AGNC Investment Corp. Announces Third Quarter 2020 Financial Results

Rhea-AI Summary

AGNC Investment Corp. reported a comprehensive income of $1.28 per share for Q3 2020, with net income at $1.15 per share. The tangible net book value rose 6.4% to $15.88 per share. The investment portfolio totaled $97.6 billion, with 8.8x leverage. The company declared $0.36 in dividends and repurchased 11 million shares, enhancing shareholder value. Additionally, net spread and dollar roll income reached $0.81 per share, marking strong earnings performance.

Positive

• $1.28 comprehensive income per share.
• 6.4% increase in tangible net book value to $15.88.
• $97.6 billion investment portfolio.
• 8.8% economic return on tangible common equity.
• $0.36 dividends declared per share.
• $0.81 net spread and dollar roll income per share.

Negative

• Interest expense decreased, reflecting lower leverage utilization.

BETHESDA, Md., Oct. 26, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- AGNC Investment Corp. ("AGNC" or the "Company") (Nasdaq: AGNC) today announced financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020.

THIRD QUARTER 2020 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

• $1.28 comprehensive income per common share, comprised of:
• $1.15 net income per common share
• $0.13 other comprehensive income ("OCI") per common share on investments marked-to-market through OCI
• $0.81 net spread and dollar roll income per common share, excluding estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost ¹
• Includes $0.28 per common share of dollar roll income associated with the Company's $27.8 billion average net long position in forward purchases and sales of Agency mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") in the "to-be-announced" ("TBA") market
• Excludes $(0.09) per common share of estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost due to change in projected constant prepayment rate ("CPR") estimates
• $15.88 tangible net book value per common share as of September 30, 2020
• Increased $0.96 per common share, or 6.4%, from $14.92 per common share as of June 30, 2020
• $0.36 dividends declared per common share for the third quarter
• 8.8% economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter
• Comprised of $0.36 dividends per common share and $0.96 increase in tangible net book value per common share

OTHER THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

• $97.6 billion investment portfolio as of September 30, 2020, comprised of:
• $66.9 billion Agency MBS
• $29.5 billion net TBA mortgage position
• $1.2 billion credit risk transfer ("CRT") and non-Agency securities
• 8.8x tangible net book value "at risk" leverage as of September 30, 2020
• 8.9x average tangible net book value "at risk" leverage for the quarter
• Cash and unencumbered Agency MBS totaled approximately $5.2 billion as of September 30, 2020
• Excludes unencumbered CRT and non-Agency securities and assets held at the Company's broker-dealer subsidiary, Bethesda Securities
• 24.3% portfolio CPR for the quarter
• 15.9% average projected portfolio CPR as of September 30, 2020
• 2.15% annualized net interest spread and TBA dollar roll income for the quarter, excluding estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost
• Excludes -22 bps of "catch-up" premium amortization cost due to change in projected CPR estimates
• 11.0 million shares, or $154 million, of common stock repurchased during the quarter ²
• Represents 2.0% of common stock outstanding as of June 30, 2020
• $13.95 per share average repurchase price, inclusive of transaction costs

1.	Represents a non-GAAP measure.  Please refer to a reconciliation to the most applicable GAAP measure and additional information regarding the use of non-GAAP financial information later in this release.
2.	Includes share repurchases settling in October 2020.

MANAGEMENT REMARKS
"AGNC's economic return for the third quarter of 2020 was 8.8%, representing our second consecutive quarter of strong financial performance and nearly reversing the economic loss of the first quarter which resulted from the financial dislocations associated with the COVID-19 pandemic," said Gary Kain, the Company's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer.  "Stable interest rates and the Federal Reserve's ongoing purchases were supportive of Agency MBS performance during the quarter.  Importantly, the Fed's announced policy shift to average inflation targeting will likely cause the current low rate environment to persist for a prolonged period, which should be beneficial to the investment environment.

"Against this backdrop, AGNC's portfolio, which predominantly consists of lower coupon, new production pools and higher coupon specified pools, significantly outperformed our hedge portfolio and drove the improvement in our net book value during the quarter.  AGNC also maintained a sizeable TBA position to capitalize on the significant funding advantage (or 'dollar roll specialness') of TBA securities and to enhance the liquidity profile of our investment portfolio.  Lastly, given our limited holdings of credit sensitive assets, we have only modest exposure to the adverse economic impacts associated with the ongoing pandemic."

"AGNC generated net spread and dollar roll income, excluding catch-up premium amortization, of $0.81 per common share in the third quarter, evidencing the strong earnings environment as the Fed's accommodative monetary policy stance and use of forward rate guidance has led to very attractive hedging and funding opportunities. As a result, the third quarter represents our strongest quarter from a net spread and dollar roll income per share perspective in over five years," said Peter Federico, the Company's President and Chief Operating Officer.  "In addition, we took the opportunity in the third quarter to repurchase 11 million shares, or $154 million, of our common stock at an average repurchase price of $13.95, generating accretion benefits for our stockholders given the meaningful discount to our tangible net book value."

