Darling Ingredients Inc. Statement on 2023 Guidance and 2024 Outlook

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Darling Ingredients Inc. releases statement on 2023 guidance and 2024 outlook, highlighting lower volumes in joint venture DGD due to scheduled turnaround and fire disruption. Hedge loss and lower margins also impacted performance. However, core business remains strong and Q4 is expected to improve. Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2023 projected to be between $1.6 to $1.7 billion. Momentum expected to continue into 2024 with improved earnings and cash flow.

Positive

• Lower volumes in DGD expected to improve in Q4
• Core business remains strong
• Anticipated improved earnings power in core business and DGD in 2024
• Projected adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2023 between $1.6 to $1.7 billion
• Expected achievement of target leverage ratio of 2.5X by year-end 2024

Negative

• Sizeable hedge loss impacting performance
• Lower margins due to sell off in D4 RINs and stagnant LCFS prices
• DGD faced strong headwinds in Q3

IRVING, Texas, Oct. 26, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Darling Ingredients Inc. (NYSE: DAR) today released the following statement regarding 2023 guidance and 2024 outlook.

Volumes in our 50/50 joint venture known as Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), were lower in the quarter due to a regularly scheduled turnaround and a minor fire disruption at DGD 2 in St. Charles, La., which resulted in the unit being offline for 37 days. We have seen extreme volatility in the heating oil market, which resulted in a sizeable hedge loss. Additionally, a sell off in D4 RINs coupled with stagnant LCFS prices, produced lower than anticipated margins at DGD. However, DGD performance annualized year-to-date is approximately $1.00 EBITDA per gallon.

Darling Ingredients' core business has delivered as communicated during the Q2 earnings call, slightly lower than Q2 and seasonally normal for Q3. Our global business remains strong. Volumes were similar to Q2 and fat prices improved late in the quarter. Gross margins are solid and reflect the resiliency of our model and the progress we are making on acquisition integration.

For Q4, we anticipate the core ingredients business to improve compared to Q3 and DGD volumes to be much stronger as compared to Q3. DGD faced some strong headwinds in Q3; however, based on spot margins and if market conditions hold (heating oil prices, RINs and LCFS), we anticipate DGD margins in Q4 to improve compared to Q3.

Given current market conditions, we expect the company's combined adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2023 to be between $1.6 to $1.7 billion.

We carry good momentum into 2024 and anticipate improved earnings power in our core business and DGD, with significantly improved cash flow allowing us to achieve our target leverage ratio of 2.5X by year-end 2024.

About Darling Ingredients
Darling Ingredients Inc. (NYSE: DAR) is the largest publicly traded company turning edible by-products and food waste into sustainable products and a leading producer of renewable energy. Recognized as a sustainability leader, the company operates more than 260 facilities in over 15 countries and repurposes approximately 15% of the world's meat industry waste streams into value-added products, such as green energy, renewable diesel, collagen, fertilizer, animal proteins and meals, and pet food ingredients. To learn more, visit darlingii.com. Follow us on LinkedIn.

Cautionary Statements Regarding Forward-Looking Information:

