AstraZeneca sets ambition to deliver $80 billion Total Revenue by 2030 and sustained growth post 2030

Rhea-AI Summary

AstraZeneca aims to reach $80 billion in total revenue by 2030, up from $45.8 billion in 2023. This growth will be driven by significant expansions in existing oncology, biopharmaceuticals, and rare disease portfolios, alongside the introduction of 20 new medicines by 2030. The company plans to continue investing in transformative technologies for sustained growth beyond 2030. AstraZeneca also targets a mid-30s percentage core operating margin by 2026, with further evolution expected post-2026. Additionally, the company aims to decouple carbon emissions from revenue growth, achieving carbon zero for Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2026 and halving Scope 3 emissions by 2030.

Positive

• Projected revenue growth from $45.8 billion in 2023 to $80 billion by 2030.
• Launch of 20 new medicines expected to significantly contribute to revenue.
• Continued investment in innovative technologies shaping the future of medicine.
• Mid-30s percentage core operating margin targeted by 2026.
• Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 68% since 2015 while increasing revenue by 85%.
• Targeting carbon zero for Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2026.
• Plan to halve Scope 3 emissions by 2030.

Negative

• Revenue goals rely heavily on the success of clinical trials and market competition.
• Future core operating margin post-2026 depends on portfolio evolution, which carries uncertainties.
• The ambitious revenue target may face challenges from market dynamics and regulatory environments.
• Potential risks in clinical results, safety, and efficacy may impact commercial revenue forecasts.

Insights

Financial Analyst

AstraZeneca's announcement to achieve $80 billion in total revenue by 2030 signals a highly ambitious growth plan, especially considering their 2023 revenue of $45.8 billion. The company's strategy of launching 20 new medicines by 2030 is both a bold and aggressive move. Given the substantial R&D investments and strategic focus on oncology, biopharmaceuticals and rare disease portfolios, investors should consider the potential for high returns. However, the dependency on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals adds an element of risk. Additionally, achieving a mid-30s core operating margin by 2026 could significantly impact profitability positively, but maintaining this margin will likely depend on the success of new product launches and market conditions.

For a retail investor, it's essential to monitor the company's progress in drug development and approval processes, as these milestones can lead to significant revenue boosts or setbacks. The company's historical performance, where revenue growth was coupled with a substantial reduction in emissions, shows their capability in managing growth responsibly. However, the inherent risks in pharmaceutical development should not be overlooked.

Market Research Analyst

The expectation of launching 20 new medicines by 2030, many with potential peak year revenues exceeding $5 billion, is an indicator of AstraZeneca's strong pipeline. This level of innovation could position the company as a leader in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly if these new medicines address significant unmet medical needs. However, the success rate of drug development is often uncertain. It's important for investors to understand that the ambitious revenue goals are contingent upon these medicines reaching the market and achieving projected sales. The emphasis on 'disruptive innovation' suggests a willingness to invest in cutting-edge technologies that could yield high returns but also come with high-risk profiles.

Additionally, AstraZeneca's commitment to decoupling carbon emissions from revenue growth and achieving carbon zero for Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2026, along with halving Scope 3 emissions by 2030, aligns with global sustainability trends. This could enhance the company's reputation among environmentally conscious investors and stakeholders, potentially driving long-term shareholder value.

Launch of 20 new medicines expected by 2030

Significant growth from existing oncology, biopharmaceuticals and rare disease portfolios

Investing in disruptive innovation that will shape the future of medicine and drive long-term growth

Decoupling carbon emissions from revenue growth

CAMBRIDGE, England--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Today AstraZeneca revealed its bold ambition to deliver $80 billion in Total Revenue by 2030, up from $45.8 billion in 2023. This will be achieved through significant growth in its existing oncology, biopharmaceuticals and rare disease portfolio, and by launching an expected 20 new medicines before the end of the decade. To drive sustained growth beyond 2030, the Company will continue investing in transformative new technologies and platforms that will shape the future of medicine.

AstraZeneca will maintain its strategic commitment to R&D while focusing on productivity throughout the Company, driving operating leverage and enabling the delivery of its ambition for a mid-30s percentage Core operating margin by 2026. Beyond 2026, Core operating margin will be influenced by portfolio evolution and the company will target at least the mid-30s percentage range.

Pascal Soriot, Chief Executive Officer, AstraZeneca said: “Today AstraZeneca announces a new era of growth. In 2023 we delivered the ambitious $45 billion revenue goal set a decade ago. With the exciting growth of our innovative pipeline, which has the potential to transform millions of lives, we are now aiming for $80 billion by 2030.

We are planning to launch 20 new medicines by 2030, many with the potential to generate more than $5 billion in peak year revenues. The breadth of our portfolio together with continued investment in innovation supports sustained growth well past the end of the decade.”

As AstraZeneca continues to grow across all therapy areas, it will continue to decouple its carbon emissions from its increase in revenue. The Company has already reduced its greenhouse gas emissions (Scopes 1 and 2) by 68% from its 2015 baseline while growing Total Revenue by 85% over the same period. By 2026 the Company will be carbon zero for Scope 1 and 2 emissions and by 2030 halve its Scope 3 emissions, on the way to science-based net zero by 2045 at the latest.