TANGIBLE NET BOOK VALUE PER COMMON SHARE
As of September 30, 2020, the Company's tangible net book value per common share was $15.88 per share, an increase of 6.4% for the quarter, compared to $14.92 per share as of June 30, 2020.  The Company's tangible net book value per common share excludes $526 million, or $0.96 and $0.95 per share, of goodwill as of September 30, 2020 and June 30, 2020, respectively.

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
As of September 30, 2020, the Company's investment portfolio totaled $97.6 billion, comprised of:

• $96.4 billion of Agency MBS and TBA securities, including:
• $95.8 billion of fixed-rate securities, comprised of:
• $58.9 billion 30-year MBS,
• $18.1 billion 30-year TBA securities,
• $5.0 billion 15-year MBS,
• $11.5 billion 15-year TBA securities, and
• $2.4 billion 20-year MBS; and
• $0.6 billion of collateralized mortgage obligations ("CMOs"), adjustable-rate and other Agency securities; and
• $1.2 billion of CRT and non-Agency securities.

As of September 30, 2020, 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate Agency securities represented 79% and 17%, respectively, of the Company's investment portfolio, compared to 83% and 12%, respectively, as of June 30, 2020.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company's fixed-rate securities' weighted average coupon was 3.08%, compared to 3.40% as of June 30, 2020, comprised of the following weighted average coupons:

• 3.28% for 30-year fixed-rate securities;
• 2.23% for 15-year fixed rate securities; and
• 2.67% for 20-year fixed-rate securities.

The Company accounts for TBA securities (or "dollar roll funded assets") as derivative instruments and recognizes dollar roll income in other gain (loss), net on the Company's financial statements.  As of September 30, 2020, the Company's TBA position had a fair value of $29.5 billion and a GAAP net carrying value of $76 million reported in derivative assets/(liabilities) on the Company's balance sheet, compared to $20.5 billion and $130 million, respectively, as of June 30, 2020.

CONSTANT PREPAYMENT RATES
The Company's investment portfolio had a weighted average CPR of 24.3% for the third quarter, compared to 19.9% for the prior quarter.  The weighted average projected CPR for the remaining life of the Company's Agency securities held as of September 30, 2020 declined to 15.9% from 16.6% as of June 30, 2020 largely due to changes in portfolio composition.

The weighted average cost basis of the Company's investment portfolio was 104.1% of par value as of September 30, 2020.  Net premium amortization cost on the Company's investment portfolio for the third quarter was $(209) million, or $(0.38) per common share, which includes "catch-up" premium amortization cost of $(50) million, or $(0.09) per common share, due to changes in the Company's projected CPR estimates for securities acquired prior to the third quarter.  This compares to net premium amortization cost for the prior quarter of $(223) million, or $(0.40) per common share, including a "catch-up" premium amortization cost of $(57) million, or $(0.10) per common share.

ASSET YIELDS, COST OF FUNDS AND NET INTEREST RATE SPREAD
The Company's average asset yield on its investment portfolio, excluding the TBA position, was 2.28% for the third quarter, compared to 2.39% for the prior quarter.  Excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, the Company's average asset yield was 2.59% for the third quarter, compared to 2.71% for the prior quarter. Including the TBA position and excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, the Company's average asset yield for the third quarter was 2.30%, compared to 2.56% for the prior quarter.

For the third quarter, the weighted average interest rate on the Company's Agency repurchase agreements was 0.40%, compared to 0.76% for the prior quarter.  For the third quarter, the Company's TBA position had an implied financing benefit of (0.58)%, compared to an implied financing benefit of (0.09)% for the prior quarter.  Inclusive of interest rate swaps, the Company's combined average cost of funds for the third quarter was 0.15%, compared to 0.88% for the prior quarter. 

The Company's annualized net interest spread, including the TBA position and interest rate swaps and excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, for the third quarter was 2.15%, compared to 1.68% for the prior quarter. 

NET SPREAD AND DOLLAR ROLL INCOME
The Company recognized net spread and dollar roll income (a non-GAAP financial measure) for the third quarter of $0.81 per common share, excluding $(0.09) per common share of "catch-up" premium amortization cost, compared to $0.58 per common share for the prior quarter, excluding $(0.10) per common share of "catch-up" premium amortization cost.

A reconciliation of the Company's net interest income to net spread and dollar roll income and additional information regarding the Company's use of non-GAAP measures are included later in this release.

