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AB: The Hidden Hazard in Climate Portfolios: Equity Concentration Risk

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AllianceBernstein warns about concentration risk in climate portfolios, particularly regarding heavy exposure to US mega-cap stocks. The MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index shows significant overlap with broad market indices, with its top 10 stocks accounting for 26% of the index and 33.5% of risk. The firm advocates for a more diversified approach to climate investing, suggesting investors look beyond carbon emissions to consider companies across sectors that are enabling the energy transition. They emphasize the importance of integrating quality, climate, and price factors in stock selection while maintaining proper diversification to avoid doubling down on risk when combined with broader equity allocations.

AllianceBernstein avverte riguardo al rischio di concentrazione nei portafogli climatici, in particolare per quanto riguarda la forte esposizione alle azioni delle mega-cap statunitensi. L'MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index mostra un significativo sovrapporsi con gli indici di mercato ampi, con le sue prime 10 azioni che rappresentano il 26% dell'indice e il 33,5% del rischio. La società sostiene un approccio più diversificato agli investimenti climatici, suggerendo agli investitori di guardare oltre le emissioni di carbonio per considerare le aziende di diversi settori che stanno abilitando la transizione energetica. Sottolineano l'importanza di integrare fattori di qualità, climatici e di prezzo nella selezione delle azioni, mantenendo al contempo una corretta diversificazione per evitare di raddoppiare il rischio quando combinato con allocazioni azionarie più ampie.

AllianceBernstein advierte sobre el riesgo de concentración en los portafolios climáticos, especialmente en relación con la fuerte exposición a las acciones de mega-cap de EE. UU. El MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index muestra una superposición significativa con los índices del mercado en general, con sus 10 principales acciones representando el 26% del índice y el 33,5% del riesgo. La firma aboga por un enfoque más diversificado en la inversión climática, sugiriendo a los inversores que miren más allá de las emisiones de carbono para considerar a las empresas de diferentes sectores que están habilitando la transición energética. Enfatizan la importancia de integrar factores de calidad, climáticos y de precio en la selección de acciones, manteniendo una diversificación adecuada para evitar duplicar el riesgo cuando se combina con asignaciones de acciones más amplias.

AllianceBernstein는 기후 포트폴리오의 집중 위험에 대해 경고하며, 특히 미국의 대형주에 대한 높은 노출에 대해 우려하고 있습니다. MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index는 광범위한 시장 지수와 상당한 겹침을 보여주며, 상위 10개 주식이 지수의 26% 및 33.5%의 위험을 차지합니다. 이 회사는 기후 투자에 대한 더 다양화된 접근 방식을 지지하며, 투자자들이 탄소 배출을 넘어서 에너지 전환을 가능하게 하는 다양한 산업의 기업들을 고려할 것을 제안합니다. 그들은 주식 선택 시 품질, 기후 및 가격 요소를 통합하는 것의 중요성을 강조하며, 더 넓은 주식 배분과 결합했을 때 위험을 중복하지 않도록 적절한 다양성을 유지할 것을 강조합니다.

AllianceBernstein met en garde contre le risque de concentration dans les portefeuilles climatiques, en particulier en ce qui concerne l'exposition importante aux actions des grandes entreprises américaines. L'MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index montre un chevauchement significatif avec les indices de marché larges, ses 10 premières actions représentant 26% de l'indice et 33,5% du risque. La société plaide pour une approche plus diversifiée en matière d'investissement climatique, suggérant aux investisseurs d'aller au-delà des émissions de carbone pour considérer les entreprises de différents secteurs qui favorisent la transition énergétique. Ils soulignent l'importance d'intégrer des facteurs de qualité, climatiques et de prix dans la sélection des actions tout en maintenant une bonne diversification pour éviter de doubler le risque lorsqu'il est combiné à des allocations d'actions plus larges.

AllianceBernstein warnt vor einem Konzentrationsrisiko in Klimaportfolios, insbesondere aufgrund der starken Exposition gegenüber US-Mega-Cap-Aktien. Der MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index zeigt eine signifikante Überlappung mit breiten Marktindizes, wobei die 10 größten Aktien 26% des Index und 33,5% des Risikos ausmachen. Das Unternehmen plädiert für einen diversifizierteren Ansatz bei klimabezogenen Investitionen und schlägt vor, dass Anleger über Kohlenstoffemissionen hinausblicken und Unternehmen aus verschiedenen Sektoren, die die Energiewende unterstützen, berücksichtigen. Sie betonen die Bedeutung der Integration von Qualitäts-, Klima- und Preisfaktoren bei der Aktienauswahl, während sie die richtige Diversifizierung beibehalten, um eine Verdopplung des Risikos zu vermeiden, wenn sie mit breiteren Aktienallokationen kombiniert werden.

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Negative
  • Heavy concentration risk with top 10 stocks representing 26% of climate index
  • Climate benchmarks show high overlap with broad market indices, reducing diversification benefits
  • 33.5% of index risk concentrated in top 10 holdings

Insights

The analysis highlights a critical issue in climate-focused investment portfolios that could impact investor returns. The significant concentration in US mega-cap stocks within climate benchmarks like the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index creates a potential risk multiplier effect. With the top 10 stocks now representing 26% of the index and 33.5% of risk exposure, investors may be unknowingly duplicating their exposure if they already hold these positions in their broad market allocations.