Notes:

A webcast of the Investor Day event will begin today, 21 May 2024, at 10:00 UK time. Details can be found at www.astrazeneca.com/investor-relations/astrazeneca-investor-day.html

Basis of AstraZeneca’s ambitions, forecasts and targets

AstraZeneca’s ambitions, forecasts and targets in this announcement (the “Financial Ambition Statements”) are derived from AstraZeneca’s most recent risk-adjusted mid- and long-term plans, adjusted for developments in the business since those plans were finalised. The Financial Ambition Statements are based on management’s risk-adjusted projections for individual medicines and individual clinical trials. Estimates for these probabilities are based on industry-wide data for relevant clinical trials in the pharmaceutical industry at a similar stage of development adjusted for management's view on the risk profile of the specific asset. The peak year revenue (PYR) potential for individual medicines referred to in this announcement are the maximum estimated Total Revenue to be recognised by AstraZeneca in a single calendar year, during the lifecycle of the medicine, and are based on management’s latest non-risk-adjusted forecast estimates. Estimates are based on customary forecasting methodologies used in the pharmaceutical industry. Peak year revenue may occur in different years for each NME depending on trial outcomes, approval label, competition, launch dates and exclusivity periods, amongst other variables. The peak year revenue figures are derived from net sales at nominal values and are not risk-adjusted or time-value discounted. The development of pharmaceutical products has inherent risks given scientific experimentation and there are a range of possible outcomes in clinical results, safety, efficacy and product labelling. Clinical results may not achieve the desired product profile and competitive environment, pricing and reimbursement may have material impact on commercial revenue forecasts. By their nature, forecasts are based on a multiplicity of assumptions and actual performance in future years may vary, significantly and materially, from these assumptions. The Financial Ambition Statements in this announcement are based on Q1 2024 exchange rates; AstraZeneca undertakes no obligation to update those statements based on future currency movements.

Attention is drawn to the notice set out under the heading Forward Looking Statements below.

AstraZeneca

AstraZeneca (LSE/STO/Nasdaq: AZN) is a global, science-led biopharmaceutical company that focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialisation of prescription medicines in Oncology, Rare Diseases, and BioPharmaceuticals, including Cardiovascular, Renal & Metabolism, and Respiratory & Immunology. Based in Cambridge, UK, AstraZeneca’s innovative medicines are sold in more than 125 countries and used by millions of patients worldwide. Please visit astrazeneca.com and follow the Company on social media @AstraZeneca

Contacts

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Forward Looking Statements

In order, among other things, to utilise the 'safe harbour' provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, AstraZeneca (hereafter ‘the Group’) provides the following cautionary statement:

This document contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the operations, performance and financial condition of the Group, including, among other things, statements about expected or targeted revenues, margins, earnings per share or other financial or other measures (including the Financial Ambition Statements described in this announcement). Although the Group believes its expectations and targets are based on reasonable assumptions and has used customary forecasting methodologies used in the pharmaceutical industry and risk-adjusted projections for individual medicines (which take into account the probability of success of individual clinical trials, based on industry-wide data for relevant clinical trials at a similar stage of development), any forward-looking statements, by their very nature, involve risks and uncertainties and may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those predicted. The forward-looking statements reflect knowledge and information available at the date of preparation of this document and the Group undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. The Group identifies the forward-looking statements by using the words 'anticipates', 'believes', 'expects', 'intends' and similar expressions in such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, certain of which are beyond the Group’s control, include, among other things:

• The risk of failure or delay in delivery of pipeline or launch of new medicines;
• the risk of failure to meet regulatory or ethical requirements for medicine development or approval;
• the risk of failures or delays in the quality or execution of the Group’s commercial strategies;
• the risk of pricing, affordability, access and competitive pressures;
• the risk of failure to maintain supply of compliant, quality medicines;
• the risk of illegal trade in the Group’s medicines;
• the impact of reliance on third-party goods and services;
• the risk of failure in information technology or cybersecurity;
• the risk of failure of critical processes;
• the risk of failure to collect and manage data in line with legal and regulatory requirements and strategic objectives;
• the risk of failure to attract, develop, engage and retain a diverse, talented and capable workforce;
• the risk of failure to meet regulatory or ethical expectations on environmental impact, including climate change;
• the risk of the safety and efficacy of marketed medicines being questioned;
• the risk of adverse outcome of litigation and/or governmental investigations;
• intellectual property-related risks to the Group’s products;
• the risk of failure to achieve strategic plans or meet targets or expectations;
• the risk of failure in financial control or the occurrence of fraud;
• the risk of unexpected deterioration in the Group’s financial position;
• the impact that global and/or geopolitical events may have, or continue to have, on these risks, on the Group’s ability to continue to mitigate these risks, and on the Group’s operations, financial results or financial condition.

There can be no guarantees that the conditions to the closing of the proposed transaction with Fusion will be satisfied on the expected timetable, or at all, or that “FPI-2265” (Ac225-PSMA I&T) or any combination product will receive the necessary regulatory approvals or prove to be commercially successful if approved. There can be no guarantees that the conditions to the closing of the proposed transaction with Amolyt Pharma will be satisfied on the expected timetable, or at all, or that eneboparatide (“AZP-3601”) will receive the necessary regulatory approvals or prove to be commercially successful if approved.

Adrian Kemp
Company Secretary
AstraZeneca PLC

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240520652202/en/

Media

Global Media Relations team

global-mediateam@astrazeneca.com

+44 (0)1223 344 800

Source: AstraZeneca

FAQ

What is AstraZeneca's revenue goal for 2030?

AstraZeneca aims to achieve $80 billion in total revenue by 2030.

How much revenue did AstraZeneca report in 2023?

AstraZeneca reported $45.8 billion in total revenue in 2023.

How many new medicines is AstraZeneca planning to launch by 2030?

AstraZeneca plans to launch 20 new medicines by 2030.

What is AstraZeneca's target for its core operating margin by 2026?

AstraZeneca is targeting a mid-30s percentage core operating margin by 2026.

What are AstraZeneca's environmental goals?

AstraZeneca aims to be carbon zero for Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2026 and halve its Scope 3 emissions by 2030.