LEVERAGE
As of September 30, 2020, $54.4 billion of Agency repurchase agreements, $29.5 billion of TBA dollar roll positions (at cost) and $0.2 billion of other debt were used to fund the Company's investment portfolio.  The remainder, or approximately $0.2 billion, of the Company's repurchase agreements was used to fund purchases of U.S. Treasury securities ("U.S. Treasury repo") and is not included in the Company's leverage measurements.  Inclusive of its TBA position and net payable/(receivable) for unsettled investment securities, the Company's tangible net book value "at risk" leverage ratio was 8.8x as of September 30, 2020, compared to 9.2x as of June 30, 2020.  The Company's average "at risk" leverage for the third quarter was 8.9x tangible net book value, compared to 8.8x in the prior quarter.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company's Agency repurchase agreements had a weighted average interest rate of 0.37%, compared to 0.41% as of June 30, 2020, and a weighted average remaining maturity of 55 days, compared to 60 days as of June 30, 2020.  As of September 30, 2020, $26.2 billion, or 48%, of the Company's Agency repurchase agreements were funded through the Company's captive broker-dealer subsidiary, Bethesda Securities, LLC.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company's Agency repurchase agreements had remaining maturities of:

• $41.0 billion of three months or less;
• $7.6 billion from three to six months; and
• $5.7 billion from six to twelve months.

HEDGING ACTIVITIES
As of September 30, 2020, interest rate swaps, swaptions and U.S. Treasury positions equaled 71% of the Company's outstanding balance of Agency repurchase agreements, TBA position and other debt, compared to 66% as of June 30, 2020.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company's interest rate swap position totaled $43.0 billion in notional amount, compared to $42.1 billion as of June 30, 2020.  As of September 30, 2020, the Company's interest rate swap portfolio had an average fixed pay rate of 0.15%, an average receive rate of 0.08% and an average maturity of 5.3 years, compared to 0.39%, 0.13% and 5.1 years, respectively, as of June 30, 2020.  As of September 30, 2020, 69% and 31% of the Company's interest rate swap portfolio were linked to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate ("SOFR") and Overnight Index Swap Rate ("OIS"), respectively, compared to 79% and 16%, respectively, as of June 30, 2020.  As of September 30, 2020, none of the Company's interest rate swaps were linked to the three-month London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR"), compared to 5% as of June 30, 2020. 

As of September 30, 2020, the Company had payer swaptions outstanding totaling $6.9 billion, compared to $9.4 billion as of June 30, 2020.  As of September 30, 2020, the Company had net short U.S. Treasury positions outstanding totaling $9.8 billion, compared to $8.1 billion as of June 30, 2020.

OTHER GAIN (LOSS), NET
For the third quarter, the Company recorded a net gain of $381 million in other gain (loss), net, or $0.69 per common share, compared to a net gain of $447 million, or $0.80 per common share, for the prior quarter.  Other gain (loss), net for the third quarter was comprised of:

• $346 million of net realized gains on sales of investment securities;
• $(365) million of net unrealized losses on investment securities measured at fair value through net income;
• $(13) million of interest rate swap periodic costs;
• $153 million of net gains on interest rate swaps;
• $(1) million of net losses on interest rate swaptions;
• $(19) million of net losses on U.S. Treasury positions;
• $155 million of TBA dollar roll income;
• $128 million of net mark-to-market gains on TBA securities; and
• $(3) million of other miscellaneous losses.

OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
During the third quarter, the Company recorded other comprehensive income of $70 million, or $0.13 per common share, consisting of net unrealized gains on the Company's Agency securities recognized through OCI, compared to a $203 million, or $0.36 per common share, of other comprehensive income for the prior quarter.

COMMON STOCK DIVIDENDS
During the third quarter, the Company declared dividends of $0.12 per share to common stockholders of record as of July 31, August 31 and September 30, 2020, respectively, totaling $0.36 per share for the quarter, which were paid on August 11, September 10 and October 9, 2020, respectively.  Since its May 2008 initial public offering through the third quarter of 2020, the Company has declared a total of $10.3 billion in common stock dividends, or $42.52 per common share.

STOCK REPURCHASE PROGRAM
During the third quarter, the Company repurchased 11.0 million shares, or $154 million, of its common stock for an average repurchase price of $13.95 per common share, inclusive of transaction costs.  On October 22, 2020, the Company's Board of Directors terminated its existing stock repurchase plan that was due to expire on December 31, 2020 and replaced it with a new plan to repurchase up to $1 billion of common stock through December 31, 2021.

The Company may repurchase shares in the open market or privately negotiated transactions or pursuant to a trading plan that may be adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.  The Company intends to repurchase shares of its common stock under the stock repurchase program only when the repurchase price is less than its then-current estimate of its tangible net book value per common share.

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, OPERATING PERFORMANCE AND PORTFOLIO STATISTICS
The following measures of operating performance include net spread and dollar roll income; net spread and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization; economic interest income; economic interest expense; estimated taxable income; and the related per common share measures and financial metrics derived from such information, which are non-GAAP financial measures.  Please refer to "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information" later in this release for further discussion of non-GAAP measures.