This media release contains includes "forward-looking" statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the statements. Statements that are not statements of historical facts are forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "estimate," "guidance," "project," "planned," "contemplate," "potential," "possible," "proposed," "intend," "believe," "anticipate," "expect," "may," "will," "would," "should," "could," and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this release are forward looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on the Company's current expectations and assumptions regarding its business, the economy and other future conditions. The Company cautions readers that any such forward-looking statements it makes are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results may differ materially from anticipated results or expectations expressed in its forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, including many that are beyond the Company's control. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company's expectations include: existing and unknown future limitations on the ability of the Company's direct and indirect subsidiaries to make their cash flow available to the Company for payments on the Company's indebtedness or other purposes; global demands for bio-fuels and grain and oilseed commodities, which have exhibited volatility, and can impact the cost of feed for cattle, hogs and poultry, thus affecting available rendering feedstock and selling prices for the Company's products; reductions in raw material volumes available to the Company due to weak margins in the meat production industry as a result of higher feed costs, reduced consumer demand or other factors, reduced volume from food service establishments, or otherwise; reduced demand for animal feed; reduced finished product prices, including a decline in fat and used cooking oil finished product prices; changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels and greenhouse gas ("GHG") emissions that adversely affect programs like the U.S. government's renewable fuel standard, low carbon fuel standards ("LCFS") and tax credits for biofuels both in the United States and abroad; possible product recall resulting from developments relating to the discovery of unauthorized adulterations to food or food additives; the occurrence of 2009 H1N1 flu (initially known as "Swine Flu"), highly pathogenic strains of avian influenza (collectively known as "Bird Flu"), severe acute respiratory syndrome ("SARS"), bovine spongiform encephalopathy (or "BSE"), porcine epidemic diarrhea ("PED") or other diseases associated with animal origin in the United States or elsewhere, such as the outbreak of African Swine Fever in China and elsewhere; the occurrence of pandemics, epidemics or disease outbreaks, such as the COVID-19 outbreak; unanticipated costs and/or reductions in raw material volumes related to the Company's compliance with the existing or unforeseen new U.S. or foreign (including, without limitation, China) regulations (including new or modified animal feed, Bird Flu, SARS, PED, BSE or ASF or similar or unanticipated regulations) affecting the industries in which the Company operates or its value added products; risks associated with the DGD Joint Venture, including possible unanticipated operating disruptions, a decline in margins on the products produced by the DGD Joint Venture and issues relating to the announced SAF upgrade project; risks and uncertainties relating to international sales and operations, including imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers and other trade protections imposed by foreign countries; tax changes, such as the introduction of a global minimum tax; difficulties or a significant disruption in the Company's information systems or failure to implement new systems and software successfully; risks relating to possible third party claims of intellectual property infringement; increased contributions to the Company's pension and benefit plans, including multiemployer and employer-sponsored defined benefit pension plans as required by legislation, regulation or other applicable U.S. or foreign law or resulting from a U.S. mass withdrawal event; bad debt write-offs; loss of or failure to obtain necessary permits and registrations; continued or escalated conflict in the Middle East, North Korea, Ukraine or elsewhere, including the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict; uncertainty regarding the exit of the U.K. from the European Union; and/or unfavorable export or import markets. These factors, coupled with volatile prices for natural gas and diesel fuel, inflation rates, climate conditions, currency exchange fluctuations, general performance of the U.S. and global economies, disturbances in world financial, credit, commodities and stock markets, such as the recent turmoil in the world banking markets, and any decline in consumer confidence and discretionary spending, including the inability of consumers and companies to obtain credit due to lack of liquidity in the financial markets, among others, could cause actual results to vary materially from the forward-looking statements included in this report or negatively impact the Company's results of operations. Among other things, future profitability may be affected by the Company's ability to grow its business, which faces competition from companies that may have substantially greater resources than the Company. The Company's announced share repurchase program may be suspended or discontinued at any time and purchases of shares under the program are subject to market conditions and other factors, which are likely to change from time to time. For more detailed discussion of these factors and other risks and uncertainties regarding the Company, its business and the industries in which it operates, see the Company's filings with the SEC, including the Risk Factors discussion in Item 1A of Part I of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022. The Company cautions readers that all forward-looking statements speak only as of the date made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of changes in circumstances, new events or otherwise.

Darling Ingredients Contacts
Investors:	Suann Guthrie
	Senior VP, Investor Relations, Sustainability & Communications
	(469) 214-8202; suann.guthrie@darlingii.com
Media:	Jillian Fleming
	Director, Global Communications
	(972) 541-7115; jillian.fleming@darlingii.com

 

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SOURCE Darling Ingredients Inc.

FAQ

What impacted DGD's performance in Q3?

Lower volumes due to scheduled turnaround and fire disruption, sizeable hedge loss, and lower margins due to sell off in D4 RINs and stagnant LCFS prices.

What is the projected adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2023?

Between $1.6 to $1.7 billion.

What is the target leverage ratio to be achieved by year-end 2024?

2.5X.

What is the outlook for Q4?

Improvement expected in the core ingredients business and stronger DGD volumes compared to Q3.

What is the outlook for 2024?

Anticipated improved earnings power in the core business and DGD, with significantly improved cash flow.