GOL Announces 4Q22 Investor Update

Rhea-AI Summary

GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes provides a preliminary update for 4Q22, anticipating a loss per share of R$2.3 and US$1.2 per American Depositary Share. An estimated EBITDA margin of around 20% is expected. Passenger revenue (PRASK) is projected to rise 20% year-over-year, supported by strong leisure travel recovery. Although non-fuel costs (CASK Ex-Fuel) may drop by 12%, fuel costs (CASK Fuel) are expected to increase by 42%. Liquidity is anticipated at R$3.6 billion, and the net debt/EBITDA ratio is approximately 10x.

Positive

• Passenger unit revenue (PRASK) expected to increase by approximately 20% year-over-year.
• Smiles revenues jumped 64% compared to 2019, reflecting robust recovery.
• Non-fuel unit costs (CASK Ex-Fuel) projected to decrease by 12%, enhancing operational efficiency.

Negative

• Anticipated Loss Per Share of R$2.3 and Loss Per American Depositary Share of US$1.2.
• Fuel costs (CASK Fuel) expected to rise by 42%, squeezing margins.

SÃO PAULO, Jan. 3, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (NYSE: GOL e B3: GOLL4) ("GOL" or "Company"), Brazil's largest airline, today provides an Investor Update on its expectations for the fourth quarter of 2022. The information below is preliminary and unaudited. The Company will discuss its 4Q22 results in a conference call on March 2, 2023.

Overall Commentary

GOL expects a Loss Per Share (EPS) and Loss Per American Depositary Shares (EPADS) for 4Q22 of approximately R$2.31 and US$1.21, respectively. EBITDA margin for the quarter is expected to be approximately 20%2. Passenger unit revenue (PRASK) for the fourth quarter is expected to be up approximately 20% year over year, driven by the continued recovery in leisure travel demand combined with an increase in international travel. Smiles revenues increased by 64% when compared to same period of 2019 with a 21% growth in the customer base versus 4Q19. The total unit revenue (RASK) is expected to be up 23% year-over-year. Non-fuel unit costs (CASK Ex-Fuel) are expected to decrease approximately 12% compared to the fourth quarter of the prior year, primarily due to an increase in ASKs and productivity (aircraft utilization and operating efficiency). Fuel unit costs (CASK Fuel) are expected to increase approximately 42% year over year, driven by an 45% increase in the average jet fuel price, partially offset by a reduction of approximately 2% in fuel consumption per flight hour due to the higher number of 737-MAXs in the fleet. GOL's financial leverage, as measured by Net Debt3 / EBITDA2,4 ratio was approximately 10x at the end of December 2022 quarter (approximately 8x in IFRS-16). Total liquidity at quarter-end is expected to be at R$ 3.6 billion5.

 

Preliminary and Unaudited Projection
				December Quarter 2022
EBITDA Margin2					~20%
EBIT Margin2					~ 11%
Other Revenue (cargo, loyalty, other)				~7% of total revenues
Average fuel price per liter					R$ 6.05
Average Exchange rate					R$ 5.26
				December Quarter 2022 vs. December Quarter 2021
Passenger unit revenue (PRASK)					Up ~20%
CASK Ex-fuel2					Down ~12%
Total Demand - RPK					Up ~27%
Total Capacity - ASK					Up ~31%
Total Capacity - Seats					Up ~28%

1. Excluding gains and losses on currency and Exchangeable Senior Notes.
2. Excluding non-recurring results of approximately $100 million.
3. Including 7x annual aircraft lease payments and excluding perpetual bonds.
4. Last twelve months.
5. Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, accounts receivable and deposits.

GOL Investor Relations
ri@voegol.com.br
www.voegol.com.br/ir
+55(11) 2128-4700

About GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A.
GOL is the largest airline in Brazil, leader in the corporate and leisure segments. Since founded in 2001, the Company has the lowest unit cost in Latin America, thus democratizing air transportation. The Company has alliances with American Airlines and Air FranceKLM, besides several codeshare and interline agreements available to Customers, bringing more convenience and simple connections to any place served by these partnerships. With the purpose of "Being the First for All", GOL offers the best travel experience to its passengers, including: the largest number of seats and more space between seats; the greatest platform with internet, movies and live TV; and the best frequent-flyer program, SMILES. In cargo transportation, GOLLOG delivers orders to different regions in Brazil and abroad. The Company has a team of 14,000 highly qualified aviation professionals focused on Safety, GOL's #1 value, and operates a standardized fleet of 145 Boeing 737 aircraft. The Company's shares are traded on the NYSE (GOL) and the B3 (GOLL4). For further information, visit www.voegol.com.br/ir.

Disclaimer
The information contained in this press release has not been subject to any independent audit or review and contains "forward-looking" statements, estimates and projections that relate to future events, which are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release including, without limitation, those regarding GOL's future financial position and results of operations, strategy, plans, objectives, goals and targets, future developments in the markets in which GOL operates or is seeking to operate, and any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words "believe", "expect", "aim", "intend", "will", "may", "project", "estimate", "anticipate", "predict", "seek", "should" or similar words or expressions, are forward-looking statements. The future events referred to in these forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other factors, many of which are beyond GOL's control, that may cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding GOL's present and future business strategies and the environment in which GOL will operate in the future and are not a guarantee of future performance. Such forward-looking statements speak only as at the date on which they are made. None of GOL or any of its affiliates, officers, directors, employees and agents undertakes any duty or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by law. None of GOL or any of its affiliates, officers, directors, employees, professional advisors and agents make any representation, warranty or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved, and such forward-looking statements represent, in each case, only one of many possible scenarios and should not be viewed as the most likely or standard scenario. Although GOL believes that the estimates and projections in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, they may prove materially incorrect and actual results may materially differ. As a result, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements.

Non-GAAP Measures
To be consistent with industry practice, GOL discloses so-called non-GAAP financial measures which are not recognized under IFRS or U.S. GAAP, including "Net Debt", "Adjusted Net Debt", "total liquidity" and "EBITDA". The Company's management believes that disclosure of non-GAAP measures provides useful information to investors, financial analysts and the public in their review of its operating performance and their comparison of its operating performance to the operating performance of other companies in the same industry and other industries. However, these non-GAAP items do not have standardized meanings and may not be directly comparable to similarly-titled items adopted by other companies. Potential investors should not rely on information not recognized under IFRS as a substitute for the GAAP measures of earnings or liquidity in making an investment decision.

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SOURCE GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A.

FAQ

What is GOL's expected loss per share for 4Q22?

GOL expects a loss per share of approximately R$2.3 for 4Q22.

What is the projected EBITDA margin for GOL in 4Q22?

The EBITDA margin for GOL is expected to be around 20% in 4Q22.

How much is GOL's passenger unit revenue expected to increase in 4Q22?

GOL's passenger unit revenue (PRASK) is projected to rise by approximately 20% year-over-year.

What are the fuel cost projections for GOL in 4Q22?

Fuel costs for GOL are expected to increase by approximately 42% year-over-year.

What is the liquidity outlook for GOL at the end of 4Q22?

GOL anticipates total liquidity of approximately R$3.6 billion at the end of 4Q22.