 

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in millions, except per share data)
	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
	(unaudited)		(unaudited)		(unaudited)				(unaudited)
Assets:
Agency securities, at fair value (including pledged securities of   $55,711, $69,956, $64,154, $92,608 and $93,688, respectively)	$           66,556		$     75,488		$     70,292		$         98,516		$           98,577
Agency securities transferred to consolidated variable interest  entities, at fair value (pledged securities)	323		344		358		371		393
Credit risk transfer securities, at fair value (including pledged   securities of $413, $479, $360, $309 and $358, respectively)	653		712		574		976		1,134
Non-Agency securities, at fair value (including pledged securities  of $455, $511, $437, $0 and $0, respectively)	512		599		552		579		579
U.S. Treasury securities, at fair value (including pledged securities  of $0, $1,136, $3,721, $97 and $162, respectively)	-		1,181		3,721		97		215
Cash and cash equivalents	857		859		1,289		831		906
Restricted cash	1,557		1,306		1,978		451		734
Derivative assets, at fair value	130		140		664		190		175
Receivable for investment securities sold (including pledged securities   of $10, $480, $0, $0 and $105, respectively)	10		489		-		-		105
Receivable under reverse repurchase agreements	8,625		7,944		4,938		10,181		6,093
Goodwill	526		526		526		526		526
Other assets	219		265		245		364		324
Total assets	$           79,968		$     89,853		$     85,137		$       113,082		$         109,761
Liabilities:
Repurchase agreements	$           54,566		$     69,685		$     66,540		$         89,182		$           90,612
Debt of consolidated variable interest entities, at fair value	192		204		214		228		238
Payable for investment securities purchased	5,887		1,468		3,273		2,554		3,094
Derivative liabilities, at fair value	13		3		138		6		22
Dividends payable	90		92		113		104		100
Obligation to return securities borrowed under reverse   repurchase agreements, at fair value	8,372		7,929		4,886		9,543		5,114
Accounts payable and other liabilities	128		122		175		424		368
Total liabilities	69,248		79,503		75,339		102,041		99,548
Stockholders' equity:
Preferred Stock - aggregate liquidation preference of $1,538, $1,538, $  1,538, $963 and $735, respectively)	1,489		1,489		1,489		932		711
Common stock - $0.01 par value; 545.2, 555.5, 567.7, 540.9 and 540.9   shares issued and outstanding, respectively	5		6		6		5		5
Additional paid-in capital	14,053		14,191		14,334		13,893		13,888
Retained deficit	(5,661)		(6,100)		(6,592)		(3,886)		(4,473)
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)	834		764		561		97		82
Total stockholders' equity	10,720		10,350		9,798		11,041		10,213
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity	$           79,968		$     89,853		$     85,137		$       113,082		$         109,761
Tangible net book value per common share 1	$             15.88		$       14.92		$       13.62		$           17.66		$             16.55

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(in millions, except per share data)
(unaudited)
	Three Months Ended
	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
Interest income:
Interest income	$             364		$   429		$      491		$            768		$             676
Interest expense	62		134		426		481		557
Net interest income	302		295		65		287		119
Other gain (loss), net:
Realized gain on sale of investment securities, net	346		153		494		107		89
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment securities measured at fair value  through net income, net	(365)		679		197		(160)		355
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net	400		(385)		(3,154)		662		(548)
Total other gain (loss), net	381		447		(2,463)		609		(104)
Expenses:
Compensation and benefits	13		13		13		16		10
Other operating expense	8		11		10		9		9
Total operating expense	21		24		23		25		19
Net income (loss)	662		718		(2,421)		871		(4)
Dividend on preferred stock	25		25		21		18		13
Issuance costs of redeemed preferred stock	-		-		-		6		-
Net income (loss) available (attributable) to common stockholders	$             637		$   693		$  (2,442)		$            847		$              (17)
Net income (loss)	$             662		$   718		$  (2,421)		$            871		$                (4)
Unrealized gain on investment securities measured at fair value through  other comprehensive income (loss), net	70		203		464		15		246
Comprehensive income (loss)	732		921		(1,957)		886		242
Dividend on preferred stock	25		25		21		18		13
Issuance costs of redeemed preferred stock	-		-		-		6		-
Comprehensive income (loss) available (attributable) to common stockholders	$             707		$   896		$  (1,978)		$            862		$             229
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic	553.2		560.3		548.0		541.4		546.4
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - diluted	554.3		560.8		548.0		542.6		546.4
Net income (loss) per common share - basic	$            1.15		$  1.24		$    (4.46)		$           1.56		$           (0.03)
Net income (loss) per common share - diluted	$            1.15		$  1.24		$    (4.46)		$           1.56		$           (0.03)
Comprehensive income (loss) per common share - basic	$            1.28		$  1.60		$    (3.61)		$           1.59		$            0.42
Comprehensive income (loss) per common share - diluted	$            1.28		$  1.60		$    (3.61)		$           1.59		$            0.42
Dividends declared per common share	$            0.36		$  0.36		$     0.48		$           0.48		$            0.48

