Black Knight Originations Market Monitor: Mortgage Production Down for Third Straight Month in June, With Declines in Rate Locks Across All Loan Purposes
Black Knight's latest Originations Market Monitor report reveals a downward trend in mortgage rate locks for June, marking the third consecutive month of declines. The 30-year mortgage rate spiked to 6% mid-month but settled at 5.79%, while the spread between mortgage rates and Treasury yields widened to 280 basis points. Total lock volumes fell 11%, with significant drops in cash-out refinances and purchase loans. Notably, the average credit score for cash-out refinances decreased to 693, the lowest since 2013, indicating market vulnerability in the current rate environment.
- Government-backed FHA and VA loans gained market share.
- Despite a year-over-year decline, purchase lock counts are still 3% above 2019 levels.
- Overall rate locks down 11.1% month-over-month.
- Cash-out refinance locks decreased 42.2% year-over-year.
- Purchase volumes down 15.6% year-over-year.
- Refinance market share at a record low of 18% since January 2018.
- Black Knight's Optimal Blue Mortgage Market Indices tracked 30-year rates as they crossed
6% in mid-June before pulling back to finish the month at5.79% , a jump of 44 basis points (bps) from May - The spread between the 30-year mortgage rate and 10-year Treasury yield continued to widen, climbing 30 bps in June and – at 280 bps – is well above the long-term average of roughly 175 bps
- Total lock volumes were down
11% from May, with declines seen in both rate/term (-9% ) and cash-out (-13% ) refinances, as well as purchase loans (-11% ), which accounted for82% of all lock activity - Looking at purchase lock counts – to exclude the impact of home price appreciation on volume – shows purchases down nearly
21% from last June, but still3% above 2019 levels - Government-backed FHA and VA locks captured additional market share from conforming products, a trend also likely reflected by a further decline in the average loan amount
- The average borrower credit score on cash-out refinances fell another five points in June to 693, the lowest point since Optimal Blue began tracking the metric in 2013
JACKSONVILLE, Fla., July 11, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE: BKI) announced the release of its latest Originations Market Monitor report, looking at mortgage origination data through June month-end. Leveraging daily rate lock data from the Black Knight Optimal Blue PPE – mortgage lending's most widely used pricing engine – the Originations Market Monitor provides the industry's earliest and most comprehensive view of origination activity.
"This continues to be a challenging environment for mortgage originators," said Scott Happ, president of Optimal Blue, a division of Black Knight. "Rate lock activity was down for the third consecutive month in June, with declines seen across all loan purpose types. Purchase mortgages – which currently account for
The month's pipeline data showed overall rate locks down
"The month's data illustrates just how interest rate-dependent the originations market has become," Happ continued. "With 30-year rates hovering below
Each month's Originations Market Monitor provides high-level origination metrics for the U.S. and the top 20 metropolitan statistical areas by share of total origination volume. Much more detail on June's origination activity can be found in the full Black Knight Originations Market Monitor report.
About Black Knight
Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE:BKI) is an award-winning software, data and analytics company that drives innovation in the mortgage lending and servicing and real estate industries, as well as the capital and secondary markets. Businesses leverage our robust, integrated solutions across the entire homeownership life cycle to help retain existing customers, gain new customers, mitigate risk and operate more effectively.
Our clients rely on our proven, comprehensive, scalable products and our unwavering commitment to delivering superior client support to achieve their strategic goals and better serving their customers. For more information on Black Knight, please visit www.blackknightinc.com/.
For more information:
Michelle Kersch
904.854.5043
michelle.kersch@bkfs.com
Mitch Cohen
704.890.8158
mitch.cohen@bkfs.com
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SOURCE Black Knight, Inc.
FAQ
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