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The GEO Group Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Results

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The GEO Group, Inc. reported financial results for Q4 and full year 2023, highlighting total revenues of $2.41 billion, net income of $113.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $507.2 million. They reduced total net debt by $197.0 million in FY23. The company issued initial financial guidance for 2024, expecting net income between $110 million to $125 million and adjusted EBITDA between $485 million to $515 million. The guidance factors in uncertainties related to federal government appropriations discussions and budgetary pressures.
Positive
  • Strong financial performance in 2023 with total revenues of $2.41 billion
  • Reduction of total net debt by $197.0 million in FY23
  • Initial financial guidance for 2024 with expected net income of $110-125 million and adjusted EBITDA of $485-515 million
  • Consideration of uncertainties in federal government appropriations discussions and budgetary pressures in 2024 guidance
Negative
  • Year-over-year decrease in net income from $171.7 million in 2022 to $113.8 million in 2023
  • Reduction in adjusted EBITDA from $540.0 million in 2022 to $507.2 million in 2023
  • Decrease in total revenues from $620.7 million in Q4 2022 to $608.3 million in Q4 2023

Insights

The GEO Group's financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023 indicate a mixed financial performance. While the company has managed to reduce its total net debt significantly, there has been a noticeable decline in net income year-over-year, from $171.7 million in 2022 to $113.8 million in 2023. This decline can be attributed to an increase in net interest expense, which is a direct consequence of the company's transactions in August 2022 to address its outstanding debt and the impact of rising interest rates.

From an investor's perspective, the company's efforts to deleverage its balance sheet is a positive sign, as it may improve financial stability and potentially lead to future capital returns to shareholders. However, the decrease in net income and Adjusted EBITDA raises concerns about the company's profitability and operational efficiency. The provided financial guidance for 2024, with an expected net income range of $110 million to $125 million, suggests management's anticipation of a stable to slight improvement in financial performance, albeit with caution due to potential budgetary pressures from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and uncertainty in federal government appropriations.

The GEO Group operates in a niche market providing services to secure facilities and processing centers, which is heavily reliant on government contracts and policies. The company's diversified services platform is claimed to be a competitive advantage, yet the industry is facing budgetary constraints, particularly from ICE, which is a significant revenue source for GEO. The market should note that the guidance for 2024 incorporates a range of assumptions that reflect the uncertainty of government appropriations and the potential impact on ICE Processing Centers and the ISAP contract.

For stakeholders, the mention of 9,000 idle Secure Services beds and the potential for new contract wins could represent untapped growth opportunities, but these are not included in the 2024 guidance, indicating a conservative approach by the company. The market's reaction to this news may hinge on whether investors believe GEO can secure additional contracts or reactivate idle facilities to drive future growth, in the face of the current budgetary and policy uncertainties.

Examining The GEO Group's financial results within the broader economic context, the impact of higher interest rates on the company's net interest expense is a reflection of the current monetary policy environment aimed at controlling inflation. This has a direct effect on companies with significant debt loads, such as GEO, which has to navigate these costs while attempting to maintain profitability.

Furthermore, the company's exposure to government spending and policy decisions, especially regarding immigration and corrections, highlights the sensitivity of its revenue streams to political and fiscal changes. The guidance provided for 2024 suggests that the company is preparing for a range of scenarios, which is prudent given the unpredictable nature of government appropriations. This level of fiscal prudence is essential for long-term stability but may constrain short-term growth prospects.

BOCA RATON, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO”), a leading provider of support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers, as well as enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, and electronic monitoring programs, reported today its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023.