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP NET INTEREST INCOME TO NET SPREAD AND DOLLAR ROLL INCOME (NON-GAAP MEASURE) 2
(in millions, except per share data)
(unaudited)
	Three Months Ended
	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
GAAP net interest income:
Interest income	$             364		$   429		$      491		$            768		$             676
Interest expense	62		134		426		481		557
GAAP net interest income	302		295		65		287		119
TBA dollar roll income, net 3,4	155		78		16		24		29
Interest rate swap periodic income (cost), net 3,8	(13)		(59)		31		85		146
Other interest and dividend income 3	-		1		2		3		4
Adjusted net interest and dollar roll income	444		315		114		399		298
Operating expense	(21)		(24)		(23)		(25)		(19)
Net spread and dollar roll income	423		291		91		374		279
Dividend on preferred stock	25		25		21		18		13
Net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders	398		266		70		356		266
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost (benefit) due to change in  CPR forecast 11	50		57		243		(48)		55
Net spread and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, available to common stockholders	$             448		$   323		$      313		$            308		$             321
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic	553.2		560.3		548.0		541.4		546.4
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - diluted	554.3		560.8		549.2		542.6		547.1
Net spread and dollar roll income per common share - basic	$            0.72		$  0.47		$     0.13		$           0.66		$            0.49
Net spread and dollar roll income per common share - diluted	$            0.72		$  0.47		$     0.13		$           0.66		$            0.49
Net spread and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, per common share - basic	$            0.81		$  0.58		$     0.57		$           0.57		$            0.59
Net spread and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, per common share - diluted	$            0.81		$  0.58		$     0.57		$           0.57		$            0.59

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP NET INCOME TO ESTIMATED TAXABLE INCOME (NON-GAAP MEASURE) 2
(in millions, except per share data)
(unaudited)
	Three Months Ended
	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
Net income/(loss)	$             662		$   718		$  (2,421)		$            871		$                (4)
Book to tax differences:
Premium amortization, net	(11)		22		237		(77)		47
Realized gain/loss, net	(472)		-		2,555		(504)		521
Net capital loss/(utilization of net capital loss carryforward)	-		(426)		32		(130)		34
Unrealized (gain)/loss, net	354		(291)		(263)		(47)		(428)
Other	-		(2)		(8)		2		(1)
Total book to tax differences	(129)		(697)		2,553		(756)		173
Estimated REIT taxable income	533		21		132		115		169
Dividend on preferred stock	25		25		21		18		13
Estimated REIT taxable income (loss), net of preferred stock dividend	$             508		$      (4)		$      111		$              97		$             156
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic	553.2		560.3		548.0		541.4		546.4
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - diluted	554.3		560.3		549.2		542.6		547.1
Estimated REIT taxable income (loss) per common share - basic	$            0.92		$ (0.01)		$     0.20		$           0.18		$            0.29
Estimated REIT taxable income (loss) per common share - diluted	$            0.92		$ (0.01)		$     0.20		$           0.18		$            0.29
Beginning cumulative non-deductible net capital loss	$                -		$   426		$      394		$            524		$             490
Increase (decrease) in net capital loss carryforward	-		(426)		32		(130)		34
Ending cumulative non-deductible net capital loss	$                -		$      -		$      426		$            394		$             524
Ending cumulative non-deductible net capital loss per common share	$                -		$      -		$     0.75		$           0.73		$            0.97

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
NET INTEREST SPREAD COMPONENTS BY FUNDING SOURCE 2
(in millions, except per share data)
(unaudited)
	Three Months Ended
	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
Adjusted net interest and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization:
Economic interest income:
Investment securities - GAAP interest income 12	$             364		$   429		$      491		$            768		$             676
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost (benefit) due to change in CPR forecast 11	50		57		243		(48)		55
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest income 3,6	114		74		48		58		81
Economic interest income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	528		560		782		778		812
Economic interest expense:
Repurchase agreements and other debt - GAAP interest expense	(62)		(134)		(426)		(481)		(557)
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest benefit (expense) 3,5	41		4		(32)		(34)		(52)
Interest rate swap periodic (cost) income, net 3,8	(13)		(59)		31		85		146
Economic interest expense	(34)		(189)		(427)		(430)		(463)
Other interest and dividend income 3	-		1		2		3		4
Adjusted net interest and dollar roll income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	$             494		$   372		$      357		$            351		$             353
Net interest spread, excluding "catch-up" amortization:
Average asset yield:
Investment securities - average asset yield	2.28%		2.39%		2.01%		3.28%		2.91%
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost (benefit) due to change in CPR forecast	0.31%		0.32%		0.99%		(0.20)%		0.24%
Investment securities average asset yield, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	2.59%		2.71%		3.00%		3.08%		3.15%
TBA securities - average implied asset yield 6	1.64%		1.90%		2.54%		3.29%		3.19%
Average asset yield, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization 7	2.30%		2.56%		2.97%		3.09%		3.16%
Average total cost of funds:
Repurchase agreements and other debt - average funding cost	0.40%		0.76%		1.80%		2.12%		2.48%
TBA securities - average implied funding (benefit) cost 5	-0.58%		-0.09%		1.67%		1.88%		2.00%
Average cost of funds, before interest rate swap periodic cost (income), net 7	0.09%		0.61%		1.79%		2.10%		2.43%
Interest rate swap periodic cost (income), net 10	0.06%		0.27%		(0.12)%		(0.34)%		(0.58)%
Average total cost of funds 9	0.15%		0.88%		1.67%		1.76%		1.85%
Average net interest spread, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	2.15%		1.68%		1.30%		1.33%		1.31%

