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S&P Revises Outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. Subsidiaries to Positive

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S&P Global Ratings has revised its outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FRHC) and its subsidiaries to positive. Ratings for Freedom Finance JSC, Freedom Finance Europe , Freedom Finance Global PLC, and Freedom Bank Kazakhstan JSC were affirmed at 'B/B' and their outlooks shifted from negative to positive. Meanwhile, Freedom Holding Corp.'s rating remains at 'B-' but its outlook has improved from negative to stable. S&P cited lower economic risk and better banking sector supervision in Kazakhstan, expecting the country's GDP to grow by an average of 3.6% annually over the next four years. S&P also highlighted the company's stable core earnings and increased revenue from banking activities. Additionally, Freedom Holding Corp. has strengthened its risk management by hiring key officers and expanding its board.

Positive
  • Outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. subsidiaries revised to positive.
  • Outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. revised to stable.
  • Expected Kazakh GDP growth of 3.6% annually over the next four years.
  • Stable core earnings at 3.4% for 2022-2024.
  • Increased revenue from banking activities.
Negative
  • None.

Insights

The improved outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. and its subsidiaries by S&P Global Ratings is a notable development. The transition from a negative to a positive outlook for the subsidiaries and a stable outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. itself signals increased confidence in the company's financial stability and growth prospects. This change is largely driven by lower economic risk and improved banking sector supervision in Kazakhstan, which is a key market for the company.

Key indicators such as the expected GDP growth of 3.6% in Kazakhstan over the next four years and the stable core earnings (3.4% risk-adjusted earnings ratio) suggest that the company's performance is robust. Investors should note the emphasis on strong capitalization and earnings stability, which are important for long-term value creation. The company's ability to maintain and potentially improve its ratings will depend on sustaining these financial metrics and continuing to diversify its revenue streams.

For retail investors, this outlook revision is a positive sign, indicating that the company is on a solid financial footing. It also suggests a potential for improved stock performance as market confidence increases. However, investors should remain cautious and monitor how well the company manages its risk and compliance frameworks, as these will be critical to maintaining its improved ratings.

From a market perspective, the outlook revision for Freedom Holding Corp. and its subsidiaries is a significant indicator of improved market confidence in the company's operations. The diversification into banking and insurance activities in Kazakhstan has evidently strengthened the company's revenue and asset base. This strategic move not only spreads out risk but also taps into the growing financial services market in the region.

Investors should consider the potential growth opportunities this diversification brings. With Kazakhstan's GDP expected to grow steadily, the financial services sector is likely to expand, benefiting players like Freedom Holding Corp. However, it is important to assess how effectively the company can integrate these activities and manage associated risks. The recent hiring of key risk management and compliance officers is a step in the right direction, but the effectiveness of these measures will need close observation.

Overall, this positive outlook suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on regional growth opportunities. Retail investors might find this an encouraging sign, but should stay informed about any developments in the company's risk management practices and market conditions in Kazakhstan.

The emphasis on improving risk management and compliance frameworks is a critical aspect of the outlook revision by S&P. The hiring of a chief risk officer, chief compliance officer and chief legal officer, coupled with the expansion of the board to include more independent directors, indicates a strong commitment to enhancing risk governance. This is particularly important given the company's complex global operations and the recent termination of its omnibus brokerage relationship with its Belize affiliate.

For investors, these developments suggest that Freedom Holding Corp. is taking proactive steps to mitigate risks and comply with regulatory standards. A solid risk management framework is essential for long-term sustainability and investor confidence. The company's ability to maintain its capitalization above 10% and continue strong earnings will be important for its rating stability and potential upgrades.

Retail investors should view these measures as a positive move towards greater transparency and stability. However, they should also stay vigilant about the execution and effectiveness of these risk management strategies, as any shortcomings could impact the company's financial health and market perception.

  • Ratings affirmed for Freedom Finance JSC; Freedom Finance Europe Ltd.; Freedom Finance Global PLC and Freedom Bank Finance Kazakhstan at “B/B” and for Freedom Holding Corp. at “B-.”
  • Outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. subsidiaries revised to positive from negative.
  • Outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. revised to stable from negative.

ALMATY, Kazakhstan--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Freedom Holding Corp. (the “Company”) (NASDAQ: FRHC), a multi-national diversified financial services holding company with a presence through its subsidiaries in 20 countries, today highlighted an S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) report published on June 28, 2024.

Among other aspects, the S&P report remarked that the ratings for Freedom Finance JSC, Freedom Finance Europe Ltd., Freedom Finance Global PLC and Freedom Bank Finance Kazakhstan (now known as Freedom Bank Kazakhstan JSC) were affirmed at “B/B” with outlook revised to positive from negative and the rating of Freedom Holding Corp. itself has been kept at “В-” with an outlook revised to stable from negative.