The overlap between climate-focused and traditional indices raises concerns about true diversification. This concentration in familiar names like NVIDIA, Apple and Microsoft suggests that passive climate investing strategies may not provide the portfolio differentiation investors expect. A more nuanced approach combining quality metrics, climate considerations and valuation analysis could offer better risk-adjusted returns while maintaining environmental objectives.

If climate portfolios are positioned in the same giant US stocks held in broad equity allocations, investors may unwittingly double down on risk.

NORTHAMPTON, MA / ACCESSWIRE / November 12, 2024 / AllianceBernstein
Kent Hargis, PhD | Chief Investment Officer-Strategic Core Equities; Portfolio Manager-Global Low Carbon Strategy

Teresa Keane | Managing Director-Equities

Brian Holland, CFA | Portfolio Manager and Senior Research Analyst-International Strategic Core Equities

Investors seeking to reduce climate risk in targeted equity strategies might not be aware of hidden hazards to portfolio construction. Climate-focused benchmarks have big positions in US heavyweight stocks, which adds concentration risk and mutes portfolio diversification benefits.

There are different ways for equity portfolios to address climate-related issues. Some might focus on companies that help solve climate challenges, while others target firms with lower carbon emissions than their peers. Another approach is to focus on companies that are integral to the energy transition across diverse sectors and industries.

Whatever approach an investor chooses, we believe it's important to manage a climate-related portfolio with the same research rigor and risk management as any other active equity strategy. That means ensuring that the portfolio has adequate diversification.

Heavy Weights in US Mega-Caps

Passive approaches to climate-focused investing may lack that diversification. That's because key climate benchmarks are prone to heavy concentration in a small group of giant US stocks-just like broad cap-weighted benchmarks.

It sounds surprising. After all, you would expect a climate-focused benchmark to have much different positions than the broad equity market. But in fact, the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index is heavily concentrated in the same stocks that dominate the MSCI World broad market index. This is largely by design, as climate indices typically seek to limit tracking error to the broader market index.

As a result, the weight of the 10 largest stocks in the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index has more than doubled since 2017, to 26% (Display), higher than their weight in the MSCI World. Most of the 10 biggest stocks in the MSCI World Climate benchmark are the same as those in the MSCI World and S&P 500, such as NVIDIA, Apple and Microsoft. And the top 10 account for 33.5% of the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index risk, versus 31.4% of the MSCI World risk.

To be sure, the US megacaps, also known as the Magnificent Seven, include some excellent businesses. However, we think it's risky to own the entire group at benchmark weights, and the recent divergence in returns of the Mag Seven reinforces the case for selective stock picking. In any equity strategy, portfolio managers should own each stock based on the strategy's philosophy while also paying attention to its overall risk characteristics. These principles apply to climate portfolios, too.

Diversifying Return Streams in Climate Portfolios

Effective low-carbon equity strategies involve more than just vetting companies for carbon emissions. Many other variables must be weighed too, since so much can determine a stock's risk/reward profile beyond the long arm of climate change.

In climate portfolios, we believe investors should search across sectors and industries for high-quality companies that are transitioning to a lower-carbon economy. These include enablers, implementers and beneficiaries of the transition that play instrumental roles in the global energy transformation but whose carbon emission scores may not reflect that.

That's why company fundamentals such as profitability and capital discipline are equally vital inputs in active climate-focused strategies. Strong fundamentals help quality businesses surmount macro hurdles beyond climate risks, such as inflation and higher interest rates. Attractive share valuations support return potential and help investors avoid risks in expensive parts of the market. We believe that integrating these three targets in stock selection-quality, climate and price-can better align a portfolio's climate goals with investors' long-term financial objectives and risk appetite (Display). Today, heightened political and geopolitical risk makes it especially important to apply thorough fundamental research to stock selection in a climate-focused portfolio.

Investors seeking a climate-focused portfolio should also think about how it fits into a broader equity allocation. The heavy concentration of the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index in giant US stocks could lead investors to inadvertently double down on absolute risk if they hold similar large weights in the same companies in a US or global equity allocation.

Diversification is the cornerstone of prudent, risk-aware equity investing. Climate-focused investing is no different-long-term investing success depends on the real diversification of businesses and return streams, both within a portfolio and versus a broader equity allocation.

The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams. Views are subject to change over time.

MSCI makes no express or implied warranties or representations, and shall have no liability whatsoever with respect to any MSCI data contained herein.

The MSCI data may not be further redistributed or used as a basis for other indices or any securities or financial products. This report is not approved, reviewed or produced by MSCI.

References to specific securities discussed are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be considered recommendations by AllianceBernstein L.P.

Learn more about AB's approach to responsibility here.

View additional multimedia and more ESG storytelling from AllianceBernstein on 3blmedia.com.

Contact Info:
Spokesperson: AllianceBernstein
Website: https://www.3blmedia.com/profiles/alliancebernstein
Email: info@3blmedia.com

SOURCE: AllianceBernstein



View the original press release on accesswire.com

FAQ

What is the concentration risk in MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index according to AB?

According to AB, the top 10 stocks in the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index represent 26% of the index and 33.5% of the index risk, showing significant concentration in US mega-cap stocks.

How has the weight of top 10 stocks changed in the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index since 2017?

The weight of the top 10 stocks in the MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned Index has more than doubled since 2017, reaching 26% of the index.

What approach does AB recommend for climate-focused investing?

AB recommends a diversified approach that considers quality, climate, and price factors, looking across sectors for companies enabling the energy transition while maintaining proper risk management and diversification.

AllianceBernstein Holding, L.P.

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