 

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
KEY STATISTICS*
(in millions, except per share data)
(unaudited)
	Three Months Ended
Key Balance Sheet Statistics:	September 30,		June 30,		March 31,		December 31,		September 30,
	2020		2020		2020		2019		2019
Investment securities:12
Fixed-rate Agency MBS, at fair value - as of period end	$        66,278		$ 75,165		$ 69,901		$       98,074		$        98,090
Other Agency MBS, at fair value - as of period end	$             601		$      667		$      749		$            813		$             880
Credit risk transfer securities, at fair value - as of period end	$             653		$      712		$      574		$            976		$          1,134
Non-Agency MBS, at fair value - as of period end	$             512		$      599		$      552		$            579		$             579
Total investment securities, at fair value - as of period end	$        68,044		$ 77,143		$ 71,776		$     100,442		$      100,683
Total investment securities, at cost - as of period end	$        65,024		$ 73,828		$ 69,343		$       98,670		$        98,763
Total investment securities, at par - as of period end	$        62,449		$ 70,878		$ 66,735		$       95,561		$        95,629
Average investment securities, at cost	$        63,893		$ 71,787		$ 97,889		$       93,606		$        92,764
Average investment securities, at par	$        61,398		$ 68,994		$ 94,933		$       90,586		$        89,741
TBA securities:
Net TBA portfolio - as of period end, at fair value	$        29,536		$ 20,543		$ 21,222		$         7,429		$          1,867
Net TBA portfolio - as of period end, at cost	$        29,460		$ 20,413		$ 20,648		$         7,404		$          1,820
Net TBA portfolio - as of period end, carrying value	$               76		$      130		$      574		$              25		$               47
Average net TBA portfolio, at cost	$        27,785		$ 15,662		$   7,487		$         7,038		$        10,146
Average repurchase agreements and other debt 13	$        61,008		$ 69,552		$ 93,538		$       88,677		$        87,938
Average stockholders' equity 14	$        10,527		$ 10,262		$ 10,735		$       10,594		$        10,347
Tangible net book value per common share 1	$          15.88		$   14.92		$   13.62		$         17.66		$          16.55
Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage - average 15	8.9:1		8.8:1		9.9:1		9.5:1		10:1
Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage - as of period end 16	8.8:1		9.2:1		9.4:1		9.4:1		9.8:1
Key Performance Statistics:
Investment securities: 12
Average coupon	3.73%		3.77%		3.68%		3.76%		3.87%
Average asset yield	2.28%		2.39%		2.01%		3.28%		2.91%
Average asset yield, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	2.59%		2.71%		3.00%		3.08%		3.15%
Average coupon - as of period end	3.59%		3.71%		3.84%		3.68%		3.76%
Average asset yield - as of period end	2.56%		2.64%		2.93%		3.07%		3.08%
Average actual CPR for securities held during the period	24.3%		19.9%		12.2%		15.4%		13.5%
Average forecasted CPR - as of period end	15.9%		16.6%		14.5%		10.8%		13.4%
Total premium amortization cost, net	$            (209)		$    (223)		$     (384)		$            (84)		$            (192)
TBA securities:
Average coupon - as of period end 17	2.06%		2.41%		3.02%		3.10%		2.99%
Average implied asset yield 6	1.64%		1.90%		2.54%		3.29%		3.19%
Combined investment and TBA securities - average asset yield, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization 7	2.30%		2.56%		2.97%		3.09%		3.16%
Cost of funds:
Repurchase agreements - average funding cost	0.40%		0.76%		1.80%		2.12%		2.48%
TBA securities - average implied funding cost (benefit) 5	-0.58%		-0.09%		1.67%		1.88%		2.00%
Interest rate swaps - average periodic expense (income), net 10	0.06%		0.27%		(0.12)%		(0.34)%		(0.58)%
Average total cost of funds, inclusive of TBAs and interest rate swap  periodic expense (income), net 7,9	0.15%		0.88%		1.67%		1.76%		1.85%
Repurchase agreements - average funding cost as of period end	0.37%		0.41%		1.36%		2.17%		2.48%
Interest rate swaps - average net pay/(receive) rate as of period end 18	0.07%		0.26%		0.79%		(0.30)%		(0.63)%
Net interest spread:
Combined investment and TBA securities average net interest spread	1.94%		1.42%		0.37%		1.52%		1.09%
Combined investment and TBA securities average net interest   spread, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization	2.15%		1.68%		1.30%		1.33%		1.31%
Expenses % of average stockholders' equity - annualized	0.80%		0.94%		0.86%		0.94%		0.73%
Economic return (loss) on tangible common equity - unannualized 19	8.8%		12.2%		(20.2)%		9.6%		2.7%