Full Year 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $2.41 billion
  • Net Income of $113.8 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $507.2 million
  • Reduced Total Net Debt by Approximately $197.0 million in FY23 to $1.78 billion

For the full year 2023, we reported total revenues of $2.41 billion compared to $2.38 billion for the full year 2022. We reported net income for the full year 2023 of $113.8 million, compared to $171.7 million for the full year 2022. Results for the full year 2023 reflect a year-over-year increase of $61.9 million in net interest expense as a result of the transactions we completed in August 2022 to address the substantial majority of our outstanding debt and the impact of higher interest rates. For the full year 2023, we reported Adjusted EBITDA of $507.2 million, compared to $540.0 million for the full year 2022. During 2023, we reduced our total net debt by approximately $197.0 million to approximately $1.78 billion.

Fourth Quarter 2023 Highlights

  • Total revenues of $608.3 million
  • Net Income of $31.8 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $129.0 million

For the fourth quarter 2023, we reported net income of $31.8 million, compared to $41.5 million for the fourth quarter 2022. We reported total revenues for the fourth quarter 2023 of $608.3 million compared to $620.7 million for the fourth quarter 2022. We reported fourth quarter 2023 Adjusted EBITDA of $129.0 million, compared to $145.5 million for the fourth quarter 2022.

George C. Zoley, Executive Chairman of GEO, said, “Our company delivered strong operational and financial performance in 2023, resulting in the second-best year in our company’s 40-year history. We believe that the unparalleled scope of our diversified services platform, which allows us to offer a full spectrum of innovative solutions to our government agency partners, gives GEO a unique competitive advantage to capture future quality growth opportunities. We are also pleased with the substantial progress we made in 2023 towards our objective of reducing our net debt, deleveraging our balance sheet, and positioning GEO to explore options to return capital to shareholders in the future. We believe that our disciplined allocation of capital to reduce debt, along with our demonstrated track record delivering strong and predictable annual cash flows, will meaningfully enhance value for our shareholders over time.”

Financial Guidance

Today, we issued our initial financial guidance for 2024. For the full year 2024, we expect Net Income to be in a range of $110 million to $125 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 28 percent, exclusive of any discrete items. We expect full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $485 million and $515 million.

We believe that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) continues to face budgetary pressures, and the outcome and timing of ongoing federal government appropriations discussions in the United States Congress remain uncertain. As a result of these factors, our initial financial guidance for 2024 incorporates a range of assumptions.

The midpoint of our guidance range assumes stable populations across our ICE Processing Centers and stable participant counts under the federal government’s Intensive Supervision and Appearance Program (“ISAP”) contract. On the low end of our range, our guidance assumes that federal government appropriations discussions continue to be delayed throughout the year and that ongoing budgetary pressures result in some moderate decreased utilization of both ICE Processing Centers and the ISAP contract. On the high end of our range, our guidance assumes only some moderate increases in the utilization of ICE Processing Centers and the ISAP contract should additional funding be appropriated for ICE during this federal fiscal year.

Additionally, our initial 2024 guidance does not include the potential reactivation of any of our remaining idle Secure Services facilities, which total approximately 9,000 beds, or any potential new contract wins by our diversified business segments.

For the first quarter of 2024, we expect Net Income to be in a range of $22 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues in a range of $600 million to $610 million. We expect first quarter 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $117 million to $122 million. Compared to fourth quarter 2023, our first quarter 2024 guidance reflects the impact of having one fewer day in the quarter. Additionally, our first quarter of the year is impacted by higher costs related to payroll taxes, which are frontloaded in the beginning of each year.

Conference Call Information

We have scheduled a conference call and webcast for today at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results as well as our outlook. The call-in number for the U.S. is 1-877-250-1553 and the international call-in number is 1-412-542-4145. In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Webcasts section under the News, Events and Reports tab of GEO’s investor relations webpage at investors.geogroup.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website for one year. A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available through February 22, 2024, at 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The participant passcode for the telephonic replay is 5397718.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Information

GEO has made available Supplemental Information which contains reconciliation tables of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income, and Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA, along with supplemental financial and operational information on GEO’s business and other important operating metrics. The reconciliation tables are also presented herein. Please see the section below titled “Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure - Important Information on GEO’s Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for information on how GEO defines these supplemental Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciles them to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. GEO’s Reconciliation Tables can be found herein and in GEO’s Supplemental Information available on GEO’s investor webpage at investors.geogroup.com.

Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure –
Important Information on GEO's Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures that are presented as supplemental disclosures. GEO has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about GEO's future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including Net Debt, Net Leverage, and Adjusted EBITDA. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period.

While we have provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2024, we are unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.

Net Debt is defined as gross principal debt less cash from restricted subsidiaries. Net Leverage is defined as Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA.

EBITDA is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA adjusted for (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, one-time employee restructuring expenses, pre-tax, other non-cash revenue and expenses, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time.

Given the nature of our business as a real estate owner and operator, we believe that EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are helpful to investors as measures of our operational performance because they provide an indication of our ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures, and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into our business.

We believe that by removing the impact of our asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income.

The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which we do not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance.

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.

Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented (gain)/loss on asset divestitures, pre-tax, (gain)/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, transaction related expenses, pre-tax, one-time employee restructuring expense, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO.

Safe-Harbor Statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future performance of GEO that involve risks and uncertainties that could materially and adversely affect actual results, including statements regarding GEO’s financial guidance for the full year and first quarter of 2024, statements regarding GEO’s efforts to market its current idle facilities, GEO’s focus on reducing net debt, deleveraging its balance sheet, and positioning itself to explore options to return capital to shareholders, and GEO’s assumptions regarding the utilization of ICE Processing Centers and the ISAP contract during 2024. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” or “continue” or the negative of such words and similar expressions. Risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to: (1) GEO’s ability to meet its financial guidance for 2024 given the various risks to which its business is exposed; (2) GEO’s ability to deleverage and repay, refinance or otherwise address its debt maturities in an amount and on terms commercially acceptable to GEO, and on the timeline it expects or at all; (3) GEO’s ability to identify and successfully complete any potential sales of company-owned assets and businesses on commercially advantageous terms on a timely basis, or at all; (4) changes in federal and state government policy, orders, directives, legislation and regulations that affect public-private partnerships with respect to secure, correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers, including the timing and scope of implementation of President Biden's Executive Order directing the U.S. Attorney General not to renew the U.S. Department of Justice contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities; (5) changes in federal immigration policy; (6) public and political opposition to the use of public-private partnerships with respect to secure correctional and detention facilities, processing centers and reentry centers; (7) any continuing impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic on GEO, GEO's ability to mitigate the risks associated with COVID-19, and the efficacy and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines; (8) GEO’s ability to sustain or improve company-wide occupancy rates at its facilities in light of any continuing impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic and policy and contract announcements impacting GEO’s federal facilities in the United States; (9) fluctuations in GEO’s operating results, including as a result of contract terminations, contract renegotiations, changes in occupancy levels and increases in GEO’s operating costs; (10) general economic and market conditions, including changes to governmental budgets and its impact on new contract terms, contract renewals, renegotiations, per diem rates, fixed payment provisions, and occupancy levels; (11) GEO’s ability to address inflationary pressures related to labor related expenses and other operating costs; (12) GEO’s ability to timely open facilities as planned, profitably manage such facilities and successfully integrate such facilities into GEO’s operations without substantial costs; (13) GEO’s ability to win management contracts for which it has submitted proposals and to retain existing management contracts; (14) risks associated with GEO’s ability to control operating costs associated with contract start-ups; (15) GEO’s ability to successfully pursue growth and continue to create shareholder value; (16) GEO’s ability to obtain financing or access the capital markets in the future on acceptable terms or at all; and (17) other factors contained in GEO’s Securities and Exchange Commission periodic filings, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports, many of which are difficult to predict and outside of GEO’s control.

Fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial tables to follow:

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets*

(Unaudited)

 
As of As of
December 31,
2023
December 31,
2022
(unaudited) (unaudited)
ASSETS
 
Cash and cash equivalents $

93,971

$

95,073

Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts

390,023

416,399

Prepaid expenses and other current assets

44,511

43,536

Total current assets $

528,505

$

555,008

 
Restricted Cash and Investments

135,968

111,691

Property and Equipment, Net

1,944,278

2,002,021

Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets, Net

102,204

90,950

Assets Held for Sale

-

480

Deferred Income Tax Assets

8,551

8,005

Intangible Assets, Net (including goodwill)

891,085

902,887

Other Non-Current Assets

85,815

89,341

 
Total Assets $

3,696,406

$

3,760,383

 
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
Accounts payable $

64,447

$

79,312

Accrued payroll and related taxes

64,436

53,225

Accrued expenses and other current liabilities

219,159

237,369

Operating lease liabilities, current portion

24,640

22,584

Current portion of finance lease obligations, and long-term debt

55,882

44,722

Total current liabilities $

428,564

$

437,212

 
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities

79,607

75,849

Other Non-Current Liabilities

83,643

75,288

Operating Lease Liabilities

82,114

73,801

Long-Term Debt

1,725,502

1,933,145

Total Shareholders' Equity

1,296,976

1,165,088

 
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity $

3,696,406

$

3,760,383

 
* all figures in '000s

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations*

(Unaudited)

 
Q4 2023 Q4 2022 FY 2023 FY 2022
(unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited)
 
Revenues $

608,283

 

$

620,682

 

$

2,413,167

 

$

2,376,727

 

Operating expenses

433,042

 

430,565

 

1,735,328

 

1,662,885

 

Depreciation and amortization

30,996

 

32,641

 

125,784

 

132,925

 

General and administrative expenses

51,584

 

49,094

 

190,766

 

196,972

 

 
 
Operating income

92,661

 

108,382

 

361,289

 

383,945

 

 
Interest income

4,006

 

530

 

7,792

 

15,988

 

Interest expense

(53,211

)

(53,166

)

(218,292

)

(164,550

)

Loss on extinguishment of debt

(6,687

)

(408

)

(8,532

)

(37,895

)

Gain on asset divestitures

1,243

 

-

 

4,691

 

32,332

 

 
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates

38,012

 

55,338

 

146,948

 

229,820

 

 
Provision for income taxes

7,601

 

14,793

 

37,637

 

62,899

 

Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision

1,413

 

984

 

4,534

 

4,771

 

Net income

31,824

 

41,529

 

113,845

 

171,692

 

 
Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests

70

 

2

 

142

 

121

 

 
Net income attributable to The GEO Group, Inc. $

31,894

 

$

41,531

 

$

113,987

 

$

171,813

 

 
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding:
Basic

122,081

 

121,165

 

121,908

 

121,040

 

Diluted

125,224

 

124,545

 

123,698

 

122,281

 

 
Net income per Common Share Attributable to The GEO Group, Inc.** :
 
Basic:
Net income per share — basic $

0.22

 

$

0.29

 

$

0.78

 

$

1.18

 

 
Diluted:
Net income per share — diluted $

0.21

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.77

 

$

1.17

 

 
* All figures in '000s, except per share data
** In accordance with U.S. GAAP, diluted earnings per share attributable to GEO available to common stockholders is calculated under the if-converted method or the two-class method, whichever calculation results in the lowest diluted earnings per share amount, which may be lower than Adjusted Net Income Per Diluted Share.

Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA,

and Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income*

(Unaudited)

 
Q4 2023 Q4 2022 FY 2023 FY 2022

(unaudited)

(unaudited)

(unaudited)

(unaudited)

Net Income $

31,824

 

$

41,529

 

$

113,845

 

$

171,692

 

 
Add:
Income tax provision **

7,889

 

15,070

 

38,505

 

63,639

 

Interest expense, net of interest income ***

55,892

 

53,045

 

219,032

 

186,457

 

Depreciation and amortization

30,996

 

32,641

 

125,784

 

132,925

 

EBITDA $

126,601

 

$

142,285

 

$

497,166

 

$

554,713

 

