 D&M best estimate. |
9 D&M best estimate of 1P-3P gross original oil in place. |
10 Corresponds to GeoPark’s aggregate Mean-P10 unrisked recoverable oil volumes in leads and prospects individually audited by Gaffney & Cline as of |
The 2022 drilling campaign includes the drilling of 7-8 gross wells, including 1-2 development wells and 6-7 exploration wells. The exploration program targets high potential nearfield projects adjacent to and on trend with the Llanos 34 block. The drilling campaign is being executed with two drilling rigs, with one rig currently active in the block and the second to join in 1H2022.
Total
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
As of
The 1P RLI was 7.2 years, while the 2P RLI was 11.9 years.
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 5.1 years and the 2P RLI was 19.8 years.
The Fell block represented
The 2P D&M reserves in
The 2022 drilling campaign includes drilling of two gas wells in the Jauke/Dicky geological structure, targeting to spud the first well in
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 3.5 years and the 2P RLI was 3.7 years.
The Manati field represented
The 2P D&M reserves in
Manati Gas Field Divestment Process Update
In
The transaction is subject to several conditions that should be met before
____________
11 D&M best estimate. |
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 3.4 years, while the 2P RLI was 4.6 years.
The Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks represented
The 2P D&M reserves in
Argentina Divestment Process Update
In
Net Present Value After Tax Summary
The table below details D&M certified NPV10 after tax as of
Country |
Reserves
|
NPV10 After Tax
|
NPV10 After Tax
|
|
1P |
1,274 |
1,477 |
|
2P |
2,019 |
2,136 |
|
3P |
2,918 |
3,094 |
|
1P |
52 |
71 |
|
2P |
223 |
291 |
|
3P |
409 |
533 |
|
1P |
46 |
27 |
|
2P |
52 |
29 |
|
3P |
54 |
32 |
|
1P |
12 |
28 |
|
2P |
20 |
38 |
|
3P |
28 |
45 |
Total12 |
1P |
1,384 |
1,603 |
(D&M Certified) |
2P |
2,313 |
2,493 |
|
3P |
3,409 |
3,703 |
____________
12 Consolidated figures include the Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks in |
Oil Price Forecast
The price assumptions used to estimate the feasibility of PRMS reserves and NPV10 after tax in 2021 and 2020 D&M reports are detailed in the table below:
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl) |
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
2027 and
|
2021 Reserves Report |
74.9 |
66.4 |
67.7 |
69.1 |
70.5 |
71.9-80.0 |
2020 Reserves Report |
60.0 |
65.0 |
67.5 |
68.8 |
70.2 |
71.5-80.4 |
2022 Free Cash Flow Calculation and Sensitivities to Different Brent Oil Prices
The table below provides sensitivities to different Brent oil prices using the 2022 base work program:
2022 Free Cash Flow |
(Base Case)
|
|
|
(in $ million) |
|
|
|
Operating Netback |
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA |
|
|
|
Cash Taxes |
|
|
|
Capital Expenditures |
|
|
|
Mandatory Debt Service Payments13 |
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow |
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Yield (in %) |
11 |
21 |
26 |
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as profit for the period (determined as if IFRS 16 Leases has not been adopted), before net finance cost, income tax, depreciation, amortization, certain non-cash items such as impairments and write-offs of unsuccessful exploration efforts, accrual of share-based payment, unrealized result on commodity risk management contracts, geological and geophysical expenses allocated to capitalized projects, and other non-recurring events. Operating Netback is equivalent to Adjusted EBITDA before cash expenses included in Administrative, Geological and Geophysical and Other operating expenses.
Free cash flow is used here as Adjusted EBITDA less income tax paid included in cash flows from operating activities, less capital expenditures included in cash flows used in investing activities, less mandatory interest payments included in cash flows used in financing activities.
Free cash flow yield is calculated as free cash flow divided by GeoPark’s average market capitalization from
____________
13 Excluding potential and voluntary prepayments on existing financial debt. |
OTHER NEWS / RECENT EVENTS
Reporting Date for 4Q2021 Results Release, Conference Call and Webcast
In conjunction with the 4Q2021 results press release,
To listen to the call, participants can access the webcast located in the Investor Support section of the Company’s website at www.geo-park.com, or by clicking below:
https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/3575585/D8C22C704081598319ACA0C7BF36387F
Interested parties may participate in the conference call by dialing the numbers provided below:
United States Participants: 844-200-6205
International Participants: +1 929-526-1599
Passcode: 376830
Please allow extra time prior to the call to visit the website and download any streaming media software that might be required to listen to the webcast.