 

*Except as noted below, average numbers for each period are weighted based on days on the Company's books and records. All percentages are annualized, unless otherwise noted.
Numbers in financial tables may not total due to rounding.
1.	Tangible net book value per common share excludes preferred stock liquidation preference and goodwill.
2.	Table includes non-GAAP financial measures and/or amounts derived from non-GAAP measures.  Refer to "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information" for additional discussion of non-GAAP financial measures.
3.	Amount reported in gain (loss) on derivatives instruments and other securities, net in the accompanying consolidated statements of operations.
4.	Dollar roll income represents the price differential, or "price drop," between the TBA price for current month settlement versus the TBA price for forward month settlement.  Amount includes dollar roll income (loss) on long and short TBA securities. Amount excludes TBA mark-to-market adjustments.
5.	The implied funding cost/benefit of TBA dollar roll transactions is determined using the "price drop" (Note 4) and market based assumptions regarding the "cheapest-to-deliver" collateral that can be delivered to satisfy the TBA contract, such as the anticipated collateral's weighted average coupon, weighted average maturity and projected 1-month CPR.  The average implied funding cost/benefit for all TBA transactions is weighted based on the Company's daily average TBA balance outstanding for the period.
6.	The average implied asset yield for TBA dollar roll transactions is extrapolated by adding the average TBA implied funding cost (Note 5) to the net dollar roll yield.  The net dollar roll yield is calculated by dividing dollar roll income (Note 4) by the average net TBA balance (cost basis) outstanding for the period.
7.	Amount calculated on a weighted average basis based on average balances outstanding during the period and their respective asset yield/funding cost.
8.	Represents periodic interest rate swap settlements.  Amount excludes interest rate swap termination fees and mark-to-market adjustments.
9.	Cost of funds excludes other supplemental hedges used to hedge a portion of the Company's interest rate risk (such as swaptions and U.S. Treasury positions) and U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
10.	Represents interest rate swap periodic cost/income measured as a percent of total mortgage funding (Agency repurchase agreements, other debt and net TBA securities).
11.	"Catch-up" premium amortization cost/benefit is reported in interest income on the accompanying consolidated statements of operations.
12.	Investment securities include Agency MBS, CRT and non-Agency securities.  Amounts exclude TBA securities.
13.	Average repurchase agreements and other debt excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
14.	Average stockholders' equity calculated as the average month-ended stockholders' equity during the quarter.
15.	Average tangible net book value "at risk" leverage during the period was calculated by dividing the sum of the daily weighted average Agency repurchase agreements, other debt and net TBA position (at cost) outstanding for the period by the sum of average stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill.  Leverage excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
16.	Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage as of period end was calculated by dividing the sum of the amount outstanding under Agency repurchase agreements, other debt, net TBA position (at cost) and net receivable / payable for unsettled investment securities outstanding by the sum of total stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill.  Leverage excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
17.	Average TBA coupon is for the long TBA position only.
18.	Includes forward starting swaps not yet in effect as of reported period-end.
19.	Economic return (loss) on tangible common equity represents the sum of the change in tangible net book value per common share and dividends declared on common stock during the period over the beginning tangible net book value per common share.

 

STOCKHOLDER CALL
AGNC invites stockholders, prospective stockholders and analysts to attend the AGNC stockholder call on October 27, 2020 at 8:30 am ET.  Interested persons who do not plan on asking a question and have internet access are encouraged to utilize the free webcast at www.AGNC.com.  Those who plan on participating in the Q&A or do not have internet available may access the call by dialing (877) 300-5922 (U.S. domestic) or (412) 902-6621 (international). Please advise the operator you are dialing in for the AGNC Investment Corp. stockholder call.

A slide presentation will accompany the call and will be available at www.AGNC.com.  Select the Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation link to download and print the presentation in advance of the stockholder call.

An archived audio of the stockholder call combined with the slide presentation will be available on the AGNC website after the call on October 27, 2020.  In addition, there will be a phone recording available one hour after the call on October 27, 2020 through November 10, 2020. Those who are interested in hearing the recording of the presentation, can access it by dialing (877) 344-7529 (U.S. domestic) or (412) 317-0088 (international), passcode 10148364.

For further information, please contact Investor Relations at (301) 968-9300 or IR@AGNC.com.