 
Add (Subtract):
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax

(1,243

)

-

 

(4,691

)

(32,332

)

Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests

70

 

2

 

142

 

121

 

Stock based compensation expenses, pre-tax

3,013

 

3,194

 

15,065

 

16,204

 

Transaction related expenses, pre-tax

-

 

-

 

-

 

1,322

 

One-time employee restructuring expenses, pre-tax

814

 

-

 

814

 

-

 

Other non-cash revenue & expenses, pre-tax

(301

)

-

 

(1,319

)

-

 

Adjusted EBITDA $

128,954

 

$

145,481

 

$

507,177

 

$

540,028

 

 
 
Net Income attributable to GEO $

31,894

 

$

41,531

 

$

113,987

 

$

171,813

 

 
Add (Subtract):
Gain on asset divestitures, pre-tax

(1,243

)

-

 

(4,691

)

(32,959

)

Loss on extinguishment of debt, pre-tax

6,687

 

408

 

8,532

 

37,895

 

Transaction related expenses, pre-tax

-

 

-

 

-

 

1,322

 

One-time employee restructuring expenses, pre-tax

814

 

-

 

814

 

-

 

Tax effect of adjustment to net income attributable to GEO (1)

(1,574

)

(103

)

(1,171

)

(6,875

)

 
Adjusted Net Income $

36,578

 

$

41,836

 

$

117,471

 

$

171,196

 

 
Weighted average common shares outstanding - Diluted

125,224

 

124,545

 

123,698

 

122,281

 

 
Adjusted Net Income per Diluted share

0.29

 

0.34

 

0.95

 

1.40

 

* all figures in '000s, except per share data
** including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates
*** includes (gain)/loss on extinguishment of debt
(1) Tax adjustment related to gain on asset divestitures, one-time employee restructuring expenses and loss on extinguishment of debt.

2024 Outlook/Reconciliation (1)

(In thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

FY 2024
Net Income Attributable to GEO

$

110,000

 

to

$

125,000

 

Net Interest Expense

 

190,000

 

 

 

200,000

 

Income Taxes (including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates)

 

44,000

 

 

 

48,000

 

Depreciation and Amortization

 

126,000

 

 

 

127,000

 

Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation

 

16,000

 

 

 

16,000

 

Other Non-Cash

 

(1,000

)

 

 

(1,000

)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

485,000

 

to

$

515,000

 

 

Net Income Attributable to GEO Per Diluted Share

$

0.87

 

to

$

0.99

 

Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding-Diluted

 

126,500

 

to

 

126,500

 

 

 

 

CAPEX

 

Growth

 

2,000

 

to

 

3,000

 

Technology

 

20,000

 

to

 

25,000

 

Facility Maintenance

 

48,000

 

to

 

52,000

 

Capital Expenditures

 

70,000

 

to

 

80,000

 

 

Total Debt, Net

$

1,620,000

 

 

$

1,580,000

 

Total Leverage, Net

 

3.3

 

 

 

3.1

 

(1) Total Net Leverage is calculated using the midpoint of Adjusted EBITDA guidance range.

Pablo E. Paez, (866) 301 4436

Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Source: The GEO Group, Inc.

FAQ

What were the total revenues reported for full year 2023 by GEO?

The total revenues reported for full year 2023 by GEO were $2.41 billion.

What was the net income for full year 2023 reported by GEO?

The net income for full year 2023 reported by GEO was $113.8 million.

How much did GEO reduce its total net debt by in FY23?

GEO reduced its total net debt by approximately $197.0 million in FY23.

What is the initial financial guidance for 2024 provided by GEO?

The initial financial guidance for 2024 provided by GEO includes expected net income between $110 million to $125 million and adjusted EBITDA between $485 million to $515 million.

What factors are considered in GEO's 2024 financial guidance?

GEO's 2024 financial guidance factors in uncertainties related to federal government appropriations discussions and budgetary pressures.

The GEO Group, Inc.

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