An archive of the webcast replay will be made available in the Investor Support section of the Company’s website at www.geo-park.com after the conclusion of the live call.
GLOSSARY
1P |
Proven Reserves |
|
2P |
Proven plus Probable Reserves |
|
3P |
Proven plus Probable plus Possible Reserves |
|
boe |
Barrels of oil equivalent (6,000 cf marketable gas per bbl of oil equivalent) |
|
boepd |
Barrels of oil equivalent per day |
|
bopd |
Barrels of oil per day |
|
Certified Reserves |
Refers to |
|
EUR |
Estimated Ultimate Recovery |
|
F&D Cost |
Finding and Development Cost, calculated as the unaudited cash flow from investing activities divided by the applicable net reserves additions before changes in |
|
mboed |
Thousands of Barrels of oil equivalent per day |
|
mmboed |
Millions of Barrels of oil equivalent per day |
|
mmbbl |
Millions of Barrels of oil |
|
mcfpd |
Thousands of standard cubic feet per day |
|
mmcfpd |
Millions of standard cubic feet per day |
|
NPV10 After Tax |
Net Present Value after tax discounted at |
|
PD |
Proven Developed Reserves |
|
PUD |
Proven Undeveloped Reserves |
|
PRMS |
Petroleum Resources Management System |
|
RLI |
Reserve Life Index |
|
RRR |
Reserve Replacement Ratio |
|
sq km |
Square kilometers |
|
WI |
Working Interest |
NOTICE
Additional information about
The reserve estimates provided in this release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. Statements relating to reserves are by their nature forward-looking statements.
Gas quantities estimated herein are reserves to be produced from the reservoirs, available to be delivered to the gas pipeline after field separation prior to compression. Gas reserves estimated herein include fuel gas.
Rounding amounts and percentages: Certain amounts and percentages included in this press release have been rounded for ease of presentation. Percentage figures included in this press release have not in all cases been calculated on the basis of such rounded figures, but on the basis of such amounts prior to rounding. For this reason, certain percentage amounts in this press release may vary from those obtained by performing the same calculations using the figures in the financial statements. In addition, certain other amounts that appear in this press release may not sum due to rounding.
Oil and gas production figures included in this release are stated before the effect of royalties paid in kind, consumption and losses.
All evaluations of future net revenue contained in the D&M Reports are after the deduction of cash royalties, development costs, operating expenses, production and profit taxes, fees, earn out payments, well abandonment costs, and country income taxes from the future gross revenue. It should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues presented in the tables represent the fair market value of the reserves. The actual production, revenues, taxes and development, and operating expenditures with respect to the reserves associated with the Company's properties may vary from the information presented herein, and such variations could be material. In addition, there is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions contained in the D&M Report will be attained, and variances could be material.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS RELEVANT TO FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This press release contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements. Many of the forward looking statements contained in this press release can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as ‘‘anticipate,’’ ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could,’’ ‘‘expect,’’ ‘‘should,’’ ‘‘plan,’’ ‘‘intend,’’ ‘‘will,’’ ‘‘estimate’’ and ‘‘potential,’’ among others.
Forward-looking statements that appear in a number of places in this press release include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations, regarding various matters including NPV10 after tax and NPV10 after tax/share estimations, our reserves, the divestment process of the Aguada Baguales, El Porvenir and Puesto Touquet blocks and the Manati Gas Field, the estimated future revenues, free cash flows and oil price forecast. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and assumptions, and on information currently available to the management. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to various factors.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments or to release publicly any revisions to these statements in order to reflect later events or circumstances, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. For a discussion of the risks facing the Company which could affect whether these forward-looking statements are realized, see the Company’s filings with the
Information about oil and gas reserves: The
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220130005033/en/
INVESTORS:
ssteimel@geo-park.com
Shareholder Value Director
T: +562 2242 9600
mbello@geo-park.com
Market Access Director
T: +562 2242 9600
dgully@geo-park.com
Investor Relations Director
T: +5411 4312 9400
MEDIA:
communications@geo-park.com
Source:
FAQ
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