ABOUT AGNC INVESTMENT CORP.
AGNC Investment Corp. is an internally-managed real estate investment trust ("REIT") that invests primarily in residential mortgage-backed securities for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise or a U.S. Government agency.  For further information, please refer to www.AGNC.com.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act.  Forward-looking statements are based on estimates, projections, beliefs and assumptions of management of the Company at the time of such statements and are not guarantees of future performance.  Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties in predicting future results and conditions.  Actual results could differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of important factors, including, without limitation, changes in interest rates, changes in the yield curve, changes in prepayment rates, the availability and terms of financing, changes in the market value of the Company's assets, general economic conditions, market conditions, conditions in the market for Agency securities, and legislative and regulatory changes that could adversely affect the business of the Company.  Certain factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements, are included in the Company's periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").  Copies are available on the SEC's website, www.sec.gov.  The Company disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements based on the occurrence of future events, the receipt of new information, or otherwise.

USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION
In addition to the results presented in accordance with GAAP, the Company's results of operations discussed in this release include certain non-GAAP financial information, including "net spread and dollar roll income," "net spread and dollar roll income, excluding 'catch-up' premium amortization," "economic interest income"  and "economic interest expense" (both components of "net spread and dollar roll income"), "estimated taxable income" and the related per common share measures and certain financial metrics derived from such non-GAAP information, such as "cost of funds" and "net interest spread." 

"Net spread and dollar roll income" is measured as (i) net interest income (GAAP measure) adjusted to include TBA dollar roll income, interest rate swap periodic income/cost and other interest and dividend income (referred to as "adjusted net interest and dollar roll income") less (ii) total operating expense (GAAP measure).  "Net spread and dollar roll income, excluding 'catch-up' premium amortization," further excludes retrospective "catch-up" adjustments to premium amortization cost due to changes in projected CPR estimates.

By providing users of the Company's financial information with such measures in addition to the related GAAP measures, the Company believes users will have greater transparency into the information used by the Company's management in its financial and operational decision-making.  The Company also believes that it is important for users of its financial information to consider information related to the Company's current financial performance without the effects of certain transactions that are not necessarily indicative of its current investment portfolio performance and operations. 

Specifically, in the case of "adjusted net interest and dollar roll income," the Company believes the inclusion of TBA dollar roll income is meaningful as TBAs, which are accounted for under GAAP as derivative instruments with gains and losses recognized in other gain (loss) in the Company's statement of operations, are economically equivalent to holding and financing generic Agency MBS using short-term repurchase agreements.  Similarly, the Company believes that the inclusion of periodic interest rate swap settlements in such measure, which are recognized under GAAP in other gain (loss), is meaningful as interest rate swaps are the primary instrument the Company uses to economically hedge against fluctuations in the Company's borrowing costs and inclusion of periodic interest rate swap settlements is more indicative of the Company's total cost of funds than interest expense alone.  In the case of "net spread and dollar roll income, excluding 'catch-up' premium amortization," the Company believes the exclusion of "catch-up" adjustments to premium amortization cost is meaningful as it excludes the cumulative effect from prior reporting periods due to current changes in future prepayment expectations and, therefore, exclusion of such "catch-up" cost or benefit is more indicative of the current earnings potential of the Company's investment portfolio.  In the case of estimated taxable income, the Company believes it is meaningful information as it is directly related to the amount of dividends the Company is required to distribute in order to maintain its REIT qualification status.

However, because such measures are incomplete measures of the Company's financial performance and involve differences from results computed in accordance with GAAP, they should be considered as supplementary to, and not as a substitute for, results computed in accordance with GAAP.  In addition, because not all companies use identical calculations, the Company's presentation of such non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to other similarly-titled measures of other companies.  Furthermore, estimated taxable income can include certain information that is subject to potential adjustments up to the time of filing the Company's income tax returns, which occurs after the end of its fiscal year.

A reconciliation of GAAP net interest income to non-GAAP "net spread and dollar roll income, excluding 'catch-up' premium amortization" and a reconciliation of GAAP net income to non-GAAP "estimated taxable income" is included in this release.

CONTACT:
Investors - (301) 968-9300
Media - (301) 968-9303

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SOURCE AGNC Investment Corp.

FAQ

What were AGNC's Q3 2020 financial results?

AGNC reported a $1.28 comprehensive income per share, with a net income of $1.15 per share for the third quarter of 2020.

What is AGNC's tangible net book value as of September 30, 2020?

The tangible net book value increased to $15.88 per common share as of September 30, 2020.

How much dividend did AGNC declare in Q3 2020?

AGNC declared dividends of $0.36 per common share during the third quarter of 2020.

What is AGNC's strategy regarding stock repurchases?

AGNC repurchased 11 million shares for $154 million at an average price of $13.95 per common share to enhance shareholder value.

What is AGNC's investment portfolio size?

AGNC's investment portfolio totaled $97.6 billion as of September 30, 2020.

What was AGNC's net spread and dollar roll income in Q3 2020?

AGNC reported net spread and dollar roll income of $0.81 per common share for the third quarter of 2020.