As the rationale for its rating action, S&P noted lower economic risk and improving banking sector supervision in Kazakhstan. S&P stated that it expects the country's GDP to grow by 3.6% on average per year over the next four years.

S&P also noted that it expects that moderating balance-sheet growth coupled with strong earnings will support the Company’s strong capitalization. “We expect Freedom will maintain its strong earnings in 2024-2025, supported by revenue diversification with the buildup of banking and insurance activities in Kazakhstan. Its three-year average (March 2022-March 2024) core earnings to S&P Global Ratings risk-weighted assets were stable at about 3.4%, a high risk-adjusted earnings ratio in an international context. The contribution of banking activities to the group's revenue and assets has significantly increased over the past two years,” S&P said in its press release issued on June 28, 2024, which can be found here: https://disclosure.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/type/HTML/id/3204976

S&P also pointed out the gradual building of Freedom Holding Corp.’s consolidated risk management framework since 2023. S&P noted that the Company has recently hired a chief risk officer, chief compliance officer, and chief legal officer and has expanded its board of directors from six to seven members, including four being independent directors. They also noted that by March 2024 the Company had terminated its omnibus brokerage relationship with its Belize affiliate and had transferred clients of that affiliate to companies within the Company’s group.

S&P can raise its ratings on the operating subsidiaries over the next 12 months if it concludes that steps to build aggregated risk management and compliance and strengthen risk governance would endure while the Company’s capitalization (as measured by S&P’s RAC ratio) remains above 10% supported by strong earnings and moderated growth.

About Freedom Holding Corp.

Freedom Holding Corp., a Nevada corporation, is a diversified financial services holding company conducting retail securities brokerage, securities trading, investment research, investment counseling, investment banking and underwriting services, mortgages, insurance, and commercial banking as well as several ancillary businesses which complement its core financial services businesses, all through its subsidiaries, operating under the name Freedom24 in Europe and Central Asia, and Freedom Capital Markets in the United States. Through its subsidiaries, Freedom Holding Corp. employs more than 6,000 people and is a professional participant in the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange, the Astana International Exchange, the Republican Stock Exchange of Tashkent, the Uzbek Republican Currency Exchange, and is a member of the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.

Freedom Holding Corp. is headquartered in Almaty, Kazakhstan, and has operations and subsidiaries in 20 countries, including Kazakhstan, the United States, Cyprus, Poland, Spain, Uzbekistan, and Azerbaijan, among others.

Freedom Holding Corp.'s common shares are registered with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and are traded under the symbol FRHC on the Nasdaq Capital Market, operated by Nasdaq, Inc.

To learn more about Freedom Holding Corp., visit www.freedomholdingcorp.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This release contains "forward-looking" statements, including with respect to the potential of Freedom Holding Corp. and its subsidiaries for improved ratings from rating agencies such as S&P Global Ratings, among others, its capacity to continue to enhance corporate governance, risk management and governance, and compliance and with regard to the Company’s future capitalization, earnings and growth. All forward-looking statements are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as "expect," "new," "plan," "seek," and "will," or the negative of such terms or other comparable terminology used in connection with any discussion of future plans, actions, and events. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results or performance and involve risks, assumptions, and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from the events or results described in, or anticipated by, the forward-looking statements. Factors that could materially affect such forward-looking statements include certain economic, business, and regulatory risks and factors identified in the Company's periodic and current reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this release and the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. Readers should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.

Ramina Fakhrutdinova (KZ)

Public Relations

Freedom Finance JSC

+7 777 377 8868

pr@ffin.kz

Natalia Kharlashina

Public Relations

Freedom Finance Global

+7 701 364 1454

prglobal@ffin.kz

Al Palombo (US)

Global Communications Chief

Freedom US Markets

+1 212-980-4400, Ext. 1013

apalombo@freedomusmkts.com

Source: Freedom Holding Corp.

FAQ

What is the new outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) subsidiaries according to S&P?

S&P revised the outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. subsidiaries to positive.

What are the current ratings for Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) and its subsidiaries?

Freedom Finance JSC, Freedom Finance Europe , Freedom Finance Global PLC, and Freedom Bank Kazakhstan JSC are rated 'B/B,' while Freedom Holding Corp. is rated 'B-.'

Why did S&P revise the outlook for Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) to stable?

S&P revised the outlook due to lower economic risk and improved banking sector supervision in Kazakhstan.

What is the expected GDP growth in Kazakhstan as per S&P's report?

S&P expects Kazakhstan's GDP to grow by an average of 3.6% annually over the next four years.

How have Freedom Holding Corp.'s (FRHC) core earnings performed according to S&P?

S&P reported that Freedom Holding Corp.'s core earnings were stable at about 3.4% from March 2022 to March 2024.

What steps has Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) taken to improve its risk management?

The company has hired a chief risk officer, chief compliance officer, chief legal officer, and expanded its board to include more independent directors.

Freedom Holding Corp.

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